Greece – Netherlands Tip Nations League, Group A2, Matchday 3 on Thursday, 01/10/2026 at 20:45 CET
For the 3rd matchday of the Nations League, Group A2 has an unexpected top game to offer. My Greece Netherlands tip focuses on a high-scoring game. The Greeks surprisingly lead the group, but the Elftal is extremely dangerous under their new coach Xavi.
I therefore bet on the bet “Over 2.5 goals in the game”. The Dutch offense is impressive, they have created an extremely large number of scoring chances in the last two games. However, Greece is also brimming with confidence after the victories against Serbia and Germany.
For this Greece Netherlands prediction, Bet365 offers attractive odds of around 1.70. The Greeks will not hide at home and will also look for a way forward. This promises an open game with goals on both sides of the field.
Greece vs. Netherlands AI Predictions:
Our AI tool has analyzed the game and sees the Netherlands as a slight favorite. The calculated probability of victory for the guests is around 43%, while the Greeks come to about 30%. So a draw is by no means out of the question.
The Greece-Netherlands odds reflect this assessment. The analysis of the data shows that the offensive style of play of the Dutch under Xavi could be a decisive factor. They create a high number of scoring chances, which speaks for goals.
A look at the Asian market is also revealing. The Asian Handicap Line for the Asian over is 2.5, 3.0. This means that if you score exactly three goals in the game, you would already have a partial win, which additionally secures the bet on over 2.5 goals.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Greece |
Draw |
Victory Netherlands |
| 29.7% |
27.8% |
42.5% |
Another interesting option for Greece Netherlands predictions is to bet on a win for the guest team. The Netherlands have an unblemished record in their last five competitive games against the Greeks, all of whom they have won to nil. The odds for this at Oddset are about 2.10.
A bet on both teams to score is also worth considering with the best sportsbooks. In both games under Xavi, the Dutch conceded a goal, but were very strong offensively. Greece will be buoyed by the home win against Germany and push for more goals.
The defensive stability of the Dutch has not always been given recently, which could play into the hands of the Greeks. Combined with the offensive power of the Oranje, it provides a good basis for a bet in which both teams are successful at least once.
This is what you need to consider when betting on Greece – Netherlands
- Greece have scored in 7 of their last 10 home matches.
- The Netherlands have won the last 5 meetings against Greece to nil.
- Greece have lost both home games since 2024 as outsiders.
- Mexx Meerdink recently scored twice for the Dutch selection.
- The goal difference of the last five meetings is 11-0 for the Oranje.
