La Liga, Saturday, 04.05.2024
Eleven points behind with five games to go? There’s no question that FC Barcelona would have to be out of their depth if they were to get another chance in our La Liga championship betting.
Instead, the Catalans must secure second place, with a direct clash against their closest rivals on Saturday. Although Barca is favored in the match despite the away game, I’ll tell you now in my Girona Barcelona betting tip why I have the double chance 1X in mind
FC Barcelona would have loved to defend their 2023 championship title, but the realistic assessment five matchdays before the end is: With an eleven-point deficit, we will probably have to congratulate our arch-rivals from Madrid again.
Barca, on the other hand, are two points ahead of Girona FC, which means that this clash could decide second place. The Catalans are in good shape, let’s take a look at the bare figures
Four defeats in total, two against Real Madrid, one in the first half of the season against Girona and the fourth against Villarreal. Interesting to note: the defeats were a whopping 14 goals conceded, so when they lose, they really lose.
How is your own offense doing? To be honest, I find it very difficult to give a clear answer. The most recent result was a 4-2 win against Valencia, and before that three 1-0 wins in the space of a few weeks, including against relegation candidates Cadiz
The team is never immune to making unnecessary mistakes. Be it a 3-3 draw against Granada or losing points against Valencia or Villarreal, they are not as consistent as they were in 2022/23.
They have conceded a total of 39 goals, compared to 22 for rivals Real Madrid, and although they have only lost one away game (three at home), they have also drawn six
This means that nine wins in 16 games is not bad, but not enough to keep Real at bay. Moreover, away games are almost always very close.
Only three of the victories were by more than one goal, and two of the last four away games were not won. In this context, how Robert Lewandowski performs is also important?
Home eleven times, away five times, as soon as he travels his engine stutters a little. At least he scored against Girona in the first half of the season. But that didn’t help Barca at all, as the final score was 2:4.
After four wins and two draws (I’ll leave out the first direct duel from 1949), it was the first defeat, and the Catalans would like to see their streak continue in Girona
3:0, 2:0, 1:0? Year after year, the victories have been tighter, but always with a clean sheet. In our best sports betting apps, you could of course bet on a three-pointer from Barcelona again.
The odds for this are an average of 2.35, while Girona are at 2.70. So the home side are the slight underdogs, which I can understand on the one hand, but not on the other…
The team battled Real Madrid for the title for a long time, but then had to let go. And yet the Albirrojos are having a fantastic season, for which there can only be words of praise.
They have won 22 times, only the Whites have more victories to their name. There had been just one defeat until February, but since then they have lost five times.
Recently, the team managed to celebrate two wins in a row for the first time since the end of January; the last time they won three was in December. Perhaps a good omen: this run also included a three-pointer against Barca
The five defeats mentioned have one thing in common, namely that they were all conceded away from home. Girona continue to be a force at home, with 13 wins, two draws and one defeat against Real Madrid.
42 goals have been scored, no one has topped that. Only five home games have featured fewer than 2.5 goals, and top striker Artem Dovbyk is now scoring again after a week-long break. He has scored five goals in the last four games.
No wonder he is highly rated at AdmiralBet. Anyone betting on a goal from the Ukrainian is offered odds of 2.20.
Girona FC may have written off the title, but the fact that the Albirrojos will make it to the top flight is worthy of all the credit. While the results away from home are getting worse, everything continues to go according to plan at home.
One single defeat, lots of goals, FC Barcelona should just come! The Catalans are certainly a force to be reckoned with away from home and are often known for their tight results anyway. What’s more, they lost the first leg against Girona 2:4.
To be honest, I think the home side have a slightly better chance of winning because they don’t let anyone past them in their stadium. And that’s why I’m going for the following tip:
Girona score against Barca!
