Arsenal London – Chelsea FC betting tip
Not always pretty, but in the end Arsenal successfully completed their mandatory task against Wolves (2-0) and thus put a point behind the most painful week of this season.
The Gunners are currently top of the Premier League table (74 points), but Manchester City are one point behind them (73) with a game in hand.
Mikel Arteta and his squad have a complicated catch-up game against Chelsea (matchday 29) on Tuesday. The Blues will put the league’s best defense (26 goals conceded) to the test
The visitors are unbeaten in eight league games (4 wins, 4 draws), which they have achieved mainly thanks to their immense attacking power.
For my Arsenal Chelsea betting tip, I’m taking a calculated risk after some consideration and playing the odds of 2.95 for “Chelsea Over 1.5 goals” at Tipwin
The forecast of the betting providers?
The Gunners usually hold their own at home in the Emirates Stadium, which is why the sports betting providers with odds of up to 1.55 show no major concerns for the catch-up game against Chelsea.
Arsenal have only lost two league home games so far this season. However, the second defeat came in their previous home appearance against Aston Villa (0:2) and is therefore still fresh.
If you’ve already worked your way through the odds in the Betway app, you’ll know that the Blues’ odds to win are in the 5.50 range.
If both teams share the points, as was the case on matchday 9, you will get a maximum of 4.80 times your stake on a previously placed bet on a draw.
Analysis: Arsenal vs Chelsea
Arsenal have the best defense in the Premier League (26 goals conceded) and still have some stock in the title race at their disposal. However, Chelsea should not be underestimated.
The week leading up to the recent 2-0 win over Wolves in particular has heightened concerns about the home side’s form. Three consecutive matches without a win and the elimination from the Premier League can be seen as a major setback.
In addition, the bulwark of the Gunners’ defense has begun to show cracks. In the last two home games (Bayern and Aston Villa), Mikel Arteta watched in shock from the touchline as his players conceded two goals each time.
A scenario that is also conceivable for this catch-up game. In the first league encounter of the season with Chelsea, the league leaders went home after conceding two goals (2:2)
I think Chelsea are absolutely in a position to stay in the game for a long time with another strong offensive performance. The visitors have not left the field without scoring at least two goals in six league games.
Mauricio Pochettino’s men lost 1-0 to Manchester City in the FA Cup semi-final last weekend, but that didn’t have a lasting effect on my impression of their attack.
If Chelsea are to have even the slightest chance in this tie with the Gunners, their offense will have to deliver.
Defensively, the Blues are already too vulnerable over the entire match. The odds of 2.64 at NEObet for “Arsenal Under 0.5 goals” are representative of the difficult starting position for the Chelsea defense
Analysis of odds
Arsenal is advertised as the heavy favorite with odds of up to 1.55 to win. There are several explanations for this. Firstly, a glance at the Premier League table is enough, where Chelsea (47 points) are positioned almost one revolution behind Arsenal (74 points).
Furthermore, Arsenal have only lost one of their eight previous duels against the Blues (5 wins, 2 draws).
A trademark of the visitors, however, are spectacular matches that regularly delight the neutral spectator. On average, 3.65 goals were scored per game in matches involving the Blues.
My interest in the odds of 2.15 at Interwetten is therefore quickly aroused, especially in conjunction with an Interwetten betting bonus.
A goal on either side would certainly not be a surprise for the bookmakers, as can easily be seen from the maximum odds of 1.60.
The irresistible Cole Palmer
Nominally, Nicolas Jackson takes on the role of striker in Mauricio Pochettino’s 4-2-3-1 system. However, the attacker likes to miss a lot of his chances. He underlined this at the weekend when he failed to put a goal on the scoreboard against Manchester City despite his 0.73 expected goals.
Nevertheless, the Blues offense has become a difficult giant to tame in recent weeks. The visitors have not conceded fewer than 1.5 goals per game in any of their last six league games.
The hero in this story is Cole Palmer. His young age of 21 does not get in the way of the attacking midfielder at all. Not only is he the top scorer in Pochettino’s team (20), he has also raised his level to a new level with ten goals in the last five league games.
Palmer also has an eye for his teammates, which has enabled him to score a further nine goals. With the exception of Ollie Watkins (31), there is no better scorer in the Premier League than Cole Palmer (29).
Does Arsenal lack the winning gene?
In the final few meters of the season, Arsenal are in danger of letting a successful season slip away completely. The Gunners conceded two goals (2:2) against an out-of-form Bayern Munich in their own stadium, which they were unable to rectify in the second leg.
However, their elimination in the Champions League quarter-finals is not the only indication of a loss of form at the worst possible time.
In their last home game, Mikel Arteta’s team conceded a 2-0 defeat to Aston Villa, giving away a slight advantage in the championship race.
Until last weekend’s 2-0 away win (against Wolves), the Gunners had gone three competitive games in a row without a win. Arsenal ended two of these three games without a win with “over 1.5 goals conceded”.
Anyone who has taken a closer look at the Blues will know that Chelsea have lost just one of their last eight London derbies in the Premier League (5 wins, 2 draws) and are naturally keen to give their city rivals a run for their money.
For Chelsea, matchdays against one of the Premier League’s top three teams are a feast of sorts. This season, the Blues have lost only one of five league games against a team that was in the top three until the matchday.
At the same time, the visitors have lacked the final punch to win away from Stamford Bridge. Most recently, the ninth-placed team in the table won just two out of ten visits
I can’t fault the Gunners as favorites, but I think Chelsea are competitive due to their power in attack.
In a league comparison, there are currently only three teams (Liverpool, Newcastle and Manchester City) who have created more big chances than Pochettino’s squad (99).
Even Arsenal (94) would lose out in a direct comparison in this category. However, the expected goals of 65.1 xG again suggest a slight advantage for the Gunners (Chelsea: 61.3 xG).
My tip: I’m looking forward to this game because Chelsea don’t have much to lose and will offer Arsenal a tough London derby.
Cole Palmer in particular is on fire at the moment and has scored at least a brace in three of his last four league games!
Most recently, the Blues’ top goalscorer curved around the opposition like slalom poles in the 6-0 win over Everton and served up a phenomenal league game at Stamford Bridge with four goals.
My Arsenal Chelsea tip: Chelsea score at least 2 goals!
