Premier League, Saturday, 04.05.2024
The temperatures are also rising at the bookies, several sports betting new customer bonuses have been upgraded! Clear signs that the European Championship 2024, which starts in the summer, is getting closer and betting providers are increasingly trying to position themselves for the major event of the year.
Until then, however, apart from the Champions League final, there is no bigger highlight for me in May than the fierce battle for supremacy in the English Premier League.
And in this intense three-way battle, my Arsenal Bournemouth tip is that one of the title contenders could be in for a nasty surprise on Saturday …
Arsenal have turned their full attention to the domestic league competition following their Champions League exit at the hands of Bayern and have not looked back since.
The three sometimes difficult opponents that awaited the Gunners in the second half of April were all beaten.
The Londoners beat Wolves 2:0, humiliated Chelsea in the subsequent 5:0 victory and, last but not least, defeated Tottenham Hotspur 3:2.
The reward for this is a temporary lead at the top of the table, which will last at least until next Saturday. Then, when Manchester City return to the arena …
Should you get involved in a home win bet? First things first: With Arsenal Bournemouth odds of around 1.20 for a win for the Gunners, most sports betting apps make it difficult to place a profitable soccer bet on this event.
However, even many experienced experts find it difficult to consider anything else at first.
After all, Arsenal have won all six of their home games against Bournemouth in the Premier League. The Londoners have only ever played more home games against Stoke, maintaining an unblemished record of 100% (10 out of 10)
In addition, Arsenal have won 13 of their 15 Premier League games in 2024, only dropping points against Manchester City (0-0) and Aston Villa (0-2). The Gunners have therefore stepped up a gear at exactly the right time.
However, the Gunners have conceded four goals in their last four league games, the same number as in their previous 11 games combined …
But there are other signs that suggest the Londoners could soon make a crucial gaffe in the battle for the Premier League.
Because Bournemouth have been very unruly – and, in my estimation, much better than many of you might initially think.
Bournemouth have won their last two point games against Wolves and Brighton 1-0 and 3-0 respectively.
But it’s not just their recent performances that are impressive. Even if we extend the period under review by several months, the “Cherries” leave a good impression on savvy data analysts.
Since AFC recorded their first Premier League win of the season at the end of October, they have picked up 45 points in 26 games; only the current top four teams have been more diligent in terms of points in this period.
What’s more, the Association Football Club has never won more games in a Premier League season than the 13 in the current 2023/24 season (as well as 13 in 2018/19).
In view of the enormous odds imbalance on the markets and the existing potential of the guests, I will reorient myself accordingly in my considerations for a possible Arsenal Bournemouth tip.
The only thing is that AFC will probably not be able to avoid conceding at least one goal this time. Bournemouth have picked up just five points in 13 Premier League games against Arsenal and have never conceded a goal.
The Cherries have only played more games against Manchester City (14) without conceding a goal
It’s still hotly debated whether he’ll reach his father’s potential, but one of the reasons the visitors are on the up is Justin Kluivert. You should pay particular attention to him on Saturday.
Justin Kluivert has scored as many goals in his last six Premier League games (4 – 3 goals, 1 assist) as in his previous 23 games in this competition combined (4 goals).
Of course, I don’t want to push my luck too far, even if the extremely high away win odds would certainly justify this risk
I’m also acting a little more cautiously because there are supposedly safer ways to place a profitable soccer bet on the markets.
For example, I will add a very specific additional condition to a “both teams to meet” bet so that the visitors are at least ahead on my betting slip even in the event of a 1:3, 2:3, 2:4 or similar defeat.
For this, I have also selected the option “Bet 2 with HC +3” with the German betting provider Betano …
Conclusion: The Gunners have completely focused on the championship in recent weeks and have been able to celebrate some impressive successes.
Visiting the Emirates, however, is a club that flies well under the radar of even many experts, but could well spring a big surprise.
Bournemouth are already safely in mid-table and are playing without any pressure. What’s more, their results in recent weeks are more than impressive!
My Arsenal Bournemouth tip: AFC win with HC +3 and both teams score
