Tottenham – Manchester City Tip | Premier League, Matchday 24 on Sunday, 01.02.2026 at 17:30 CET
For my Tottenham Man City tip, one thing is clear: Spurs’ disastrous home misery will continue against Pep Guardiola’s team. My Premier League prediction for Sunday’s game is for a Manchester win with a handicap of -1.
For this bet, AdmiralBet provides you with odds of 2.65. In addition, you can secure a €10 freebet in addition to the new customer bonus.
While Spurs even finished ahead of City in Europe, the Premier League tells a completely different story. Manchester City are second, just four points behind Arsenal, while Tottenham are languishing in a disappointing 14th place ahead of matchday 24.
The form of the Londoners is worrying. They have been waiting for a win in five league games and recently did not get beyond a 2-2 draw against the second-to-last team from Burnley. City, on the other hand, celebrated their first league win of 2026 with a 2-0 win against Wolves.
For those who like it more classic, the victory bet on Man City is a top alternative. The odds of 1.73 at Bet-at-Home are not huge, but very solid given the form curves of both teams and the fact that City won the last two duels in London.
For the more risk-averse among you, I recommend a goalscorer bet on Antoine Semenyo. He is rested and has scored in three of four games for City since his transfer. At odds of 2.40, this is an absolute value bet for me.
I also find the bet that not both teams will score interesting. In the last six direct duels, the winner has won five times to nil. The statistics therefore support a bet that at least one team will remain without a goal.
Tottenham – Man City AI predictions:
Our in-house AI tool has simulated the game and comes to a clear conclusion. The probability of Manchester City winning away from home is a whopping 52.5%, which underpins the bookmakers’ assessment.
For a draw, the simulation gives a chance of 23.2%, while a home win of the Spurs is classified as rather unlikely with only 24.2%. The numbers really speak a very clear language in favor of the guests.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Win Tottenham |
Draw |
Win ManCity |
| 24.2% |
23.3% |
52.5% |
Our analysis tool also sees the Citizens clearly ahead in terms of expected goals. With 1.66 to 1.07 predicted goals, the AI underpins the role of the team of coach Pep Guardiola as favorites and bases bets on a victory for the guests.
Our bookmakers, including the majority of bookmakers with PayPal, see it very similarly. The current Tottenham Manchester City betting odds indicate an implied chance of victory of around 61% for the visitors. So the trend is the same for both bookies and AI.
Nevertheless, you shouldn’t write off the Spurs completely. Guardiola has lost more often to no other opponent in his long career. This could tempt one or the other of you to make a bold outsider bet on the Londoners.
The Asian Handicap Line for over-goals is 3.0. This means that if you score exactly three goals in the game, you will get your stake back. Given City’s offensive power, this is an exciting option to keep an eye on.
What you need to know about Tottenham – Man City betting
- Tottenham have won only two of eleven home games, while City have recently scored very well away from home.
- Manchester City is the goal machine of the league with 2.04 goals per game, while Spurs score an average of only 1.18 times at home.
- The bookmakers see the chance of victory for City at around 61%, which clearly reflects the balance of power.
- New signing Semenyo has already scored eleven times this season and benefits from City’s enormous chance qualification and quantity (highest xG value in the league).
