Bundesliga 22nd matchday, Sunday, 2025-02-16 at 3:30 pm
Werder were active in the winter transfer window and secured the services of Andre Silva on loan. The center forward was unable to escape the role of reserve striker after joining RB Leipzig from Frankfurt. Nevertheless, the Portuguese forward has a keen eye for goal.
The 29-year-old scored double digits in each of his first three Bundesliga seasons and had his best season at Eintracht Frankfurt. In 2021/2022, Andre Silva finished with 28 goals in 32 Bundesliga appearances.
His home debut at the Weser Stadium is planned for next weekend. A starting eleven appearance alongside Marvin Ducksch is possible and, given the physical attributes of the center forward, is reminiscent of the successful Füllkrug-Ducksch duo.
So far, Hoffenheim has only won one away game this Bundesliga season (4U, 5N). The signing of Christian Ilzer has also not paid off. His record of three wins, four draws and nine defeats (across all competitions) is terrible.
In my Werder Bremen Hoffenheim betting tip, this record is definitely not getting any better. Although TSG has not been beaten in the Weser Stadium in nine Bundesliga matches, that won’t help the team from the Kraichgau region on the pitch.
Instead, I expect the Hanseatic League to win both Bundesliga games against Sinsheim and am betting on a 1.90 odds for “Werder Bremen to win” at Betano.
The betting providers’ prediction?
Hoffenheim (15th) has almost used up its cushion to the relegation places and is now only four points ahead of FC Heidenheim (16th). The Bundesliga’s weakest away offense (8 goals) is not doing well with the betting providers and is receiving win odds of around 3.80.
In the first leg, it looked like an easy afternoon for the Kraichgauer early on in the game. Hoffenheim led 3-0 after just twelve minutes, but conceded four goals in the course of the game and lost 3-4.
Another defeat for TSG is conceivable at the Weser Stadium and, with odds of up to 1.90, the most likely scenario. You are welcome to use a free bet to hedge your bets.
AI prediction Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim: ChatGPT’s tip
Although no Bundesliga team away from home has scored fewer goals than TSG (8 goals in 10 games), the artificial intelligence mentions a bet on “both teams scoring” in its prediction. The risk looks low with odds of 1.47 at Bet365, but it’s not worth a try in my opinion.
On the other hand, there is broad agreement on the second suggested variant from ChatGPT. Just as I suggested in my Werder Bremen Hoffenheim betting tip, the AI prediction at Betano recommends a bet on “Werder Bremen to win”. You are already familiar with the odds of 1.90.
Andrej Kramaric is once again the best scorer for the Kraichgauers this season (7 goals) and has already scored 122 Bundesliga goals for the fifteenth-placed team. “Kramaric scores” is available at NEO.bet at odds of 3.15 and is the artificial intelligence’s third suggestion.
Analysis: Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim
The green-whites have only lost one of their last seven Bundesliga encounters at the Weser Stadium (3D, 3U). In addition, the hosts won their last home game after an intense encounter with Mainz (1-0) and have drawn great confidence from it.
The situation is different for the Kraichgauers. TSG have only won one of ten Bundesliga games since the beginning of December and have recently conceded seven goals in two consecutive defeats.
Furthermore, only Bochum (43.31 xGA) and Gladbach (39.03 xGA) have conceded more expected goals than the guests (38.38 xGA).
In addition, only Kiel (128) and Heidenheim (114) have allowed more shots on their own goal than Hoffenheim (111). Without the currently injured captain and goalkeeper Oliver Baumann, Ilzer’s team also lacks support.
Odds analysis
In one thing, Bremen (22) and Hoffenheim (23) agree – both concede an incredible number of goals in the first half. Only Kiel (32) is in a category of its own.
Instead of just betting on a high-scoring encounter, there is a more specific variant that promises a value bet. “Over 1.5 goals in the first half” is a great option for a sports betting bonus at odds of around 2.20.
In addition, TSG has already been behind at half-time in six of the last seven Bundesliga matches. ‘Werder Bremen wins the first half’ is therefore also a viable bet at odds of 2.40.
Werder Bremen vs. Hoffenheim: An eye for teammates
Füllkrug’s departure has left a gap in the center of the attack that Werder is now trying to fill by loaning Andre Silva. The attacker can hope for great support from his new employer.
Marvin Ducksch prefers to be the initiator, creating big chances with his strength. Ducksch has provided the fourth-most expected goal assists in the league (6.4 xA).
However, he is not the only player in the green-and-white squad who is particularly good at spotting better-positioned teammates.
Romano Schmid has improved again compared to the previous season and provided 5.2 expected goal assists. This also puts him in the top 10 in this category. He was unable to play against Bayern (0:3) on the last match day, but will be available again against TSG.
The wide range of TSG
Ducksch and Schmid are predestined to find and punish the often huge gaps in the TSG defense. Hoffenheim conceded a total of seven goals in the two previous league games and disappointed massively against Union Berlin (0:4).
Too often, the defenders chase after their opponents. Their tackling is often too impetuous – five caused penalties are the consequence and are only surpassed by Gladbach (6).
Christian Ilzer was unable to improve the coordination between the individual team members. In the second half of the season, only Kiel (11) conceded more goals than the Kraichgauers (10).
The TSG back line is just as disorganized when the game is out of play as it is when the game is in play. Hoffenheim has already conceded nine goals from set pieces (15th).
Konstanz is also missing from the starting lineup. The fifteenth-placed team in the league has fielded by far the most players of all Bundesliga teams (34) – a new club record and that after 21 match days.
Mistakes in the build-up play, as made by Tom Bischof, are an integral part of the guests’ uncertain passing game. Werder usually waits for exactly such opportunities. Only Mainz (10.3) intercept more passes per game than SVW (10.1).
The home side are also adept at finding a way into the opposing penalty area. Only six teams have had more ball contacts in the opposing box than the Hanseatic side (514) in the season so far.
Compared to Hoffenheim, there are various ways to break into TSG’s penalty area – almost all of them lead to success. Only four teams allowed their opponents more ball possession in their own penalty area than the Kraichgauers (592).
My Werder Bremen Hoffenheim Tip:
Werder (30) scored 12 points more than Hoffenheim (18) in the first 21 match days, scored six goals more and conceded five goals less.
While the green-whites have justified hopes of participating in international business, fear of relegation to the German second division is spreading in Sinsheim.
Ole Werner will come up with a clever game plan that allows Bremen to take advantage of the confusion in the TSG defense.
My prediction: Werder Bremen win against Hoffenheim.
