World Cup qualifier, Friday, 03/21/2025 at 01:45
Brazil coach Dorvial Junior will not be able to call on the services of Neymar in the match against Colombia after all. The winger has been named in the squad but is out of action with an injury.
Nevertheless, there is no great lack of individual quality in the Selecao squad. However, the question remains as to whether the five-time world champions know how to use it.
The visitors’ conversion rate is sometimes poor, but the number of big chances in this World Cup qualifier is greater than anywhere else than with Los Cafeteros (33).
As Brazil Colombia betting tip, I therefore allow myself the “both teams score” bet and offer odds of 2.07 at Betano.
The sports betting providers believe that the hosts have the better prospects of taking the three points. A “Brazil win” only just achieves an 1.80-fold profit.
A perspective that may well be questioned. In the home table, the Selecao only rank sixth. Those who back the guests will surely find some arguments for betting on a “Colombia win” with a freebet and aiming for a 5.25-fold profit.
On matchday 10 of the qualifiers, both the Selecao (4-0 vs. Peru) and Los Cafeteros (4-0 vs. Chile) impressed with resounding victories.
Since then, two more matchdays have passed without either of the two opponents in this tie managing to get another win under their belts.
However, I do see the last two meetings of the home side as a reasonably positive trend for the Brazil Colombia betting tip. Brazil recently drew 1-1 with both Venezuela and Uruguay.
I am just as unconcerned about the attack of Dorival Junior’s selection as I am about the offensive department of the guests. Brazil scored 12 of their 17 goals at home.
In addition, the nine-time Copa America winner, according to Wyscout, had the second-most expected goals (15.89 xG). This value is only exceeded by Colombia, but significantly so (21.53 xG).
Nestor Lorenzo sends a team out on the pitch that has had the most shots on goal per match day (5.5) and has created the most big chances in this World Cup qualifier (33).
So far, last year’s Copa America finalist has scored only four goals away from home. But I don’t see this low return as a problem. Colombia may have lost their last appearance outside their own country, but half of their previous away goals were scored (2-3 against Uruguay).
In addition, in the two previous direct encounters between Brazil and Colombia, both teams were able to celebrate at least one goal.
Nevertheless, I give the hosts an advantage, who have not lost any of their 13 home games against the Cafeteros. If you want to be brave with your Bet365 betting bonus, I suggest the match combo “Brazil to win & both teams to score” at odds of 4.50.
Both attacking lines have lively and dribbling-strong players at their disposal, who are difficult for defenders to take out of the game for 90 minutes.
A penalty kick in this game would not be unusual. Brazil (4) took the most penalties. Colombia has already scored three times from the spot.
The most prolific scorers for both teams are each on four goals. Raphinha converted two penalties for Brazil and also scored twice from direct free kicks. Wearing the Colombia shirt, Liverpool’s Luis Diaz has scored four goals.
The Brazilian national team scored 71 percent of their qualifying goals at home and are extremely hungry for goals in front of their home crowd.
Colombia have created tons of chances so far, compensating for their poor conversion rate in many games.
I have no doubt that both offensive lines will score a goal.
My Brazil Colombia betting tip is therefore: “Both teams to score”.
