Will HSV finally be promoted or will there be another year in the second division? This question is now being discussed in Hamburg for the seventh time in a row.
In the last six seasons, Hamburger SV have always been favorites for promotion and the league title – and each time they have failed to return to the Bundesliga. After two relegations in a row in the previous season, they finished fourth once again.
HSV Promotion 2025? Yes, this time it will work!
Why will HSV be promoted to the Bundesliga this time?
Because after failing six times in a row – and always in the spring – the time is ripe. What’s more, HSV finished in the top three twice during this period, with their dream of returning to the Bundesliga only shattered in the relegation play-offs on both occasions.
In the previous season, however, even the “relegation” was missed, with only 4th place in the end. Not even the change of coach to Steffen Baumgart, who was brought in as a savior, has brought anything.
But that is set to change in the 2024/25 season: Almost every HSV promotion 2025 prediction is in favor of the Hanseatic team. The German sports betting providers are also optimistic in their Bundesliga promotion odds.
The positive HSV promotion predictions were confirmed by a strong first half of the season: Only three defeats, 3rd place and the most goals scored with 39. Added to this is a compact defense.
In general, Hamburger SV is in third place in the Bundesliga 2 market value ranking – behind 1. FC Köln and Hertha BSC. While Cologne are a serious contender for promotion, Berlin are only to be found at the bottom of the table.
From this perspective, it should be enough for a place in the top three or for HSV’s direct promotion in 2025. Or will HSV even return to the Bundesliga as second division champions?
HSV promotion prediction: No, it won’t work again
Six times in a row, HSV have come close to being promoted to the Bundesliga. Each time, the Hanseatic club missed out – sometimes quite bunglingly – during the spring.
As a result, there are also many HSV promotion 2025 predictions that speak against the Hamburgers making their long-awaited return to the Bundesliga.
Last season, the Red Shorts once again only finished fourth. In the two seasons before that, they missed out on a return to the Belle Etage of German soccer in the relegation play-offs. And in the three seasons before that, they finished fourth three times in a row (!). HSV have never finished lower than fourth in their six second division seasons to date.
Will that change this time?
On the one hand, there is the mental component when it comes to the decisive phase in the spring. The many failures have become ingrained in the HSV environment and also in the minds of the players. And those who have not been involved in the previous failed attempts will be reminded of this in the spring at the latest. Week after week. Day after day.
And then there would also be enormous competition in the promotion race.
In addition to 1. FC Köln, which has been named as a promotion contender since the start of the season, Fortuna Düsseldorf, SC Paderborn and 1. FC Kaiserslautern are also among the favorites for promotion to the Bundesliga in 2025. And there will probably be one or two surprise teams at the top.