Augsburg – Wolfsburg Prediction Bundesliga, Matchday 6 on Saturday, 10/04/2025 at 3:30 p.m.
Sandro Wagner and the Bwin bonus share the same fate. Both were praised at the start of the season, but while the enthusiasm surrounding the new customer bonus continues, the consternation surrounding the declining performance of the FCA head coach is growing.
Meanwhile, our model predicts a total of 2.71 xG goals for the upcoming match against the Wolves, with 1.35 xG for the home team and 1.36 xG for the visitors.
The tiny difference between the two teams suggests that the match is much more evenly balanced than even the best betting providers with Paysafecard assume.
My Augsburg Wolfsburg tip is therefore “X” and speculates on a probability of this event occurring of what I estimate to be 50%.
The reason I am not betting on an away win for Wolfsburg is not only because of the pressure on FC Augsburg to finally deliver, but also because of the direct comparison between the two teams.
FCA is unbeaten in its last seven Bundesliga matches against Wolfsburg (4 wins, 3 draws) – the longest current streak against any opponent in the Bundesliga.
Incidentally, the Fuggerstadt team’s last defeat against the Wolves came in November 2021, when they lost 0-1 away.
Augsburg – Wolfsburg Prediction & Betting
Maximilian Arnold to score at odds of around 8.75 promises value in my eyes – and not just a little. The Wolves captain has already created seven big chances this Bundesliga season – the highest number in the league.
Another Augsburg Wolfsburg tip I have on my personal betting slip is Augsburg under 1.5 goals at average betting odds of around 1.65.
This is because FCA has only created three big chances so far this Bundesliga season and has only 4.6 expected goals (xG).
What you need to consider when betting on Augsburg vs. Wolfsburg
- After five Bundesliga games, Augsburg has the lowest expected goal tally (4.57xG) and the most expected goals conceded (12.57xGA) defensively.
- Wolfsburg has 8.41xG – almost twice as much as Augsburg. Mohamed Amoura leads Wolfsburg with 1.5xG.
- Three of Augsburg’s four defeats this season were by just one goal.
- Before this round, Augsburg had received the most yellow cards in the Bundesliga with 19.
- Wolfsburg’s games have averaged 12 corner kicks so far – the second-highest in the league before the round.
Augsburg – Wolfsburg: AI tip & odds analysis
While I am a little cautious in this regard, our Augsburg Wolfsburg AI prediction is quite clear – a VfL victory at odds of around 2.55.
This suggestion is not entirely unfounded, as the Fuggerstadt team is on an almost historic downward spiral.
FC Augsburg has lost eight of its last nine Bundesliga games (1 win) – more defeats than any other team in this period.
Under 2.5 goals is traded by our AI model at odds of around 2.10 as another promising value bet tip.
Since I myself am expecting a 1-1 draw, I cannot fundamentally disagree with this suggestion. Especially since it is in line with the general performance trend of both teams.
I have already drawn your attention to the problems the Fuggerstadt team is having in attack. But did you know that before the current Bundesliga match day, only two teams in the league had fewer shots on goal than the Wolves (17)?
The best odds for Augsburg vs. Wolfsburg
Augsburg welcomes Wolfsburg – a duel that promises excitement from the very first minute. Winamax and Bet365 stand out with the best odds: 2.70 for a home win for the Fuggerstadt team, 3.50 for a draw, and 2.50 if the Wolves triumph away.
Augsburg brings fighting spirit and home strength to the table, while Wolfsburg shines with individual class and offensive power.
And one thing is clear: if FCA doesn’t maintain the upper hand or at least score, Sandro Wagner’s days on the Fuggerstadt bench could be numbered.
Augsburg vs. Wolfsburg match analysis:
When things aren’t going well, frustration quickly sets in at FC Augsburg – and Wolfsburg could feel the full force of that this time around!
Augsburg has the worst statistics in the Bundesliga this season in terms of fouls (77) and yellow cards (19), while Wolfsburg has only received eight cautions so far – only RB Leipzig (6) has received fewer in the league.
So be prepared for FCA to play rough on Saturday if necessary to avoid a painful defeat.
In addition, FCA’s statistics are alarming: no other team in the Bundesliga has generated fewer expected goals after five games (only 4.57 xG), while at the same time conceding the most expected goals (12.57 xGA).
Everything points to Augsburg struggling to create any momentum against Wolfsburg. The chances are good that the Lower Saxony team will control the game and take advantage of the hosts’ frustration.
However, I still can’t quite bring myself to bet on an away win in the Betano app.
Augsburg form check
After the 1-2 defeat against Heidenheim, one thing is certain: things are heating up at FCA, and Sandro Wagner may soon have to start looking for a new coaching job.
FC Augsburg has lost eight of its last nine Bundesliga games (1 win) – meaning that they have suffered more defeats than any other club during this period.
They have currently lost four games in a row, and there has only been one instance of five consecutive defeats in the Bundesliga so far: at the end of the 2023/24 season under Jess Thorup.
Wolfsburg form check
However, VfL Wolfsburg have been waiting for a win for four Bundesliga games (2 draws, 2 defeats) and have even lost their last two games without scoring a goal.
This means that the Wolves are repeating a negative streak that they last experienced in March/April 2025 with four consecutive defeats.
Consequently, contrary to our Augsburg Wolfsburg AI prediction, I am not entirely convinced that VfL will prevail on Saturday. But I have to agree with our AI model on one point: the high Wolfsburg odds are really attractive.
