Bundesliga 18th matchday, Saturday, 18/01/2025 at 3:30 pm
On the last match day, things got heated in the final minutes at RBL – almost like a fairground boxing match. Several key players were sent off with yellow-red and are now missing from the next game.
For VfL, this could be the ideal chance to get important points in the relegation battle and thus further promote the mission to stay in the league.
Even though almost all sports betting providers remain highly skeptical in this regard, in my opinion it would not be a surprise if the Revier kickers at least scored again on matchday 18.
In my Bochum RB Leipzig betting tip, I am of the opinion that a low-scoring draw does not seem unrealistic.
After all, the “Red Bulls” are missing the club’s two top scorers, who together have scored 14 of Leipzig’s 29 Bundesliga goals so far.
The betting providers’ prediction?
Incidentally, betting providers without tax are not illegal, but rather pay the tax due themselves instead of passing it on to their customers.
Those bookmakers, like everyone else, have called out Bochum RB Leipzig betting odds for Saturday that are unequivocal.
Because with an average of 2.00 to 3.60, the guests’ odds of winning have been set significantly lower than those of the Ruhrpottler.
KI-Prognose Bochum vs RB Leipzig: That’s what ChatGPT tips for
I find the Bochum RB Leipzig prediction from ChatGPT rather difficult overall. In particular, the high-risk tip “Leipzig win with HC -1” is really not recommendable and therefore meets with little approval from me.
Leipzig is extremely weakened in terms of personnel in offense, and it would be an achievement just to get a win here at all. I would therefore rather throw this suggestion straight in the bin!
I take a similar view on “Over 3.5 goals in the game”. The respective playing style and starting position tend to favor a low-scoring game, so I would also discard this suggestion.
On the other hand, the lower risk of “both scoring” could at least make you think, even if the odds of 1.60 are not particularly tempting.
It’s not an unlikely scenario, but for me the probability of it happening here is less than 50%, which makes the tip for a football bet less attractive…
Analysis: Bochum vs RB Leipzig
I really liked Bochum last Wednesday, because the convincing victory over FC St. Pauli was not only absolutely justified, but was even well deserved.
Although VfL will not be the top scorers anytime soon, the xG value of 1.70 was remarkable for the club’s own circumstances and shows how much offensive potential the team has.
The ball moved around fluidly and significantly better than in large parts of the first half of the season, not least due to improved teamwork.
Even more impressive: on the last three matchdays, VfL celebrated both of its only Bundesliga wins so far this season. If that’s not a clear upturn!
At Leipzig, nerves were on edge when they visited Swabia: after a good start with the usual opening goal, there was a sharp decline in performance – unfortunately something we are also used to seeing from RBL from the Champions League phase.
As a result, VfB Stuttgart were also able to turn a deficit around and ultimately convert it into a deserved victory, while the Saxons increasingly lost their way.
After the early opening goal in the 10th minute, Leipzig rarely appeared dangerously in front of Alexander Nübel’s goal – this was certainly not the team that deservedly finished the first half of the season in a top-four place.
Odds Analysis
The odds of around 1.50 for “Under 3.5 goals” are extremely interesting in my opinion.
This option is particularly suitable for a game that could be characterized by tactics and defensive stability. In my opinion, the probability that the game will stay under this mark is higher than the odds reflect.
If you want something even more specific, I like the bet “RB Leipzig under 1.5 goals”, which is listed on the handy Betano app with odds of 1.90.
I also find this offer appealing, as it will be difficult for the Saxons to score a goal at all without their two suspended strikers and the injured Poulsen!
Bochum v RB Leipzig: The guests without strikers!
It was simply unnecessary how RBL decimated itself in the final minutes of the game against Stuttgart.
Sesko was much too hard in the tackle against Stiller, while his teammate Openda pushed Leweling over for no reason. All of a sudden, the “Red Bulls” were down to nine men in the final minutes.
Devastating, because without the two top scorers, it will now be difficult to succeed in a stadium where Leipzig has only managed narrow victories in recent years.
What is particularly painful? The in-form Slovenian was the only player in the league to score consistently in the last five Bundesliga matchdays…
Bochum is not easy to crack!
There is a reason why I have already given the Bochum RB Leipzig AI tip of the kind “Victory RBL with HC -1” a clear rebuff.
Since 2015, Leipzig has only won by more than one goal difference in six guest appearances at the Vonovia Ruhr Stadium.
That was on their last visit in March 2024, when the game was won 4-1…
But back then, the Saxons were at full strength: Sesko, Openda and the now-departed Olmo all scored!
Something is quietly brewing in the Ruhr area, I just can’t shake this feeling. It’s as if there’s an unspoken tension in the air, just waiting to explode.
The last home game before the winter break against Heidenheim was won, as was the first game after the break, and in both cases the opponent did not score a goal – an impressive defense that currently seems difficult to break through.
By the way: The last club to score more than one goal at the Vonovia Ruhrstadion was the great FC Bayern Munich on the 8th match day.
Since then, no one has managed a double – not even the reigning German champions Leverkusen, who returned home from the neighboring club with a 1-1 draw.
Therefore, I seriously wonder how RBL wants to accomplish this feat without its two best strikers. Considering the current form and the lack of top players, it will be a real challenge for the “Red Bulls” to develop their usual power.
My Bochum RB Leipzig Tip:
This game is likely to be low on goals, as RBL not only has to do without Openda and Sesko, but also many other offensive players due to injury.
The momentum is also clearly on the side of the hosts, who are entering the game with an ironclad defense and the advantage of being able to play at home again.
Bochum has shown a strong defensive performance in recent games and could benefit from Leipzig’s absences to secure important points in their own stadium. An exciting and probably hard-fought duel lies ahead of us.
My Bochum RB Leipzig prediction: DC 1X & under 3.5 goals.
