MSK Zilina – HNK Hajduk Split Tip Europa League, 1st qualifying round, second leg on Thursday, 16/07/26 at 20:30
After finishing Croatian runners-up by a wide margin last year, Hajduk Split are now aiming for a more successful season. And according to my Zilina Hajduk Split tip, they should at least easily advance to the 2nd qualifying round of the Europa League after the 2-0 win a week ago.
Because our xG value expects 1.43 xG from the Slovaks and already the first leg offered them enough chances to at least score the honorary goal. In a tricky starting position and with their own crowd behind them, they should make bolder attacking attempts this time.
Zilina vs. Hajduk Split AI Predictions:
The 2026/27 season has not yet really started, and we bettors have already rated the new and old bookmakers where safe football bets can still be made.
Meanwhile, our Zilina Hajduk Split AI prediction has presented me with more sensible betting suggestions for the game. I particularly liked Draw No Bet: Hajduk Split at values around 1.67 at Betano, the official sponsor of the Europa League.
The Croatians did not make any monumental investments in new players in the summer and even sold Bruno Durdov for almost a million transfer fees, but their first impressions and their test match record of 3 wins to nil in 3 games testify to a functioning team.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Zilina |
Draw |
Win Hajduk Split |
| 29.8% |
27.1% |
43.1% |
Goal(s) in both halves is another Zilina Hajduk split tip that I would recommend to you at odds of around 1.85. After the 2-0 defeat in the first leg, the Slovaks cannot hope for a monumental second half alone.
Especially the expected offensive basic orientation could ensure a lively start to the game, in which I would not rule out that the counter-attacking Croats will score the first goal of the game.
What you need to consider when betting on Zilina vs. Hajduk Split
- The 2-0 deficit in the first leg: Zilina has to turn around a 2-0 deficit in the second leg. In the history of UEFA qualifying (since 2009), Slovakian teams have only managed to reach the next round in 8.3% of cases (1 out of 12 duels) after a 2-0 away defeat in the first leg.
- Split’s away strength 25/26: The Croatians have won four of their last six away games in UEFA competition across all seasons, averaging 1.8 goals per game.
- Zilina’s defensive weakness: Zilina has been waiting for a clean sheet in the European Cup for seven home games now. The last clean sheet in their own stadium dates back to the 2023 Conference League qualifiers.
- The 70% success rate: Hajduk Split have a flawless record in the 21st century after a home win with at least a two-goal difference in the first leg: In all seven cases in which this constellation existed, the Croatians qualified for the next round in the second leg.
