SC Freiburg – VfL Wolfsburg betting tip
My Freiburg Wolfsburg betting tip is a premiere!
Because in my long time with the betting friends, it has never happened that I have used the extensive offer of a sports betting app that we have reviewed for a soccer bet, as I have in mind for Saturday.
But I firmly believe that both teams will have shot their shots in the first half of the match. In any case, it was no different when Breisgau played Mainz last weekend.
I would also advise you not to speculate on a win for the visitors. Ralph Hasenhüttl has proven to be the right man in his short time at the club, but he will still need a full summer break to get the “Wolves” back on track.
VfL have picked up just 12 points from 15 away games this Bundesliga season, which is the fewest at this stage since the 2015/16 season (when they picked up 10 points).
Wolfsburg have even only managed three away wins so far. In comparison, the Green & Whites won seven of their first 15 away games in the previous season. As you can see: not exactly impressive figures!
For this reason alone, you could consider adding a home win bet to the Freiburg Wolfsburg betting tip suggested to me. For my part, however, I’m sticking exclusively to the fact that the first half of the game will be the higher-scoring of the two
The betting operators’ forecast?
From a purely statistical perspective, it is anything but insignificant that the bookmakers in their recently published Freiburg Wolfsburg odds consider a win by the home side to be more likely, with average odds of 2.27 to 3.00. In fact, 11 of the 15 games so far have been won by the home side.
In fact, in 11 of Wolfsburg’s 15 Bundesliga away games so far this season, the side with the lower odds to win has ultimately lived up to its role as favorite. A clear advantage for the sports club
Analysis: Freiburg vs Wolfsburg
The good news for all “Wolves” fans after the 1:0 win over Bochum and a season that has been less than exhilarating overall is that they can look forward to the summer break with a certain optimism. After all, something can be done with the new coach!
VfL Wolfsburg have already won two of their first four Bundesliga games under Ralph Hasenhüttl (two defeats), which is the same number of victories as in the last 20 Bundesliga matchdays when Niko Kovac was still on the sidelines.
The Wolves could even win two Bundesliga games in a row against SC Freiburg for the first time since August 2023 and for the second time this season. These days, they already have to settle for little in Lower Saxony
Freiburg were once again held to a 1-1 draw by the Nullfünfer in the previous week.
Mainz have of course strengthened following the recent change of coach, but teams from this segment of the table must be defeated if they are to compete internationally next year.
As a result, it does not currently look as though Freiburg will be able to compete in the European Cup again in the post-Christian Streich era.
The gap to Frankfurt is five points, but the remaining program is not exactly difficult with Wolfsburg, Cologne, Heidenheim and Union Berlin.
But one thing is clear: after six consecutive Bundesliga home games without a win, this negative streak must finally be broken on Saturday so that the hunt for the SGE can begin.
Analysis of odds
It is in the nature of things that the German bookmakers assume that more goals will be scored in the second half than in the first half.
As a result, the win factor for a higher-scoring first half is usually around 3.1x, which is what makes my Freiburg Wolfsburg prediction so attractive.
Because if the data already indicates that the two most active teams in the first half of the match will meet, it is even more worthwhile to place a somewhat unconventional soccer bet of this kind in view of the attractive odds
The SCF knows how to tame the Wolves
For Sportclub, there is a lot more at stake on Saturday than for the Lower Saxony side. And the direct comparison should also encourage the home fans on the banks of the Dreisam.
SC Freiburg have won four of their last five Bundesliga matches against VfL (1 defeat) and have celebrated as many victories against the Wolves as in the previous 17 Bundesliga duels combined.
After the last two victories, Breisgau could win three Bundesliga games in a row against Wolfsburg for the first time ever
Freiburg: No Kübler? No party!
Lukas Kübler, a key player for the Breisgau side, received his fifth yellow card of the Bundesliga season in the match against Mainz 05 and will therefore be suspended for the next matchday. This is not an insignificant loss from a statistical point of view.
Without Kübler, Sportclub have only won two out of seven games this Bundesliga season (29%, plus 3 draws and 2 defeats). You should keep that in mind when placing your personal bets
My Freiburg Wolfsburg betting tip, which I will put to the test with the bookmaker Happybet, is also based on the fact that the Wolves have fulfilled their target at the break or have already exhausted themselves in vain.
In any case, we can’t expect any further increase in tempo from Lower Saxony in the second half, if they haven’t already done so before the break. At least that’s what the data available to me clearly indicates.
In this current Bundesliga season, VfL have scored 66% of their goals this season in the first half (23 out of a total of 35 goals) – the highest percentage of any team in the league
However, it is precisely because Breisgau are also a team that really let rip in the first half of games that the prospect of a higher-scoring first half is so interesting.
SC Freiburg are in second place in the aforementioned ranking with 55% of their goals scored in the first 45 minutes (23 of 42 goals).
My Freiburg Wolfsburg tip:
Freiburg should try to create the necessary conditions in the first half of the game to be able to score a late winner.
However, since the Wolves are usually at their most active in the first 45 minutes of a game, you can expect to see some fireworks right at the start. I can well imagine two goals before the half-time whistle.
Given that Lower Saxony have already recorded far too many poor performances away from home this season, you could also be forgiven for thinking that the Breisgau side could score a valuable three in their hunt for another European Cup place
My tip: The 1st half is the highest scoring half!
