Augsburg – Cologne Tip Bundesliga, Matchday 24 on Friday, 27/02/2026 at 20:30 CET
Basically, it can be argued very well why even an Augsburg Cologne tip on the strong Fuggerstädter would be completely sufficient to quickly reach for a proven sports betting app.
However, I take a somewhat more subtle approach, whereby the selection 1st half: victory Augsburg at odds around 2.70 is based on a meticulous evaluation of the data material available to me.
Because the “Effzeh” has only led once at the break during its last 11 away games and conceded an average of 0.55 goals more in this period than the Domstadt team has handed out themselves.
FCA, on the other hand, have conceded only a single goal before the break in their last seven Bundesliga home games.
At the same time, however, it is also clear that if my prediction should actually come true, the way to another three points for the Swabians could be wide open …
According to the official Bundesliga schedule, Friday will be the seventh clash between the two teams since the start of the second half of the season.
Personally, I don’t deviate from the side of the Fuggerstädter in the context of my Augsburg Cologne prediction, even if the Rhinelanders have not lost any of the last six direct duels.
I weigh the current form curves of both teams as well as the imminent loss of the Cologne midfield engine Tom Krauss much more than comparisons, some of which date back several years.
Augsburg – Cologne Prediction & Betting
If FCA are actually ahead at half-time on Friday, then an Augsburg Cologne tip based on this and a little more courageous could possibly yield even more lavish profits.
This means, for example, the selection Augsburg/Augsburg at odds around 3.65, for which you would like to use the NEO. Bet free bet. Because the bookmaker of the same name reaches into its own pocket for your betting fun.
And while you’re at it, an equally courageous pick like Rodrigo Ribeiro would also be worth considering under these conditions at slightly value-rich odds of around 2.87.
The Portuguese may have only recently moved to FCA, but he scored for his first time for his new employer on the last matchday and also played 81 minutes. I want to benefit directly from this “momentum” on Friday by means of a goal bet!
What you need to know about Augsburg vs. Cologne betting
- Home fortress WWK Arena: FC Augsburg are unbeaten in seven home games and have picked up an impressive 15 points in this period – a record that is currently only surpassed by the top teams in the table in the league
- The “goats” often present themselves sleepily away from home and were already behind at half-time in five of their last six guest games; in addition, Lukas Kwasniok’s team is without a win in seven away games
- The statistics promise to be entertaining, as both teams scored in five of Augsburg’s eight games in 2026 (average 3 goals) – a trend that was even confirmed in seven of Cologne’s eight competitive games this calendar year
- Claude-Maurice as Augsburg’s trump card: With three goals and four assists in the last seven games, Alexis Claude-Maurice is the most in-form attacking player for the Fuggerstädter; he shone again in the 3-2 win against Wolfsburg as a double assist
Augsburg – Cologne: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
Our Cologne Augsburg AI forecast strongly disagrees with me on one point. Because while I am secretly flirting with a home win bet, our calculation model has identified a simple draw as the best possible 1X2 tip from a game theory point of view.
The odds of about 3.40 are used as an argument, as is the fact that each of the last three direct duels has already ended without a winner.
That may be the case, but in the here and now, I see the Fuggerstädter performing a tad better than the “Effzeh” next Friday with four wins from the last five matchdays.
Ribeiro is an asset to FCA’s attack, which is why I also like the second computer-generated suggestion very much. Augsburg over 1.5 goals promises a 2x for your effort – and at the same time really good chances of success.
Statistically, this can be very well justified, as the Fuggerstädter fired an above-average number of 6+ shots on goal on four of the last five matchdays.
Cologne, on the other hand, have conceded at least one opposing brace in three of their last four Bundesliga away games.
Nevertheless, our data model does not want to risk a win bet on FCA, as its defensive unit admittedly cannot be counted among the strongest in the league.
The best odds for Augsburg vs. Cologne
FC Augsburg has been in remarkable shape for weeks, but the bookmakers remain cautious when it comes to a clear distribution of roles on Friday against 1. Euphoria yes – blind optimism no.
A home win for FCA is rated 2.25. This signals respect for the form, intensity and self-confidence of the Fuggerstädter, but not a clear assumption of dominance. Augsburg are favourites – but with the handbrake on.
The draw is 3.50. This assessment fits a game in which Cologne counters with structure and toughness in the duel and steers the game into contested paths.
An away three of the “Effzeh”, on the other hand, is listed at 3.05. The Domstadt team does not travel without a chance; the quota shows that they are believed to be able to perform efficiently.
The Augsburg Cologne odds thus point to a duel in which FCA is slightly ahead, but the decision does not seem to be pre-programmed. In any case, the euphoria in Swabia does not seem to have infected the German betting providers.
Augsburg vs Cologne Match Analysis:
There are many indications of an entertaining duel that could offer plenty of offensive spectacle. Augsburg have been much more stable at home since the defeat against Dortmund in October and are unbeaten in seven home games.
Augsburg have scored in six of these games – a clear signal that the offense reliably delivers in front of its own crowd.
Against an opponent like Cologne, who have conceded a whopping 20 goals in the last 10 away league games, there should be enough chances this time as well.
FCA will probably try to build up pressure on the wings early on Friday and generate many shots to exploit the defensive vulnerability of the visitors.
However, the game is anything but a foregone conclusion. Cologne will also have opportunities, as Augsburg has the fourth-weakest defensive record in the league with an xGA value of 41.47.
In addition, the Fuggerstädter have lost the xG duel in four of the last seven home games – an indication that the latest results somewhat exaggerate the underlying data.
This is exactly where the opportunity for Cologne lies: If they play out their transition moments cleanly, the game can quickly tip over. I expect an open exchange of blows in which both teams score, but Augsburg has a slight advantage thanks to its home strength.
Augsburg Form Check
FCA are currently one of the most in-form teams in the Bundesliga. The Bavarian Swabians have picked up a strong 14 points from their last seven games – on a par with Stuttgart and just behind Dortmund and Bayern Munich.
With four wins from the last five games, the Fuggerstädters have also built up a comfortable cushion of eight points on the relegation zone.
After 23 matchdays, only three points are missing from the total yield of the 2024/25 season – statistically, it is already the second-best Bundesliga season in the last seven years for the club from Swabia.
Defensively, however, there are two areas of work: Chrislain Matsima is suffering from a thigh injury, while Jeffrey Gouweleeuw is missing with a medial ligament injury in his knee.
Augsburg should therefore once again rely on their proven back three with Keven Schlotterbeck, Cedric Zesiger and Noahkai Banks. Defensive stability remains key – because their error-prone defence must perform well if the current high flight is to continue.
Cologne Form Check
Cologne are still under pressure and are only two points above the relegation zone, even if the 2-2 draw against the in-form TSG from Hoffenheim really did their own self-confidence good.
Incidentally, the man of the match was Ragnar Ache, who also scored one of the most beautiful goals of the 2025/26 season with a spectacular overhead kick in the penalty area.
For Ache, it was already the fourth goal in 2026 and his fifth overall since his move from 1 FC Kaiserslautern in the summer – you can clearly see how much self-confidence he currently has.
Before the away game in Augsburg, however, Cologne is plagued by a long injury list. Five players are not expected back until March and are definitely out.
Jan Thielmann and Sebastian Sebulonsen are on the verge of their comeback, but the weekend could come too early. Cologne will have to improvise again – and hope that the injured Tom Krauss will not be out on Friday!
