Copa America, Group B, Monday, 01.07.2024 at 02:00
It’s not just the European Championship that’s taking soccer fans’ breath away these days! If we look many tens of thousands of kilometers away, there’s a whole other competition looming: the Copa America, which is being played in the USA this year.
Now it’s time to finish the preliminary rounds there. In Group B, I’m now concentrating on my Jamaica Venezuela tip. One of the two teams has lost twice, the other has won twice – and of course that’s exactly how the favorites have been predicted.
I can reveal this much in advance: After two matchdays, this group has a completely different leader than had been expected, namely Venezuela. La Vinotinto could now bring the perfect preliminary round to a close
Our bookmakers are confident that she will, with the Jamaica Venezuela odds averaging 1.90 to 4.50. No wonder, as Jamaica have yet to impress. They have currently scored just one goal.
In my Jamaica Venezuela prediction, I will take a look at why exactly the Venezuelans are so strong and also reveal why I am betting on the combination of “Double chance X2” and “Under 3.5 goals”
The forecast of the betting providers?
After two victories, Venezuela is logically also the favorite in game number three. A single bet would definitely be worthwhile for you, as the odds come close to 1.90 – sometimes even higher!
Jamaica, on the other hand, had to realize as expected that Group B is one size too big. As a result, the chances of victory in the third game are also rather slim and the odds show an average of 4.50.
Venezuela would probably be satisfied with a draw, but will they field their best team? In any case, a points-split has average odds of 3.40.
Analysis: Jamaica vs Venezuela
The national team from Venezuela has traveled to the USA as number 54. The goal: to somehow make it through the preliminary round of the Copa America. The opponents, two of them, were tough.
Mexico and Ecuador! For many experts, it was clear that the battle with Jamaica would probably only be for third place. Now two of the three rounds are over and, lo and behold, these Venezuelans are leading their group with aplomb!
And this despite the fact that the matches against Mexico and Ecuador have already taken place. Venezuela won 2:1 against Ecuador in the opener. Undeserved? I wouldn’t necessarily say that.
Although La Vinotinto benefited from the fact that their opponents only had ten men on the pitch from the 22nd minute (red for Enner Valencia), you still have to turn around a deficit against Ecuador first
Quota analysis
In terms of the 1×2 bets, I would probably not be too surprised to see the Venezuelans win. As confident as the team is performing, the odds of around 1.90 are a good investment.
At the same time, Venezuela doesn’t necessarily have to win. I can therefore well imagine that there will be some idling in half-time 1. My tip therefore: 0:0 after 45 minutes, which is rewarded with odds of 2.57.
And last but not least, I also have a result bet in mind. Venezuela narrowly won both matches, which is exactly what I have in mind for match number three. My tip: 1:0, which has odds of 6.00 at Bet365
Venezuela with the ideal preliminary round?
The team went into the game against Mexico with a lot of momentum. Although the Venezuelans were not the dominant team, they still managed to win 1-0 in the end, with Salomon Rondon scoring the golden goal from the spot.
The star of the team is someone else, namely Yangel Herrera, who earns his money at FC Girona. Venezuela don’t impress with their individual talents anyway, but have a clear homogeneity and passion in the team.
For some, the two group games have already brought back memories of 2011. 13 years ago, Venezuela made it to the semi-finals, but clearly missed out on a medal after losing 4-1 to Peru
Will Jamaica go home without a point?
The team is not yet a title favorite, of course, but the strong group stage so far commands a lot of respect. It wasn’t really to be expected.
Just a few months ago, the Venezuelans were held to a goalless draw against Guatemala. They obviously need the pressure of the competition, and now they could even have the perfect first round.
Venezuela haven’t really faced Jamaica that often in recent years, with their most recent clash coming in 2016. It was the first that was actually a competitive match and also took place as part of the Copa America
The team won 1:0 that time, which is exactly the result I recommended in the result bets. The six head-to-head matches had a total of eleven goals, twice three and four times less than 2.5.
The Jamaican team traveled to the USA as one of the underdogs, but as number 53 in the world they are actually slightly ahead of Venezuela. In the current preliminary round, however, things look very different.
It was only at the end of the year that they narrowly lost to Canada in the quarter-finals of the Nations League finals, when they had hoped that the battle for the knockout phase of the Copa America would continue until the final matchday.
The team lost 1:0 to Mexico in the opener. A deserved defeat? In fact, the Reggae Boyz played well, but were not strong enough in the decisive moments.
In the second game, however, the defense did not improve, quite the opposite. An early own goal led to the defeat, which ended in a 3:1 loss. However, the decisive third goal was only scored shortly before the final whistle.
With 7:23 shots, the Jamaicans were clearly the worse team. Overall, the two losses were not undeserved, but at the same time the results were just as close as those of the Venezuelans.
In Jamaica, of course, they are anything but happy that superstar Leon Bailey is out injured. Others have to step into the breach offensively, and that doesn’t work particularly well on American soil
My tip:
Venezuela can play the perfect preliminary round with nine points, something La Vinotinto wasn’t really expected to do beforehand! Whoever beats Mexico and Ecuador will also beat Jamaica?
Basically, I agree with the bookmakers’ assessment, but I’m a little more cautious in my betting recommendation. After all, the Venezuelans have already reached the knockout phase and may no longer be giving 100 percent.
Since the Jamaicans pose very little danger offensively, I have decided to bet on the following tip:
Venezuela to score under 3.5 goals
