Conference League League Phase, Matchday 6, Thursday, 19.12.2024 at 21:00
The chances of reaching the knockout round? They’re very good! Lugano are hoping for a big party on Thursday, with the Swiss looking really strong in our UEFA Conference League tips.
Possibly even a defeat will be enough to progress, but of course they don’t want to rely on the competition. In my FC Lugano Pafos betting tip, I’ll tell you why I advise you to bet on the “double chance 1X” with a maximum of four goals
Ejected from the Champions League qualifiers, too weak for the Europa League – this international season has started anything but well for FC Lugano! It was therefore initially unclear what value the Conference League would have for the Swiss club.
However, Lugano quickly provided an answer, winning 3:0 against HJK Helsinki, and some people already sensed this: This could be just the right competition for us! A 1:0 win against Mlada Boleslav was the first of many
The first setback came on matchday three, when we lost 4:1 to Topola. A clear victory, a very narrow success and a heavy defeat – after half of the preliminary round, it was anything but easy to put the team in the right category.
But Lugano came back strongly with a 2-0 win against Gent and had another surprise up their sleeve. A few days ago, they traveled to Warsaw. It was home to Legia, a team that had won all of its games to date.
However, Lugano was the last stop, as the visitors took home a 2:1 win. With twelve points to their name, the Swiss now have one foot in the knockout round – just don’t collapse in the last few meters!
The 1:4 slip-up against Topola is also incomprehensible because they only conceded one more goal in their other four games. Lugano won both home games 3-0 and 2-0.
It is also interesting to note that the score was 1-0 after the first 45 minutes on both occasions. There are two exciting betting options for you! One says that the Swiss will lead at half-time.
Odds of 2.65 are available for this. The even riskier bet is that it will be 1:0 at the break – the value now jumps to 4.10 – I found it at Betano.
FC Lugano have never played against a club from Cyprus before, so Thursday will be a double premiere. It was not so easy for our bookmakers to decide on a favorite here.
Lugano is ahead, certainly also due to the home advantage, but at average odds of 2.15 to 3.30 it would not be an absolute sensation if the points all went to Pafos.
The Cypriots, who are not really known for great success in international competition, still have the chance to advance directly to the knockout phase – but that requires a win. phase – for that to happen, they need a win of their own and their rivals to slip up.
Three wins and two defeats – it’s either or. There were three points against Petrocub (4:1), Astana (1:0) and Celje (2:0), but unfortunately not against Fiorentina (2:3) and Heidenheim (0:1).
So it’s a wild hodgepodge of results that don’t necessarily fit together. 0:1, 1:0 and 2:0? The results, which don’t exactly make spectacular reading, were all at home.
4:1 and 2:3? Pafos clearly put in the wilder performances away from home! There are three professionals who have scored two or more goals, so I expect the Cypriots to do a lot offensively on Thursday as well
A very special day could await the fans of FC Lugano, one that will see them qualify directly for the knockout phase of the Conference League – perhaps even without conceding a point! Of course, the Swiss are not willing to risk it.
They have won four out of five games in the current competition, but also know that their opponents are not easy to play against. Pafos can also still finish in the top eight, having won three games.
I therefore expect us to see an interesting, entertaining and rather close match in which Lugano will play to its defensive strengths. So my tip is:
With a maximum of four goals, Lugano will score!
