VfL Bochum – Fortuna Düsseldorf betting tip
It was a drama until the last second, but then it was clear: It’s VfL Bochum! The first leg of the relegation play-off will now take place tonight, and the Blues would have been only too happy to do without it. However, it has already become apparent in recent weeks that the team is on the decline.
VfL now have to play at home against Fortuna Düsseldorf. So both teams can save themselves a long journey in the first and second leg. Of course we know that: In Bundesliga relegation, it is usually the team from the top flight that comes out on top in the end.
Of course, Fortuna, who have been unbeaten in the 2nd division for months, will have to deal with this in particular. Thursday is all about nerves of steel, so it’s not just the sporting component that counts
At first glance, this should be an evenly-matched affair, but according to our betting providers, Bochum seem to be ahead with average odds of 2.10 to 3.50 – despite recent impressions.
In my Bochum Düsseldorf betting tip, I will now try to find out which decisive details speak in favor of which club. However, I can’t or don’t really want to commit myself and therefore say: Both teams will score!
The betting operators’ forecast?
VfL Bochum have not been convincing at all in recent weeks, but the Blues are still the favorites for Thursday in our sports betting apps. The odds for a win amount to an average of 2.15.
Fortuna would like to secure a good starting position, having not lost away from home since the beginning of February. The Düsseldorfers will certainly be able to cope with the fact that the odds for an away win jump to an average of 3.30.
A draw would leave the race for Bundesliga 1 completely open. Since Bochum have shared the points eight times at home and Düsseldorf six times away from home, you should not disregard the draw, the odds for which are 3.50.
Analysis: Bochum vs Düsseldorf
They had everything in their own hands and yet it just didn’t work out! A draw at Werder Bremen last weekend would have been enough for VfL Bochum to stay in the top flight.
The players’ nerves, however, had apparently not traveled with them to the Weser. They lost 1:4 and then wondered what the competition from the capital would do. The score between Union Berlin and Freiburg was 1:1, which would have been enough for Bochum.
However, the Ironmen scored in stoppage time to win the game and suddenly Bochum were back in the relegation places. As Mainz also won, we were left with a sense of dismay: We only have ourselves to blame for this 16th place
Just a few months ago, Bochum had a big lead over the critical ranks and there was nothing to suggest that they would slip down the table again. Especially because they won 3:2 against FC Bayern in mid-February.
It then became clear that victories against Bayern, as clichéd as it may sound, promised a difficult future. This was followed by six defeats and two draws, with VfL losing more and more of its lead
Quota analysis
I can’t really decide who I think will be ahead on Thursday. Fortuna are clearly in a better position, but Bochum can use their home advantage. In my eyes, that’s most likely to lead to a draw.
Admittedly, VfL are anything but secure defensively. But at the same time, they are now up against a second division team. It’s important for both teams not to make any mistakes. I would therefore risk the bet of under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.95.
A result bet also automatically comes to mind. No winner, rather few goals, but still goals on both sides? The 1:1 seems more than realistic, with odds of 5.75 at Interwetten
Bochum’s nerves are really shaking
What followed was another brief rally. 3:2 against Hoffenheim and 4:3 against Union Berlin, the fans were hopeful again. But that only lasted a few days before a 5-0 defeat to Leverkusen and a 4-1 loss to Bremen exposed the old problems.
Even under new coach Heiko Butscher, the defense simply could not find its game, and with 74 goals conceded – only bottom team Darmstadt conceded more – it is clear why the team ultimately failed to avoid relegation.
They conceded 14 goals in the last four games alone, and conceded four times in the entire season. Admittedly, home games are at least what VfL still like, as nobody has collected fewer points away from home (ten)
Does Fortuna suffer the curse of second-division clubs?
Therefore, one thing is clear: they must secure a good starting position at home on Thursday. With the exception of the 0:5 against Leverkusen, Bochum have scored in every home game, although the points have been shared in eight of 17 matches.
Perhaps the knowledge that since the relegation has been reintroduced, the first division team has almost always come out on top will help all those who support VfL Bochum. Since 2009, the club from League 2 has only prevailed three times!
In 2011, Bochum were even the victims themselves when they were unable to hold their own against Borussia Mönchengladbach. But: Twelve years ago, it was the second-division club that was cheering
And that was? Fortuna Düsseldorf, of course! So the only time the Düsseldorfers have taken part in the relegation play-off, everything went well, and now they want to do it a second time.
The fact that they have lost the last three duels against Bochum may not speak in favor of the Red & Whites, but their current form does. They have not lost in 14 games in League Two and ended the season with a 3-2 win against Magdeburg.
Düsseldorf are slightly stronger in their own stadium, but third place in the away table also shows that things can work away from home. They have won three times away from home this year, so it’s worth taking a closer look here
The wins came in Wiesbaden, Osnabrück and Kaiserslautern. The opponents: A relegated team, the team in the relegation place and the 13th-placed team, who also celebrated their relegation late on.
It is therefore quite understandable that Fortuna are listed as outsiders on Thursday. Logically, the club will be relying on goalscorer Christos Tzolis, who has made a name for himself with 22 goals and seven assists this season.
In the Tipwin app, another goal from the attacker has odds of 3.00, so it could really pay off for you. However, Düsseldorf will have to do without Jamil Siebert, who is suffering from a torn tendon
My Bochum Düsseldorf tip:
What will decide the first leg of the relegation play-off, a sporting masterpiece or rather the psychological component? Bochum and Düsseldorf are likely to go head-to-head, because nobody wants to win the 2nd Bundesliga.
The home side almost always score at home, but are incredibly weak in defense. I could also see that Fortuna have won three away games this year, and only against weak opposition.
The bottom line is that two teams will meet on Thursday who won’t have much in common in terms of fighting. In my eyes, both are likely to be more tactical, so my tip is:
Bochum and Düsseldorf meet!
