Chiefs – Texans betting tip, prediction & odds NFL 18/01/2025

NFL 2024/25: Chiefs – Texans

The Chiefs are looking to make it to the Super Bowl for the third year in a row at the legendary Arrowhead Stadium! After the so-called Wild Card Games were played last week, the defending champions are now officially getting involved in the action themselves.

With a well-rested Patrick Mahomes and the weak O-Line of the guests, it will be hard to believe that Houston will win again as an underdog.

Rather, in my Chiefs-Texans prediction, I expect the host to win in a sovereign, but not exactly exuberant, manner.

The Chiefs have impressively demonstrated this season why they are once again among the absolute NFL favorites.

Under the direction of Patrick Mahomes, the offense shines with creativity and efficiency. In the last few weeks before the start of the postseason, the defense has also improved massively – just at the right time!

In particular, the win over the Texans at the end of December highlighted the strength of the team as a collective unit. The defense forced Stroud to throw two interceptions, while the offense controlled the clock with almost 34 minutes of possession time.

With an improved running game and a defense that ranks in the top five just in time for the postseason, Kansas City seems ready for another possible showdown with the Buffalo Bills for the AFC crown.

The Texans, meanwhile, have fought their way into the Divisional Round as underdogs and shown that they should not be underestimated. C. J. Stroud has certainly had a strong rookie season, but he has often been unable to perform as well on the road as he does at home in big games.

The wild card win against the Chargers was a statement, but it was largely helped by the Chargers’ unforgivable mistakes – four interceptions, including a pick-six, made the decisive difference.

Without WR Tank Dell, an important option is missing in the passing game, which makes Saturday’s task against the Chiefs defense, which has stabilized over the course of the season, even more difficult.

With Arrowhead Stadium as a backdrop and temperatures that feel like they’re in the single digits, the visitors face an almost impossible task. Mahomes and Co. are known for flipping the switch in the playoffs and taking control of the game early.

With their ability to dictate the pace and an offense that boasts versatility and explosiveness, the Chiefs seem like a step too far for almost any opponent.

If they execute their game plan, they could not only dominate in terms of possession time, but also put the Texans under pressure early on and ultimately make the difference on both sides of the ball.

The Texans defense, which benefited from many turnovers against the Chargers, will have to do a lot more this time to seriously threaten Kansas City.

Ultimately, there is much to suggest that the savvy Chiefs defense will make mincemeat of the Texans’ weak offensive line. His protectors are likely to have considerable difficulty providing him with the necessary protection, especially in front of C. J. Stroud.

The aforementioned direct duel in Week 16 was not that long ago either and ended with a final score that I can well imagine repeating this time – 27:19 in favor of the defending champions.

But in the next section, we discuss in detail which exact Chiefs Texans tip has the best prospects of helping you to hopefully quickly and successfully implement the Merkur Bets Bonus.

I openly believe in a home win for the Chiefs, that really seems as certain as the amen in church.

I don’t deviate from this assumption at all, but it’s still worth not overdoing it in view of the current Chiefs Texans odds.

Almost all sports betting providers offer the defending champions’ victory at unattractive odds of just 1.23 on average, which is also deceptive…

Because although KC should be clearly superior to their opponents in terms of play, they have only won 7 of their 8 regular-season home games by a single possession.

Kansas City was only able to really put the result beyond doubt in the 26:13 win against the very weak New Orleans Saints in Week 5. What do I learn from this?

Personally, I would be reluctant to go further than a “handicap victory for the Chiefs with a handicap of -5.5” at odds of currently around 1.55. Anything else would simply be far too speculative for me.

Conclusion: It’s truly not a game where you can get much “value”.

In this case, the clear favorite should prevail, but probably with such a narrow result that I would strongly advise you against choosing a handicap bet that is too risky.

KC’s motto is basically: a good horse only jumps as high as it has to. Consequently, I’ll stick with a Chiefs Texans tip of the kind “Win KC with handicap -5.5”.

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