Serie A, Saturday, 04.01.2025 at 18:00
The new year is only a few days old and Serie A is already delighting us with some really exciting matches in a class of their own. Can SSC temporarily climb to the top of the table in their European Cup-less season with a win in the cradle of the renaissance?
According to my Fiorentina Napoli betting tip, it will be a hairy affair. Because the “Viola” will probably pull back defensively – and I also expect the southern Italians to start cautiously, with the ball being played across rather than vertically …
At the weekend, while the big four of Serie A – Atalanta, Inter, Juve and the Rossoneri – battle it out for the Supercoppa Italiana in Saudi Arabia, the “Viola” and Napoli will want to take the opportunity to make up ground in the league.
You’ve probably already noticed: After a dream start, things have not been going well at all for Fiorentina recently. Four games in a row without a win (two draws, two defeats) – the Tuscans’ longest drought since February.
If they don’t finally pick up three points here, we’ll soon be talking about their longest winless streak since September 2022. What’s more, the team could well bury their Scudetto dreams for good – after 56 years, they’ll probably have to wait at least another 12 months for the big coup …
But that’s not all. While the Neapolitans have won their last three games and need just one point to overtake Atalanta at the top of the table, SSC will face an opponent on Saturday who also suits them.
A look at the past shows that the last home win for the “Viola” against the southern Italians at the Artemio Franchi was some time ago – they haven’t won here since 2018 (3 draws, 3 defeats).
For those of you who also follow the betting action, the fact that Napoli have a coach under contract in Antonio Conte, who has a strong record in encounters with Fiorentina, could also be decisive!
Watch out: Of the total of 14 duels on the touchline, the multiple champion has only lost 2 games against this opponent (9 wins, 3 draws) – impressive, isn’t it?
What also makes Napoli so strong is this defensive stability typical of Conte. Only twelve goals conceded in Serie A – a league best!
And as if that wasn’t enough: the “Azzurri” have only conceded two points from leading positions, which shows how ripped off this team is again in 2024/25.
As a result, I think the visitors are just a touch more capable of putting a ball in the Fiorentina net in the hot phase of the game – probably in the second half – and then closing the bag.
Personally, I’m very much expecting an uneventful first half of the game in Florence on Saturday. So uneventful, in fact, that it could well still be 0-0 at the break.
The odds of around 2.77 traded for this at any decent betting provider with PayPal as a payment function also indicates that the bookmakers consider this result to be by far the most likely score at the break.
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If you’re looking for an exciting betting scenario, it’s worth taking a closer look at the current Fiorentina Napoli odds and betting offers.
The history clearly speaks in favor of the visitors. Florence have not won any of their last six home games against the Partenopei – so a point win for the SSC seems obvious here.
However, with double chance X2 odds of currently 1.37 alone, you’re unlikely to be happy …
In addition, Napoli have a very strong defense. Only six goals have been conceded away from home this season – only Inter are more stable on the road.
This calls for a risky bet on “Florence won’t score a goal” at very strong odds of around 2.92. If you like a bit more risk, this could be your profitable Fiorentina Napoli bet.
Alternatively, you can always settle for much safer odds of around 1.42 if Florence score a maximum of one goal.
Conclusion: This promises to be a nerve-wracking game of turf chess at the very highest level on Saturday – there should be little doubt about that.
Both teams can line up with almost their best players. However, the absence of Alessandro Buongiorno could prompt coach Antonio Conte to take a more defensive approach than usual.
A 0:0 at half-time seems quite likely to me. However, with Napoli’s class and low pressure, I also think it’s possible that SSC will land the famous “lucky punch” towards the end…
My Fiorentina Napoli tip: Florence won’t score in the first half