Europa League, Thursday, 13/03/2025 at 6:45 pm
I don’t know what Ajax is still planning, but a comeback? They can probably forget about that in the Frankfurt Ajax Amsterdam betting tip.
Although the Dutch team put up a brave fight in the first leg, coming from 2-1 down at the Johan Cruyff Arena in the second leg will be a huge task for them.
The “eagles” have shown their strength at home in the Europa League on several occasions and know how to defend such leads.
So can Frankfurt seal their place in the quarter-finals, or will Ajax pull off an upset? I’ll be watching the return game for you!
For home games against Dutch clubs, I had to go back a long way in the archives.
Eintracht Frankfurt played two home games against Dutch teams in consecutive years in the UEFA Cup in 1979/80 (4-1 win against Feyenoord) and 1980/81 (3-1 win against FC Utrecht).
But don’t worry! Because in my Frankfurt Ajax Amsterdam tip, I have more up-to-date information for you than what happened over 45 years ago! For example, the Bet365 bonus from the bookmaker giant of the same name.
The Bookmaker Forecast
The Frankfurt Ajax Amsterdam odds of the best betting providers in their field for the upcoming clash on Thursday are pretty even.
SGE is slightly favored at around 1.95, while the odds for an Ajax win are around 3.75. A draw at 3.65 also seems quite possible.
AI prediction Frankfurt vs Ajax Amsterdam: That’s what ChatGPT predicts
ChatGPT’s Frankfurt Ajax Amsterdam AI prediction provides several betting options, but only those with a moderate risk intensity convinced me.
For the high risk, “Half-time/final score X/1” is recommended. It is a possible scenario, but I don’t see why it has a higher chance than, for example, “1/X” or even “X/2”.
For medium risk, the AI recommends “Over 3.5 goals in the game”. Here you definitely have more value, as the necessary “escalation potential” is definitely there. In any case, both teams have shown multiple times in the past that they are good for goal fireworks.
Finally, “Both teams to score” is mentioned for a safe bet. This is probably the safest tip, which I can blindly sign for odds of around 1.55. Because, just like a week ago, I don’t think there will be a goalless draw.
Analysis: Frankfurt vs Ajax Amsterdam
Eintracht Frankfurt travel to the second leg with a narrow lead after beating Ajax 2-1 in the first leg.
Despite their poor away form and a recent Bundesliga defeat, Frankfurt are strong at home, with a solid record of 11 wins and just one defeat in their last 17 home games.
Their defensive stability in Europe is particularly noteworthy, where they have kept three clean sheets in their last three home games.
Ajax, the Dutch league leaders, suffered an unexpected defeat in the first leg, but bounced back with a 1-0 win over Zwolle in the Eredivisie.
Although the Dutch team has traditionally struggled away from home in Germany, their goal is clear: they have to make up the 2-1 defeat to reach the quarter-finals.
And personally, I am not averse to believing that with a little luck, the Amsterdamers could successfully turn the tide here.
Ajax have an impressive run of four away wins, scoring the first goal in each game.
The odds for an Ajax win at 3.80 therefore offer good value, especially considering the Dutch team’s strong form in recent away games.
Their ability to score early away from home also supports a bet on “1st goal: Ajax” at 2.50, as they scored the first goal in each of these four games.
Despite the difficult starting position after the defeat in the first leg, the Dutch leaders could put in a convincing performance with this form and the motivation to turn the deficit around.
Frankfurt vs. Ajax Amsterdam odds: hopeless?
It may only be one goal separating Frankfurt and Ajax after the first 90 minutes. But for Dutch history writers, this situation feels like a real chasm from the point of view of the “sons of God”.
Ajax have been knocked out when losing at home in the first leg of eight of their last nine major European knockout ties.
The only exception was the legendary comeback against Real Madrid in the last 16 of the Champions League in 2018/19, when Ajax went from a 2-1 first-leg defeat to a 4-1 win in the return to advance to the quarter-finals.
But such stories are rare and the statistics are clearly against the Amsterdamers. Another early exit could be closer than it initially seems.
Odds Analysis
It’s not just the starting position that puts Ajax in a statistically difficult position, but also their history in the neighboring country.
In their last five trips to Germany in major European club competitions, Ajax have only emerged with victory on one occasion (one draw, three defeats).
Their only win came in November 2020, when they beat Borussia Dortmund 3-1 in the Champions League. But one-off victories are rare and Ajax will face a tough challenge to replicate that form in this tie.
An interesting aside from the first leg last week: Jordan Henderson provided the assist for Brian Brobbey’s goal against Eintracht Frankfurt, the first assist in the UEFA Europa League since September 2012, when he assisted Jonjo Shelvey twice against Young Boys for Liverpool.
Why is that so interesting? With 4,550 days in between, it is the second largest gap between two assists in the history of the Europa League.
A curious and impressive moment for the experienced midfielder!
My Frankfurt Ajax Amsterdam tip:
SGE is not out of the woods yet and will have to hold its own against Ajax. The second leg promises to be a turbulent affair, but if Ajax consistently takes its chances, the Hessians’ lead could quickly melt away.
Frankfurt must maintain their defensive stability to avoid jeopardizing their chances of progressing, while the Dutch side, on the other hand, are hoping for a comeback, which I wouldn’t rule out.
My Frankfurt Ajax Amsterdam prediction: Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals!
