Conference League League Phase, Matchday 6, Thursday, 19.12.2024 at 21:00
So much sovereignty, absolutely no mistakes – and yet suddenly the slip-up! Legia Warsaw suffered their first defeat in our Conference League tips, and the reaction on Thursday should be accordingly.
The aim is to stay in the top eight, with a trip to Sweden on the cards. Since the opponent still has a chance of finishing in the top eight, it should be a really exciting game – it’s not for nothing that I’m now telling you in my Djurgarden Legia Warsaw betting tip why the risk of a draw bet could be worthwhile here!
It was a slip-up that wasn’t necessarily to be expected and which also came as quite a surprise to me! Legia Warsaw had made such a strong start in the Conference League, winning four games and scoring 11:0 goals.
They had beaten Betis Sevilla, Topola, Dinamo Minsk and Omonia Nicosia, so it was no wonder that the Polish side were full of confidence going into their home game against FC Lugano and naturally thought they had the best chance of scoring another three-goal haul.
At first, it was business as usual, with Ryoya Morishita scoring after ten minutes to make it 1-0. This time, however, it was to be neither a one-nil result nor a win, as the scoreboard read 1-2 in the end.
On top of that, Radovan Pankov picked up a red card in stoppage time and will logically be missing against Djurgarden on Thursday. 2:11 shots on goal, 34 percent possession? The defeat was definitely deserved!
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Now, of course, fans are wondering how their team will approach the final group game, as the aim is to stay in the top eight. Legia are currently in fourth place, but could still drop out of the top group.
With twelve points to their name, a number of teams are still dangerous. If they collect a draw, that could be enough, because then there are only three clubs below the zone that could theoretically overtake them.
The Poles could of course also say: Let’s just win, then we can save ourselves any arithmetic games! The team hasn’t played Djurgarden yet, can you find any matches against other Swedish clubs?
There have been ten, and with nine wins and one defeat, the record is really excellent. Of course, word has also spread to our bookmakers, who offer tax-free betting, that Legia can lose after all.
They haven’t made it easy for themselves to decide who is the favorite and who is the underdog on Thursday. The odds show me an average of 2.45 to 2.90, so the hosts from Sweden have the slight advantage.
Djurgarden are still fighting to secure a place in the top eight, and the odds aren’t that bad! They currently have ten points, so they could even overtake Legia
For the Swedes, I would put it like this: It started very sluggishly, but then got better and better. A 2:2 against LASK was followed by a 1:2 against Guimaraes, where it didn’t look like they would be able to progress directly.
The 2:1 win against Panathinaikos finally brought the first success; as in the first two games, they had fallen behind once. Logically, that didn’t happen in the 1-0 win against the New Saints.
The Swedes also scored the first goal in the 2-1 win against Vikingur, their third narrow victory in a row. Speaking of close, all five games were so close that there was a maximum difference of one goal.
Of course, Djurgarden’s special situation is that the national competitions are over and they can’t have the rhythm that Legia has.
But of course I discovered that the home side have only played to nil once – Legia, on the other hand, already have four clean sheets to their name.
Both have what it takes to qualify directly for the knockout round – and perhaps Djurgarden and Legia Warsaw will celebrate together on Thursday! Nevertheless, the first task is to distance themselves from the other.
Legia lost after four clean sheets, and deservedly so. The home side have three wins to their name, but all of their matches have been very close. Djurgarden need to do more in terms of the table.
I’m expecting a really tight affair here, in which the famous little things will decide who comes out on top. Since Djurgarden in particular stands for close results, I have decided to make the following risky bet:
The points will be shared!