Aston Villa – Nottingham Tip Europa League, semi-final second leg on Thursday, 07/05/26 at 21:00
Fourth direct duel, maximum importance: A place in the Europa League final in Istanbul is at stake! Both fan communities have been eagerly awaiting this fateful game for days!
For a promising Aston Villa Nottingham Forest tip, I have analyzed exactly which team currently has the better prerequisites and where real value results on the betting markets!
After the 0:1 in the first leg, the Villans have to deliver at home – there is no doubt about that! With the selection Double Chance 1X & Under 3.5 Goals, I am at least committing myself to the fact that they will be on the right track.
At Betano, there is a strong odd of 1.78 for this, which I think is very attractive, as Villa is hard to beat at home.
The hosts were also able to rest important players at the weekend, while Forest had to invest everything in the Premier League relegation battle, perhaps even too much.
Aston Villa vs Nottingham AI Predictions:
Just as I have analyzed the Betano promo code for you in detail, our Aston Villa Nottingham AI prediction has taken a close look at the match data from the first leg as well as those from the previous matches.
The Villans have won all six of their previous home games in the Europa League, with a goal difference of 14-3.
In addition, Unai Emery’s troops have a 16-point lead over the “Tricky Trees” in the Premier League. All this favors a possible comeback of the AVFC!
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Aston Villa |
Draw |
Win Nottingham |
| 55% |
24.3% |
20.7% |
After all, a 1-0 half-time bet in favor of the AVFC is a statistically promising pick, to which our model assigns a probability of occurrence of 42% and which also convinces me at odds of around 3.60.
And if it actually comes to that, then I’m willing to bet that Ollie Watkins will have his fingers in the pie again. In four of his last five Europa League appearances, he has been directly involved in goals. Now you understand why the pick 1st goal: Watkins at 4.60 appeals to me so much!
What you need to know about Aston Villa vs. Nottingham betting
- Aston Villa have not lost their last 10 home matches against Nottingham. Forest’s last victory at Villa Park dates back to 1994.
- Nottingham Forest are unbeaten in all three European meetings with English teams and have not conceded a single goal.
- Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest lead the 2025/26 UEFA Europa League with seven clean sheets each.
- Of Ollie Watkins’ 15 goals this season, four have been scored in the Europa League. He has already scored three goals in nine games against Forest.
