Bundesliga matchday 26, Saturday, 15.03.2025 at 15:30
Last weekend, Werder achieved a real stroke of liberation. After five consecutive defeats in competitive matches, including an exit in the cup quarter-finals at third-division side Bielefeld, the win at champions Bayer Leverkusen was balm for Werder’s battered soul.
Can the Whites build on this performance at home on Saturday? They suffered a bitter defeat against the Foals in the first leg.
In my Werder Bremen Gladbach betting tip, I had the right bet right in front of me, namely the goal of both teams with over 2.5 goals from NEO.bet.
I don’t really believe that Werder will turn things around yet. Yes, you have to win by zero in Leverkusen first. But Bayer have rotated their squad and put a team on the pitch that wasn’t perfectly matched.
The reason for the changes was the Champions League round of 16. Before and after the Bremen match, there were the games against Bayern and Leverkusen went into the league game after a fresh 0:3 against Munich. Team morale wasn’t exactly at its peak then.
The betting operators’ forecast
Therefore, Bremen are still difficult for me to assess and the same applies to Gladbach. Sometimes we see commanding, sometimes resounding victories and then the men in the striped shirts concede three goals at home again. I clearly lack consistency.
For me, that means the 1X2 market is like a lottery ticket. Nevertheless, I’ll mention the odds here for the sake of completeness: sports betting fans can get 2.38 for a home win, while those who bet on Gladbach (2.80) can almost triple their stake.
The draw (3.50) is considered the least likely of all three outcomes.
AI prediction Werder Bremen vs. Gladbach: This is what ChatGPT
The AI agrees with me with its odds. Only when I ask for higher odds does it use the Bremen win odds and add the goal of both teams. This bet is too hot for me due to Gladbach’s fluctuating results and Bremen’s long sequence of defeats before the Leverkusen win.
I like the two other selections from ChatGPT more. In the middle odds segment, the artificial intelligence has opted for the “Over 3.5 goals” option. With this bet, we are in the mid 2.50 range.
Since a 4:0 or 5:0 is very unrealistic, which is why I would also add the goal of both teams here.
Statistically, Bremen is at 3.48 goals per Bundesliga match and the defense has not pleased me with the exception of last week. We’ve seen a few mistakes in the center time and time again. It’s good that captain Marco Friedl is back after his inner ligament injury.
The figures show that Werder concede far fewer goals with their €10 million captain. On the other hand, Mitchell Weiser, who received his fifth yellow card after his infringement against Florian Wirtz, and Niklas Stark are missing in defense.
Of all three AI odds, I still like the goal of both teams the most due to the return of Bremen’s most important defensive pillar. Because whether we will really see four goals is really a 50/50 thing, which is why a bet only with the “Both teams to score” combination is really attractive.
Analysis: Werder Bremen vs Gladbach
I’m going one level lower in my selection for this bet, however, i.e. “Over 2.5 goals”. The decisive factor is primarily the offensive style of play that both teams prefer, but at the same time are currently struggling with stability at the back.
The perfect conditions for goals. Especially as I expect two teams playing for victory in this duel. After the results crisis, Werder want to set the next highlight and make up ground on the other teams.
In contrast to the Bremen fan camp, Gladbach’s European dreams are still alive. Before the start of the matchday, the Foals are in ninth place, just two points off sixth place. Moreover, the Weser Stadium is no longer the feared fortress it once was.
SVW have only won one in four home games, with only St. Pauli and Heidenheim winning three less often. Gladbach, meanwhile, collected four more points away from home than Werder did at home.
Rating Analysis
We saw three away wins in a row. The 2:1 in Stuttgart and at Union Berlin was followed by a 3:0 against Heidenheim. We’re getting 2.10 odds at NEO.bet for Gladbach’s double against Werder.
At Werder’s official sports betting partner, new customers receive a €10 free bet before making their first deposit. In addition to my final tip, I would also add Tim Kleindienst’s goal. The striker, who previously played for Heidenheim, likes to score against Bremen.
His goal as a single bet is already at 2.64. He netted one goal last season and two in the relegation a few years ago. He also set up five goals, including three of Gladbach’s four goals from the first leg.
Werder Bremen vs. Gladbach: The Foals concede the second most goals
He quickly got up to speed at Gladbach, scoring a total of 14 goals and setting up six more balls. A nice haul from 24 matches. The higher rate is due to a brief lull. Kleindienst failed to score in the last three games.
Before that, however, he scored in five league games in a row and, given Bremen’s 2025 defensive statistics, 2.64 is a top bet. Despite the win, Werder are only 16th in the table for the second half of the season, having conceded 17 goals in eight games. Only Kiel conceded more.
And Gladbach have had the fifth most shots on goal all season, but as mentioned at the beginning, the defensive numbers are scary instead. After Kiel, Gladbach have conceded the most chances, scraping the 400 mark.
Further evidence that the goal is on offer for both teams and as a 1-1 would in no way be satisfactory for Werder and Borussia, they would continue to play colorfully for the next goal at this stage.
The last few duels were like a shooting match
The head-to-head duels have been anything but low-scoring in recent years. Before the 4:1 in the first leg, we saw two games at eye level last season, both of which ended 2:2. We saw another 2-2 draw the season before that.
The last time Werder won was in 2022, when Bremen celebrated a resounding 5-1 home victory. In total, we’ve seen six Bundesliga clashes in a row with at least three goals and one goal from both teams.
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My Werder Bremen Gladbach tip:
Gladbach are perhaps the most inconsistent team in the league and Werder, after countless defeats, have once again recorded a win against a mentally battered near-B team from Leverkusen.
I give the odds market a wide berth. I’ve watched the last few duels, which were very attacking, in full length. I can’t imagine that it will be any different this time.
The teams have their strengths in forward play and are also aware of their opponents’ vulnerability in defense. And one point is not enough for either team here, so fire away!
Both score, the 2.5-goal mark will be cracked!
