Serie A, Saturday, 02/22/2025 at 8:45 PM
If Genoa FC were a pizza delivery service, from Milan’s point of view it would be the most reliable and punctual in the whole of Serie A. That’s because the “Grifoni” have been delivering plenty of points to the Giuseppe Meazza for many years!
According to my Inter Milan Genoa prediction, this trend will continue in the second leg. The first victory of the Ligurians in the San Siro stadium since 1994 remains a dream only secretly nurtured by all away fans…
Inter lost the “Derby d’Italia” against Juventus 0-1, although the Nerazzurri had more of the game. An annoying defeat, but not a catastrophic one.
The Scudetto 2024/25 remains within reach as long as they don’t drop points against opponents like Genoa and Napoli continue to draw.
But was it really the best decision against Juve to start Taremi instead of Thuram? The Frenchman has not been at his best lately, but in a top game, I personally would have bet on him.
The Nerazzurri now need to get back on track quickly, because losing another point would put unnecessary pressure on them.
Meanwhile, the Genoese are traveling to Milan with a poor away record. They have not won an away game against a team from the current top 10 since the beginning of 2023.
The head-to-head also speaks clearly against them: ten league duels at the Giuseppe Meazza since 2012, ten wins for the home side, eight of them without conceding a goal.
With such numbers, it quickly becomes clear why a bet on “Inter to win to nil” at odds of around 1.93 on the Bet365 app looks very attractive to me.
But the first leg showed that Genoa can be quite unpleasant – that time the team fought hard to get a surprising 2-2 draw. However, that could also motivate the Milan team this time…
A team like the Nerazzurri won’t let itself be annoyed twice in one season by the same team in the lower half of the table. Inter will be out for redemption from the start.
It should not be forgotten that Inter are still in impressive form despite their defeat to Juventus.
Incidentally, Thuram was “Man of the Match” with a double in the first leg – perhaps we will see a repeat of this scenario? In any case, you can count on odds of around 2.10 in the betting markets for another goal by the Frenchman against the Ligurians.
But don’t worry: if he is not in the starting lineup again, a corresponding cancellation option for a goal bet can be easily set on the Betano app.
All signs point to it being a successful evening for the Inzaghi team. The home win odds of around 1.28, as quoted by betting providers, are unequivocal in this regard anyway.
Genoa will be stable defensively, but will they be able to hold out for 90 minutes? That will be difficult! If you are speculating on a sovereign performance by the home side, you could also look at an -1 handicap bet – the odds for this are around 1.80.
The Genoese have too often revealed blatant problems in playing out big chances recently to even score a consolation goal in Milan… The bottom line is that Inter have to win this game to avoid putting unnecessary pressure on themselves in the title race. For Genoa, on the other hand, it will be about doing the best they can.
But against a team that has rarely given their opponents much breathing space in the past, it will be a mammoth task. The statistics speak for themselves – and anything other than a comfortable home win would be a huge surprise. A good sports betting bonus can make all the difference, especially in the final stages of the season. In the top five leagues, the focus is now on championships, European Cup places and relegation – perfect conditions for exciting bets.
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Particularly in the close race for the Serie A title, it pays to use bonus promotions in a targeted manner to get the maximum value out of your bets.
Conclusion: Inter go into this clash as clear favorites, not only because the historical record clearly favors the Nerazzurri, but also because of their current form.
With almost twice as many points as Genoa and the chance to make an immediate statement after the Juve bankruptcy, the conditions are perfect for a home win.
In addition, Inzaghi can almost draw from his entire squad, while the opponent rarely shines away from home anyway…
With their individual class and full focus on the Serie A, the Milaners should not let anything burn here and should be able to assert themselves confidently.
My Inter Milan Genoa betting tip: The host scores over 2.5 goals.
