Bundesliga Matchday 1, Saturday, 24.08.2024 at 15:30
Let the ball roll again! Germany’s top division is finally back in action this weekend, so it’s high time to take a closer look at what we can expect this season in our Bundesliga tips. My example: The Mainz Union Berlin betting tip!
The two teams, who fought against relegation for a long time in 2023/24, know that the primary aim now is to secure their place in the league as early as possible. I’ll give you my prediction right away: it won’t be too high-scoring today and there doesn’t necessarily have to be a winner.
Mainz know that they haven’t cut a good figure against Berlin for several years now. On the other hand, I will tell you about very strong home statistics that suggest the opposite.
What exactly does that mean for the Mainz Union Berlin odds? The home side, regardless of the direct comparison, are ahead, on average you can look forward to average odds of 1.95 to 4.20 in this game
I have already told you my betting recommendation for our Mainz Union Berlin betting tip: It will be a draw with a maximum of two goals.
What speaks for this assumption? I’ll tell you now in my analysis. Of course, I also have a few more betting ideas up my sleeve below!
On top of that, I’ve also consulted artificial intelligence to reconcile my own thoughts with the Mainz Union AI prediction
The prediction of the betting providers?
Mainz haven’t lost in eight home games, and of course our bookmakers are aware of that. And so, in my eyes, it’s no wonder that the odds for a win on Saturday are just under 2.00.
On the other hand, I can tell you right away: Union and away? That led to a measly two wins and eleven goals in 2023/24! So it’s understandable that a win in Mainz is issued with values around 4.20.
Mainz shared the points a total of 14 times last season, while two of the last four head-to-head meetings ended in a draw.
It is therefore logical to explain that the Mainz Union Berlin odds for a draw on Saturday are slightly lower than usual at 3.30.
KI prediction Mainz vs Union Berlin: This is what ChatGPT
is betting on.
In this Bundesliga season, we take you on the exciting ChatGPT journey. We have also asked the AI for this match which bets it thinks are feasible and now want to take a closer look at these Mainz Union Berlin tips.
The double chance X2 is rather low risk. So if the visitors don’t lose, the odds would be just under 1.80.
Since I am calling for a draw, this tip is not unrealistic and certainly also refers to the direct comparison, which shows that Berlin has not lost nine of the last ten games against Mainz
The bet on over 2.5 goals offers a little more risk, but not too much. I would actually steer clear of that.
The reason: Union only scored eleven times away from home last season, while at the same time the 05ers only conceded three goals in their last seven home games.
High risk once, please? That’s what the Mainz Union Berlin AI prediction does with a result bet. It gives us a 3:1, which seems a bit too high to me.
Basically, I can imagine a Mainz victory with a two-goal lead, but would then rather go for a 2-0 win for the hosts
Analysis: Mainz vs Union Berlin
Union Berlin had to tremble until the last second, then it was certain, the relegation! The 2023/24 season began with matches against Real Madrid and ended with the question of whether the team would soon return to League 2.
The Urs Fischer era ended abruptly, the dream of suddenly being a top team was over. In the end, however, the only thing that mattered was that the 2nd Bundesliga could be avoided.
On the final matchday, the Irons won 2:1 against Freiburg at the last minute, while rivals Bochum lost in Bremen
In the end, it’s pointless to dig up and analyze any series from the past season for the Mainz Union Berlin betting tip. There’s just one thing I have to mention: The away weakness, which was absolutely glaring.
Two wins, eleven goals – nobody was weaker! One of these two three-pointers came right at the start, against relegated Darmstadt. Has this weakness, also in terms of the offense, now been remedied in the summer?
Quota analysis
I can well imagine that both sides will need something to sink their teeth into this new season. Since Berlin don’t like scoring away from home anyway, I would suggest the bet “0:0 at half-time”, which gives us odds of 2.45 at Interwetten.
Since I’m betting on a draw in total, you could go one step further and say: there will be no winner after 45 or 90 minutes. In this case, you are offered odds of 4.60 for the Mainz Union Berlin betting tip.
If anyone scores here, it’s more likely to be Mainz 05 in my eyes, and since I think the hosts are the favorites with their own fans behind them, the bet “Mainz scores first” seems to make sense to me.
We have odds of 1.65 for this bet on the opening matchday
Mainz vs Union Berlin odds: Why bet on few goals?
The weakness on the road doesn’t seem to have been completely remedied if we look at the cup!
A few days ago, the capital team won 1:0 against Greifswald, so more was to be expected. Union failed to score a total of 17 times in 2023/24.
Inevitably, I look at the Sunmaker app and realize: If the Köpenickers remain goalless on Saturday, there are Mainz Union Berlin odds of 2.35 to take home.
Incidentally, the Eisern have also introduced a new coach: Bo Svensson!
Mainz, of all clubs, will now be the first opponent, as Svensson’s ex-club is well known. Just a year ago, Union won 4:1 against Mainz in the season opener, when the coach was still on the other side
Mainz want to build on the finish?
Apropos direct comparison, with one defeat from the last eleven games, this is of course an excellent result from the visitors’ point of view.
1:1, 0:0, 2:1, 0:1, 3:2, 1:2, 0:1, 0:1? The results from Mainz rarely had a little spectacle to offer.
I now come to Mainz, who just about saved their 2023/24 season. Eleven points in the first half of the season and 24 in the second half, they’ve managed to catch up.
One point from the first six games, whereas the season opener a year ago got completely out of hand…
Enough criticism, after all, the Rheinhessen finished the round really strongly. They haven’t lost in nine games and have also scored in all of their last eight home matches.
Goals conceded in those nine matches? Only five! Since Mainz have won five of their six home games by zero goals, I would also give this bet a chance.
If this Mainz Union Berlin prediction is correct, you will be rewarded with odds of 3.25 at Bet365
By the way, it should be mentioned for the sake of completeness that Mainz had a tough time in the cup, advancing 3:1 after extra time against Wehen Wiesbaden.
At least no professional is injured at the moment, while Berlin are without Kevin Volland and Josip Juranovic
My Mainz Union Berlin tip:
Please no relegation battle! Mainz 05 and Union Berlin share the goal of the season and also the first matchday, which was already the case in 2023. One thing that sticks with me from last season is that the Irons hardly did anything away from home.
Hand on heart: In the years before that, the Alte Försterei was also the main reason for the great results. At the same time, there’s the opposite fact that we haven’t lost against Mainz for years.
And THEN we found out that the 05ers were unbeatable at home at the end of last season and hardly conceded any goals. I now combine all these facts and make the following Mainz Union Berlin prediction:
With a maximum of three (strictly speaking two) goals, both will share the points!
My tip: Draw & Under 3.5 goals
