FC Bayern – Arsenal London betting tip
German championship – gone. DFB Cup – gone. Ahead of the Champions League quarter-final second leg against FC Arsenal, Bayern can concentrate fully on the top flight.
In my Bayern Arsenal betting tip, however, I will mention one or two arguments that speak against a confident home performance by Munich this evening.
In addition to Arsenal’s playing strength, it is above all the personnel situation that is likely to cause the German record champions headaches in the run-up to the clash.
Accordingly, after the 2-2 draw in London, I’m not expecting a turf chess duel characterized by concrete defenses in the second leg either
With my main betting tip “Both teams to score” at odds of 1.50 at Interwetten, I’m once again assuming that FCB and the Gunners will meet in an open exchange of blows.
The question of the actual outcome of the game is only a marginal one for me. As you saw in the first leg, a few key moments are likely to be decisive in the end as to which team progresses to the semi-finals.
After all, with a bit more luck, both England and Bayern could have come out on top in London.
My Bayern Arsenal prediction therefore focuses on various goal betting alternatives that revolve around an expected goal festival
The bookmaker forecast
Imagine an old man leaning back heavily in an old rocking chair and letting the world take its inevitable course with a knowing smile.
That’s probably how the big bookmakers have gone about assessing the Bayern Arsenal odds. There is no real favorite. With odds of around 2.50 to win, Bayern are slightly ahead due to their home advantage.
However, Arsenal follow hot on their heels with 2.60. The draw is estimated at a correspondingly low 3.70.
Analysis: Bayern vs Arsenal
I would argue that Bayern’s 2-0 win over 1. FC Köln on the last Bundesliga matchday was of no interest to them just a few minutes after the final whistle (sorry to all Cologne fans).
From now on, everything at the German record champions will revolve around the Champions League – and the injury crisis. Bayern will not be able to play against Arsenal FC with their full squad.
With Kingsley Coman, Serge Gnabry (both injured) and Alphonso Davies (suspended), Bayern are missing important players. Manuel Neuer and Leroy Sané were also rested against 1. FC Köln.
Bayern can hardly be expected to put in a flawless performance against the Gunners in this constellation.
If FCB concede at least two goals against the Londoners again, the odds at Crazybuzzer Germany will be around 2.05.
Arsenal FC are in exactly the opposite situation to Bayern.
The Londoners are still fighting for the championship in the Premier League and only had to play their top match against Aston Villa on Sunday.
Whether this situation saps energy or keeps the tension high is something each of you will have to decide for yourselves. The fact is that Mikel Arteta’s team was in good form until the 2-0 defeat to Villa.
Only one of the previous 14 games was lost. Offensively, they belong to the crème de la crème of European soccer. Arsenal have scored at least two goals in 7 of their last 9 games.
In three of the last four games, they have also scored before the break. If Arsenal score in the first half against Bayern, the bookmakers are offering strong odds of just under 2.00.
Odds analysis
The odds situation for the classic bet “Over 2.5 goals” is incomprehensible. Oddset and Co. expect an above-average high-scoring game between Bayern and Arsenal and rate the bet with odds of approx. 1.60.
The counter-bet “Under 2.5 goals” is priced noticeably higher at a round 2.20. If you want to venture into the area of a risk bet, you could also consider an interesting combination.
The bet “Bayern to win & over 2.5 goals” offers strong value at odds of around 3.10.
The match is likely to be evenly poised and a draw at half-time is also on the cards. The odds for this are just under 2.20 and are also an excellent betting alternative.
Experience plus on the Bayern side
The lack of Champions League experience compared to Bayern speaks against a successful Arsenal performance in Munich.
It would be only the third time ever that the Gunners have reached the semi-finals of the top flight. Bayern have already made twelve appearances.
And FCB also have much more experience in this area on the coaching bench.
After all, Thomas Tuchel could become only the second coach after José Mourinho to take three different teams to the Champions League semi-finals. The odds of around 1.80 for Bayern to progress are therefore at least worth considering despite the tight starting position
Shooting match reloaded?
To put it mildly: FC Bayern have not exactly been one of Arsenal London’s favorite opponents in the recent past.
In fact, the Gunners have fallen on hard times in recent years.
They lost both of their most recent away games at the Allianz Arena with a score of 1:5. To put this in context, these are also the two heaviest away defeats in the European Cup in the Gunners’ history.
It is also striking that both teams have not held back in scoring goals in head-to-head matches, at least in the last few matches.
The bet “Both teams score” would have led to success in five of the last six competitive matches. If you include the test matches from 2017 and 2019, it’s even seven out of eight games.
The Londoners have only won one official match in Munich. In the 2012/13 Champions League season, they won 2:0 at the Allianz Arena.
With four defeats and one draw, Arsenal’s away record against Bayern is negative overall.
Worth more than just a mention: Bayern have scored at least two goals in each of their last four competitive matches against Arsenal.
For two Bayern goals on Wednesday evening, the odds rise to a lucrative value of around 2.00.
My Bayern Arsenal tip:
For those of you betting on a classic 0-0 draw between FC Bayern and FC Arsenal for the Champions League quarter-final second leg, I wish you good luck – you’ll need it.
As shown, there is hardly anything to suggest a lame game on Wednesday evening. Rather, the wild exchange of blows from the first leg will set the tone.
Bayern’s absentees also make it even more likely that things will get turbulent on the Munich side.
My Bayern Arsenal tip is therefore: Both teams will score at least one goal each
