ATP Tournament in Bastad, Round of 16 on Thursday, 16/07/26, 10:00
Shortly after Wimbledon I asked for a good sports betting bonus successfully implement a very specific Rublev Pellegrino tip in the . Because in the round of 16 in Bastad it could be for the supposed favorites come to a little surprise!
The Russian, for example, is completely out of shape and lost four of his last five games – including against Kokkinakis, who played in the aforementioned ATP world rankings can only be found in 460th place. Pellegrino so has a real chance here!
Rublev vs. Pellegrino AI predictions:
We have also trimmed our data model for tennis matches and the Rublev I like Pellegrino AI Forecast so much because it is at the same time Conclusion as I come: There is “value” in the Pellegrino odds.
The bet to win Pellegrino at a value of around 3.70 is what makes from a purely mathematical point of view, it actually makes a lot of sense, since I have The Russian’s chances of victory even at a maximum of 60%.
The Italian already has a very sovereign first-round victory in Bastad and could have been the best with his precise baseline balls and clay court bonus also pose big problems for Rublev.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Rublev |
Victory Pellegrino |
| 61.5% |
38.5% |
Furthermore, I have a somewhat more courageous Rublev Pellegrino tip in mind, which also has a very good risk-return ratio. Because if you are willing to take risks for high profits, then a Set bet on 2:0 Pellegrino to 7.10 just the right thing for you !
The Italian feels right at home on clay and won in Perugia in 2025 and reached the semi-finals there this year. With its solid baseline game, he could force Rublev to long rallies!
What you need to know about Rublev vs. Pellegrino betting
- Pellegrino’s First Round Gala: In the opening match against the Norwegian youngster Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, Andrea Pellegrino at the smooth 6:3, 6:2 with an enormous efficiency in the first Serve – he won a whopping 75% of the points after the first Service (24 of 32) and used 4 of 5 break chances.
- Clay court resistance in Rome: The fact that the Italian Asche can grow beyond himself, he proved in May 2026 at the Masters in Rome, when he successively defeated the top players Luca Nardi and Frances Tiafoe and in the round of 16 only at the number 1 in the world, Jannik Sinner, failed.
- Rublev’s cold start risk: While Pellegrino has already is fully in rhythm and is also already a successful doubles match (victory alongside Vavassori) in his bones, is for Andrej Rublev after a bye in the first round the very first match of the tournament.
- The Wimbledon wound: Rublev travels with a bitter Disappointment in the luggage to Sweden; at his last tournament appearance at Wimbledon he was eliminated in the first round after a dramatic five-set thriller against Roman Safiullin.
