Süper Lig, Saturday, 07.12.2024 at 17:00
Galatasaray and Fenerbahce with distance at the top – not again! Admittedly, those who like Besiktas will probably not be able to get past this thought. The Black Eagles are already far too far behind again.
The crisis is there, the big gap is there, the bad mood is omnipresent. The derby against the Canaries is on the program on Saturday. Reason enough to tell you now in my Besiktas Fenerbahce betting tip why there is a VERY strong case against a home win:
.. and a VERY strong case for Fenerbahce to take control of the game! I’ll start my analysis with a quick look at the table. Gala is three points ahead of Fenerbahce, Samsunspor is another three points behind.
But: As the surprise team has one more game under its belt, the duo that already decided the title between themselves in 2023/24 could once again pull away at the top. Besiktas? Fifth, 13 points behind the leaders
Such a result would be disappointing after just one round, but there are only 13 matchdays left! There’s no question that the Eagles had imagined things to be very different.
After a good start with six wins and two draws, Besiktas have now completely collapsed. It seems to have been a 2-1 defeat in the derby against Galatasaray, of all things, that really affected the players
Since then, nothing has worked. 1:3 against Kasimpasa, 0:0 against Basaksehir, 2:4 against Göztepe and 1:1 against Hatayspor – no matter how badly placed the opponent is, victories are sold out!
Besiktas have been without a three-pointer for five games and have also lost their strong line in their own stadium. The fact that they won their first four home games of the season is no longer of any use to the team.
They conceded a total of seven goals against Kasimpasa and Göztepe! There is no question that the team is now completely unsettled. The derby against Fenerbahce is definitely not coming at the right time.
While Ciro Immobile has finally scored again, he alone will certainly not be able to defeat Fener. It should be clear to all Besiktas fans anyway that derbies against Fenerbahce have long since ceased to be one of their favorite fixtures.
Three wins from the last 14 duels? That’s too few! It is also problematic that there has only been one win in their own stadium in this period. They won 2-0 in 2020, but that was shortly before the end of the season
For the first time since 2015, Besiktas failed to pick up a point last season, losing 3-1 and 2-1. Six draws in the last nine home games? It’s definitely going to be tight!
Our PayPal bookmakers are, unsurprisingly, extremely skeptical about the chances of victory on Saturday. The odds are averaging 3.70 to 1.92, which is of course Besiktas’ own fault.
On the other hand, Fenerbahce are naturally delighted to be the justified favorites. The Canaries suffered their only defeat of the season in a 3-1 loss to Galatasaray and will now be looking to win their second major Istanbul derby.
There have been 22 goals in the last seven games – Besiktas have scored eight! Fener have only twice finished a game with less than two goals – so the bet “Over 1.5 goals Fenerbahce” could be without alternative.
At Bet365 you get odds of 1.70 for this, and you can top this value with the Bet365 offer code, which you can get here. Simply reveal it, copy it and use it when registering.
Does it make a difference whether Mourinho’s team is playing at home or away? Not really, at least in terms of points.
Offensively, I can only say that the 22 goals scored in seven games are unparalleled! It’s always a brace, and recently in Kayseri there were even six goals.
Fener don’t have that one top scorer this season. Six players have already netted at least three times, so the responsibility in attack is very fairly distributed.
Fenerbahce are putting Galatasaray under enormous pressure right now! The Canaries are improving offensively from game to game, have reduced the deficit and now want to push Besiktas even deeper into the crisis.
The Black Eagles are not catching on at all, goals are in short supply and the championship is probably already in the bag. Based on the different moods alone, the double chance X2 is a certainty for me.
The concentrated offensive power of the visitors – anyone can really score here – is extremely impressive. As Besiktas have conceded a total of seven goals in their last two home games, my betting recommendation is:
Fenerbahce to score over 1.5 goals!
