Serie A, Sunday, 29.12.2024 at 20:45
My AC Milan AS Roma betting tip focuses on a supposed Serie A top match on Sunday evening, which on closer inspection is actually no longer a match at all.
Milan are in eighth place in the table, while Roma are so far down the table that participation in the European Cup for the 2025/26 season no longer seems even remotely realistic.
So Milan and Roma meet in this exciting clash. The “Giallorossi” are on a roll at the moment – and they have their superstar Paulo Dybala to thank for it.
The world champion remains the Romans’ life insurance and it is certainly no coincidence that Claudio Ranieri was the first to enquire about the then ailing Argentine’s state of health when he was appointed a few months ago.
On Sunday, Paulo Dybala was back on the pitch for 90 minutes for only the second time since September – and it made an immediate impact. Parma were dispatched 5-0, thanks in particular to his two goals and an assist.
This underlines the picture of a general upswing at Roma. Recent victories – such as the 4:1 win against Lecce and the 3:0 win against Braga – in the Europa League phase have already shown that Roma are currently on fire.
If it weren’t for the 0:2 against Como on matchday 16, we’d be talking about five clean wins in a row here …
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In contrast, there’s Milan, who have never really convinced me under Fonseca. The Rossoneri have the potential, but they rarely bring it to the pitch consistently.
The narrow 1:0 win against Hellas Verona was a prime example of Milan’s weaknesses. The winning goal wasn’t scored in the last minute of the game, but you never got the feeling that Milan were in complete control of the game.
This inconsistency makes it difficult for me as a betting fan to trust Milan – especially against a team currently in form like Roma.
The AC Milan AS Roma odds speak for themselves: the Rossoneri are favored with values averaging 2.15, but to be honest I can’t quite understand this assessment.
Roma are simply playing more convincingly through the winter and are therefore superior in terms of form, even though they have had to wait more than eight months for a win away from home…
That’s quite a feat, but Roma have the quality to overcome this hurdle. I think that a hard-fought game awaits here, but in the end the Giallorossi could well come away with something worthwhile.
This leads us to several different betting scenarios that you can take advantage of at a betting provider with PayPal and that primarily depend on your individual risk appetite.
I think the draw potential in this match is extremely high. Although the odds of around 3.50 are “fair”, they don’t necessarily knock my socks off.
Risk-averse bettors could also switch to a double chance X2 bet at this point, the odds for which are currently 1.70 and which would also be ideal for a combination bet.
The two clubs faced each other a total of four times last season; in five games, if we add a test match from May of this year.
The two Serie A games went to Milan with 2:1 and 3:1 respectively, while the capital team came out on top in both Europa League quarter-finals (1:0, 2:1).
Personally, I would rate the Romans as slightly stronger in 2024/25, at least in the here and now.
After all, AC finished as runners-up last year under Stefano Pioli, while under Paulo Fonseca they are currently only eighth …
Want to hear another interesting statistical side note? Milan have always conceded at least one goal in their last 10 games against this opponent.
Normally, that would automatically trigger a “both teams meet” bet for me. However, as I consider the prospect of a 1-0 away win for the “Giallorossi” to be quite realistic, I am reluctant to do so this time …
Conclusion: I would rather put my faith in the great Oddset free bet than in the prospect of Paulo Fonseca being at the helm of Milan for much longer.
There is already a crisis internally – and a defeat against Roma would quickly send the Portuguese into the devil’s kitchen.
I think it’s entirely possible that the Giallorossi could pick up a point or two. They’ve finally found their rhythm under Ranieri, and with a fit Dybala, there’s a lot to play for anyway …
My AC Milan AS Roma tip: DC X2 & under 4.5 goals
