Süper Lig, Monday, 15.04.2024
What scenes! In the Turkish Super Cup, Fenerbahce sent their own U-19s onto the pitch, only to run off after conceding the first goal and leave the pitch abruptly, a planned protest against the association!
The final in question may now be rescheduled, but I already have an Alanyaspor Galatasaray tip for you on Monday that should put a big grin on the face of every fan of the “Canaries” …
Fenerbahçe continue their quest for international glory in the Conference League, while Galatasaray could secure domestic success.
Little has changed in the neck-and-neck race between the two fierce rivals since matchday 1. Nowhere else in Europe does a single defeat in domestic competition have more serious consequences for a team’s chances of winning the championship than in Turkey.
Both Galatasaray and Fenerbahce have only lost one league game each this season and have held the upper hand on at least 26 of the 31 matchdays so far, so there is not much room for defeat in view of such figures …
And so Galatasaray must win at Alanyaspor to avoid the danger of being overtaken by Fenerbahce on the same matchday.
This match will certainly not be a walkover, as the upcoming opponents are the only club in the league apart from “Gala” and Fenerbahce to have won on each of the last four matchdays.
Defeating Alanyaspor for the first time in the Süper Lig since November 11, 2023 will therefore be anything but child’s play! Even if the sports betting providers are trying to give us just this impression in their recently announced Alanyaspor Galatasaray odds
Gala will come up against an extremely tactically disciplined team that has already taken points off their closest rivals.
Please note: On February 11, Fenerbahce were unable to bring Alanyaspor to their knees (2:2) despite having the home advantage.
It is obvious that the supposed underdogs have improved massively since the first half of the season, meaning that the 4-0 defeat to Galatasaray in the first clash of the season does not play too much of a role in my prediction.
The actual balance of power is much more even almost five months later, even if the bookmakers don’t seem to share this opinion.
As a representative of the entire bookmaking scene, we can use the Interwetten app to get an overview of the odds situation.
And as already announced, I am surprised by the conviction with which the sports betting providers insist on an away win for the “Cim-Bom”.
In any case, odds of 1.52 to win are too low to outweigh the risk of surprisingly dropping points against possibly the most in-form Süper Lig team of this late spring.
In any case, the 2.30 that is being traded for a viable result for Alanysaspor makes me much more satisfied, both in terms of the payout and the perceived probability of occurrence.
In addition, I have the feeling that the bizarre events of last Sunday have not passed Galatasaray by without a trace, even if they celebrated the “victory by abandonment” exuberantly!
To recap: Fenerbahçe fielded a team made up entirely of young players on Sunday. Shortly after Galatasaray took the lead in the third minute, the players left the pitch, forcing the referee to abandon the match
This protest action was part of a months-long dispute between Fenerbahçe and the national association TFT, in which the club wanted to protest against alleged unfair treatment.
On the one hand, the club had tried in vain to postpone the Super Cup clash with its arch-rivals in order to prepare for the upcoming Conference League quarter-final against Olympiakos Piraeus.
On the other hand, Fenerbahçe’s demand for a foreign referee also remained unfulfilled.
Club officials had already announced the departure of the talents before the game and advised fans not to attend the match at the venue
Conclusion: It’s going to be an extremely tough game! In any case, I have no doubt that the away win bet traded on the markets is too low to actually be noticed against this opponent.
Of course, the fact that Gala have won 27 of their 31 point games and flexed their muscles against Alanysspor in the first half of the season is impressive …
Nevertheless, the Orange-Greens are currently performing at a very high level and with their own fans behind them, they could go into this game without any pressure and cause a big surprise, why not!
My Alanyaspor Galatasaray prediction: Double chance 1X.
