Champions League, Wednesday, 11.12.2024 at 21:00
This match promises not only excitement, but also a lot of explosive action. The Serbs arrive with a broad chest after their impressive victory over VfB Stuttgart and could now also cause a sensation at the legendary San Siro.
With their potential to surprise, they have earned the respect of their opponents. But Milan themselves will be keen to make a clear statement in front of their home crowd.
The Lombards have stabilized in recent weeks and are the favourites in my AC Milan Red Star Belgrade betting tip.
However, it won’t be a walk in the park for AC – the visitors have proven their goal threat on several occasions and will not give up without a fight on Wednesday.
Milan and Red Star are old acquaintances in European soccer, and the Italians have not been guilty of anything in these duels so far. Milan have remained unbeaten in six matches (2 wins, 4 draws).
Remarkably, only against Sparta Prague (8 games, including qualifiers) have Milan played more often in Europe without ever losing. Whether the Serbs will find a way to break the streak this time remains to be seen.
However, AC coach Paulo Fonseca’s coaching chair is becoming increasingly shaky and I wouldn’t want to waste an attractive Bet365 offer code here. An AC Milan Red Star Belgrade tip that assumes a Milan victory would be based on sand.
The bookmaker forecast
Most AC Milan Red Star Belgrade odds clearly show that the Italians are the clear favorites, with average odds of 1.30 for a win.
A draw, on the other hand, is priced at 6.00, while a win for the Serbs is priced at a whopping 8.50.
But watch out: This favorite role of the Milanese might have been a little too clear. Red Star Belgrade have often caused surprises in the past, and who knows – maybe they can even hold their own against the “Rossoneri” for the first time.
KI prediction AC Milan vs Red Star Belgrade: This is what ChatGPT
The AC Milan Red Star Belgrade AI prediction presented to me offers an interesting set of predictions that should suit your different risk tendencies.
The very bold tip that Milan will win 2-0 is a solid choice. I like the goal difference here.
However, a 3-1 or 4-2 win might even be a little more likely if the visitors’ offense – and I’m assuming they will – push forward as boldly as they did against VfB a few weeks ago.
The middle risk tip that Morata will score is quite understandable. The Spaniard has established himself as a reliable goalscorer at Milan, and when he’s on form, I see little reason why he shouldn’t score again here.
However, I would prefer to reject the low risk bet that neither team will score due to the low odds.
Red Star has scored in 4 out of 5 games in the current league phase – even against absolute top teams such as Barcelona (2:5), Benfica (1:2) or Monaco (1:5).
Analysis: AC Milan vs Red Star Belgrade
I keep saying it: if the Milan board were already unhappy with Pioli’s 2nd place in Serie A last year, then it’s only a matter of time before they chase Paulo Fonseca off the pitch.
Meanwhile, I was rewarded for my courage at the weekend when I backed the unstoppable Gasperini side to win against AC Milan for the second time in a row in my successful Atalanta betting tip.
Milan certainly have their strong moments, such as in the Coppa Italia against Sassuolo (6:1) around a week ago.
However, on the last UCL matchday, they were not very convincing against Slovan Bratislava – as I also predicted.
Important rule of thumb: for every good performance, these “Rossoneri” turn in roughly two mediocre performances on average.
Can a single win catapult a team back into the Champions League race after four consecutive defeats in the competition? If so, then certainly the 5:1 victory of Red Star Belgrade over VfB Stuttgart on the final matchday.
This was immediately followed by three more victories in the Serbian league, which at least confirmed the impression of the past weeks and months: Red Star is in a good mood!
If it weren’t for the premier class, the Serbs would have won each of their last 18 competitive matches (14 wins, 4 defeats in the UCL).
Rating Analysis
The odds of 3.90 on average for “1st goal: Belgrade” are definitely an interesting value bet, especially when you look at the current statistics.
Red Star Belgrade have scored the first goal in each of their last four away games, underlining their strong start. This bet could turn out to be very profitable if Belgrade take an early lead again this time.
The odds of 2.95 for “1st half, most goals” also offer value bet potential. Because in the last three Milan games, most of the goals were actually scored in the first half!
Both bets offer an equally attractive combination of risk and possible sports betting payout and could therefore also be profitable for you if the game goes well.
AC Milan vs Red Star Belgrade odds: “Euro-Puli ”
My namesake Christian Pulisic, who arrived the summer before last, has turned out to be a real asset at Milan – especially on the international stage.
In his last 12 European Cup games for the “Rossoneri”, he has been involved in eight goals (6 goals, 2 assists). His performance in the top flight is particularly impressive, where he has contributed four goals and one assist in the last six games.
The American now has the chance to become the first Milan player since Zlatan Ibrahimovic in the 2011/12 season to score in four consecutive Champions League games. That should give him extra motivation!
Sufficient motivation to keep taking a look at Interwetten is the current Champions League promotion. With the voucher code “CL6” you can collect €11 in free betting credit. Simply click on the graphic and go to Interwetten.
Red Star with power from the bench!
RSB should not be able to keep up from the start, but as the game progresses, the chances of the Serbs scoring increase. Only Borussia Dortmund (6) have scored more goals from substitutes than Crvena Zvezda (5) this UEFA Champions League season.
Watch out: Substitutes have scored on 38% of their shots (5 out of 13) for the Serbian side, compared to just four goals from 33 shots by RSB players who, by contrast, were in the starting eleven (12%).
To expect the Serbs to win away from home, however, would be an extremely bold bet, even after their gala performance against VfB a few weeks ago.
Crvena Zvezda have won just one of their last 14 away games against Serie A teams in European Cup competitions, with their only victory coming against Chievo in October 2002 in the now revamped UEFA Cup.
One player who could indeed be in line for a possible Serbian consolation goal, however, is undoubtedly Silas Katompa Mvumpa. The unerring striker has scored in his last two Champions League appearances for Crvena Zvezda alone.
What could give him extra motivation? The last player to score for the club in three consecutive games in Europe’s top flight was Dejan Savicevic in March/April 1991.
My AC Milan Red Star Belgrade tip:
Milan already struggled to keep the tension high over 90 minutes against Slovan Bratislava. Given the Serbs’ high level of motivation, it is quite possible that they will take advantage of a drop in tension from Milan to at least score a consolation goal.
The odds for this scenario are definitely attractive and could represent an interesting betting opportunity.
Which AC Milan Red Star Belgrade betting tip do I have in mind? Both teams will score!
