Coppa Italia, Tuesday, 23.04.2024
In Italy, we are approaching the final of the national cup competition! The second leg between Lazio and Juventus, scheduled for Tuesday, will reveal the name of one of the two finalists.
Around three weeks ago, the visitors from Turin still had the upper hand. In my Lazio Roma Juventus betting tip, I’ll be looking at why the score could still be 0-0 at the break and why the “Old Lady” will find it difficult to be eliminated
Last weekend, both teams were allowed to play on Friday in order to have enough time to prepare for the second leg of the Coppa Italia.
Juventus were unable to leave Sardinia with a three-pointer, however, as Cagliari held the Turin side to a 2-2 draw, which was even somewhat flattering from the point of view of the “Bianconeri”, who made numerous mistakes.
Lazio, on the other hand, were able to fulfill their duty against Genoa. The 1:0 victory over the Ligurians was even the second Serie A win in a row for the capital side under their new coach Igor Tudor
Brief review: The first leg took place at the Allianz Stadium at the beginning of April, which went 2-0 to the “Old Lady”. Federico Chiesa and Dusan Vlahovic were the goalscorers.
However, it was also a game that could have ended in a draw, as both Juventus and Lazio, with xG values of 0.73 and 0.48 respectively, did not deserve a full goal, let alone two!
Meanwhile, the “Biancocelesti’s” chances of overturning or at least equalizing this deficit are dwindling.
Keep in mind: It has never happened before in this competition that Juve have lost a two-goal lead from the first leg
Meanwhile,
Lazio won the joint Serie A duel on the penultimate day of March – and thus immediately before losing the semi-final – with a surprising 1:0 home win.
However, the Romans proved just a few days later that they could not quite build on this success. I also strongly suspect that their already limited attacking potential is not quite enough to turn around a two-goal deficit.
Against Genoa on Friday, coach Igor Tudor had his team line up in a 3-4-2-1 with Castellanos as the sole striker. They won 1-0 in the end, but the second leg of the cup tie could be much more static against a defensive-minded Juve
It’s not as if Juventus will necessarily win, as their last performance against the Sardinians revealed unusual weaknesses in their play against the ball.
The fact that they conceded not one, but two penalties against Cagliari could prompt coach Allegri to make his men even more defensive-minded than usual.
Especially as it would be tactically much easier for the Bianconeri to save a possible 0-0 into the second half in order to benefit from the counter-attacking opportunities that presented themselves
Watch out, sports betting fans: both the semi-final first leg and the Serie A clash immediately before it were still 0-0 at the break, and that’s no coincidence.
The fourth edition of this encounter this season is likely to be accompanied by another cautious feeling-out process. Especially as the unsettled visitors from Turin are gaining in confidence the longer the score remains 0-0.
Logically, I checked with NEObet to see what the odds were for a goalless draw at the break – and at just under 2.50, I got a value on my cell phone display that I can live with!
With regard to the outcome of the game itself, however, the sports betting providers are undecided.
Because none of the three possible events within a classic 1X2 sports bet is considered highly probable in their eyes.
There are no odds of significantly less than 2.50 for a home win, a draw or an away three, although the lowest of these Lazio Roma Juventus odds are offered for a triumph for the “Old Lady.”
Conclusion: I wouldn’t really trust either side to win.
Juventus are currently making some unusual mistakes at the back, while the capital side still lack the necessary offensive punch.
Sure, the “Biancocelesti” still managed to win 4:1 against Salernitana two weeks ago, but the rearguard of the bottom team is also the unofficial barn door of the league.
Against the very defensive-minded visitors from Turin on Tuesday, however, I expect another 0:0 at the break in my Lazio Rome Juventus betting tip
