Bundesliga 18th matchday, Friday, 17/01/2025 at 20:30
A self-proclaimed title contender in free fall! The fans of Borussia Dortmund would probably have preferred their club not to have reported back from the winter break. But there is no time for our Bundesliga tips to mope, as BVB has to play again tonight.
The Westphalians are opening the official second half of the season, and they are doing so away from home. Away? A word that makes every black-and-yellow supporter cringe. And so it will come as no surprise to the long-suffering supporters when I say:
In my Frankfurt Dortmund betting tip, unfortunately, Borussia is not the favorite. Instead, I have chosen a tip for which the odds are currently rising continuously. The reason? Omar Marmoush will probably no longer be on board this evening.
The eagles are in really good form and are increasingly underlining that they have the potential for the Champions League. Although they have not won at home against Dortmund for years, every streak is fortunately there to be broken at some point.
So I’m combining the double chance 1X with over 2.5 goals. An incredible amount is happening at Deutsche Bank Park, so it’s fitting that the guests from Dortmund are playing like a school team in defense, at least when playing away.
So, on the one hand, they are in good form and have a super striker in their ranks, while on the other, the house blessing is completely out of whack. Who knows, maybe Borussia will get crushed as much as it happens to Bayern every now and then…!
The betting providers’ prediction?
A win from the last 17 games? Indeed, Dortmund is a bogey team for Frankfurt! This also explains why, despite the current run, the odds on Friday are estimated to be a rather high 2.20.
Is that supposed to be high against a club like Borussia Dortmund? Unfortunately, yes, given the current situation! The “unfortunately” is, of course, from BVB’s point of view, because with five defeats from eight away games, Dortmund should not be surprised that there is a high 3.00 for Friday.
Who would be happier with a draw? Probably no one, really. With five of the last seven duels on Frankfurt soil having ended in a draw, you should definitely take a closer look at the draw at odds of 3.70.
Of course, I also joined ChatPGT for this extremely exciting game to take a closer look at three hot bets for you. And these, no wonder, are partially positioned in the direction of the home side.
For example, there is a suggestion to place an outcome bet, namely a 3:1. I know that SGE hasn’t won at home against Dortmund in years. But: If there is a win on Friday, the signs are good, this result would also be my favorite!
At the same time, you can also bet that the Eagles will lead at half-time. As a reminder, the guests conceded THREE goals in the first half in Kiel! Since Frankfurt is starting with a lot of confidence, I can also give this bet my approval.
I can also directly support the AI bet, which is associated with low risk: Over 2.5 goals. 4.4 times it rings on average at the Main, in addition Dortmund has already conceded 18 goals away from home. My conclusion: This bet should actually be a no-brainer!
Analysis: Frankfurt vs Dortmund
It’s a look at the table that hurts the fans, causes concern and at the same time makes anger boil up. In Dortmund, you just can’t get back on your feet, you’re in danger of sinking into the middle of the pack.
No wonder, then, that the future of Nuri Sahin at BVB is more than questionable. Our news author Thomas has looked at the reasons for and against the dismissal of the Dortmund coach.
Seven wins in 17 match days? That’s historically bad! Not once has BVB managed to win twice in a row. While the 3-2 loss to Leverkusen at the start of 2025 was somehow justifiable, the team then completely fell apart last Tuesday.
The journey led to the newcomer from Kiel, the Borussians were of course clearly favored. But what happened? Already at halftime it was 0:3, in the end it was a 2:4 pack. After the final whistle, there was confusion, players, fans, managers – the horror was great.
What had already been hinted at in the first half of the season is now continuing: Dortmund has become cannon fodder away from home. They only managed one win, a 3-1 victory in Wolfsburg, with all the other games ending in sometimes disastrous results.
Odds Analysis
With all the justified criticism currently being heaped on Borussia Dortmund, I can hardly imagine BVB starting on Friday full of confidence. Therefore, I advise betting on “Frankfurt to score first”, which comes at Betano on a rate of 1.78.
Four in Kiel, three in Mainz, five in Stuttgart, two in Augsburg and at Union Berlin, Dortmund’s defense is a disaster. That’s why I would bet that the SGE will score at least twice. You can get odds of 1.69 at Bet365, and if you go for a third goal, the value increases to 3.50.
And while you’re at Bet365, you’re sure to fancy one of the most lucrative sports betting bonus codes around: with “VIPANGEBOT” you can get up to 100 euros in the form of betting credits!
Frankfurt vs. Dortmund: How many will BVB concede this time?
1:5 in Stuttgart, 1:2 at Union Berlin and against Augsburg, 1:3 in Mainz and now 2:4 against Kiel: is anyone defending at all? The BVB goal has already been scored 18 times, with FC Bayern’s best being nine.
There have been at least two goals conceded in eight matches this season, with seven in the last two games alone. Well, with the exception of a 0-0 in Bremen on matchday two, the Black & Yellows always score, but that has not compensated for anything for a long time.
Actually, it can only get better on Friday, but is a trip to Eintracht really a good omen? All those who support Dortmund will probably now turn to history.
Admittedly, everything is actually in favor of the Hessians. They started the new year with a narrow 1-0 win over St. Pauli, and then beat SC Freiburg 4-1.
They have scored 40 goals so far, making them the third strongest team behind FC Bayern and Leverkusen – both in the league and in terms of offensive play. Frankfurt are particularly keen to score goals at home.
They have netted 23 times, with a goal average well over 4.0! 3:1, 2:0, 3:3, 7:2, 1:0, 2:2, 1:3 and 4:1 – the only defeat, somewhat surprisingly, was against Mainz. Logically, after all, Omar Marmoush did not score here. A bad omen for the match against BVB?
The Egyptian is still one of the best strikers in Europe at the moment, with his team only managing to win once without him scoring. Against Freiburg, he scored once and set up twice; this man seems unstoppable.
If there is anything to criticize about this team, it is perhaps that only two clean sheets have been collected. But let’s be honest: as a neutral fan, you can only be pleased about that, because it almost guarantees a spectacle!
My Frankfurt Dortmund Tip:
Dortmund looks enviously to Frankfurt – and Frankfurt looks back to Dortmund with a little schadenfreude! What the SGE is currently playing was actually on the BVB wish list, but the crisis is getting worse and worse.
After the 2-4 in Kiel, good advice is expensive, the away weakness can apparently not be remedied. Well, and on the other side, we have a Eintracht that cements the third place, performs offensively – but today probably has to do without Omar Marmoush.
Of course, I know the direct comparison, so I am cautiously only sending Double Chance 1X into the race. Since there are more than four goals per game on average in the Deutsche Bank Park, my betting combination is:
Frankfurt scores at Over 1.5 hits!
