Premier League, Thursday, 16/01/2025 at 9:00 PM
Liverpool snatched a point, Arsenal knocked out of the FA Cup – it’s possible! Manchester United are not playing any role in our Premier League master bets, but have been orienting themselves more and more towards the relegation battle in recent weeks.
Now the Red Devils finally want to present their fans with three points again, so what could be better than a home game against the bottom of the league? In my Manchester United Southampton betting tip, I reveal why I am still a little cautious and say: “Double Chance 1X” will result in a maximum of three goals!
There is still a long way to go before everyone is reconciled with this 2024/25 season, but it seems that there is finally something of a spirit of optimism in Manchester! Those who support the Red Devils have had a tough few months.
They are currently in 13th place in the Premier League, have only won one of their last seven games, and have ended five of that period without a point, including against a relegation candidate like Wolverhampton.
On the last matchday, a 2-2 draw was snatched from Liverpool, a result that gave hope. And lo and behold, a few days later in the FA Cup, Manchester was actually able to follow that up with another surprise.
They knocked Arsenal out on penalties, having held a 1-1 lead before the nerve-wracking battle. Well, with 7:26 shots and less than 30 percent possession, I can’t necessarily speak of a deserved win, but the Devils currently have to work hard for their luck.
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Even when Diogo Dalot was sent off after an hour, the team did not collapse. Of course, strictly speaking, neither the game against Liverpool nor the one against Arsenal ended in a win.
The last time the fans at the Theatre of Dreams celebrated a victory was on December 1, when there was a clear 4-0 win against Everton. It was in the middle of a relatively consistent period for the club, in which there were three wins and a draw at home.
2:3 against Nottingham, 0:3 against Bournemouth and 0:2 against Newcastle, in the last few attempts it looked quite different. It is definitely interesting that United only drew 1:1 against Chelsea.
The large fan base will of course be pleased that Southampton is classified as a favorite opponent. The last time they didn’t collect a point was in January 2016, so United have not lost 16 games in a row.
But: In that period, there were also eight draws, and only once, in 2020/21, did the Red Devils manage to win twice in a row. In four of the last six home games against Southampton, both took a point.
So the game on Thursday does not seem to be a sure-fire success, even though our bookmakers are offering average odds of 1.30 to 8.75. Of course, this is also related to the current league table situation.
The Saints arrive at the bottom of the league with just a single win to their name. They have lost 16 of 20 matches and are already ten points off the safety line.
In early November, the team collected a 1-0 win against Everton, and it almost goes without saying that the winning goal came just before the final whistle. Twelve goals mean the worst attack, in half of all games the team does not score at all.
It is cold comfort to have to mention that, on the road, at least ten fewer goals (17) were conceded than at home (27). This is also because the Saints usually don’t get crushed away from home.
1:2 against Crystal Palace, 0:1 at Aston Villa, 0:2 against Wolverhampton, 0:1 against Manchester City, 1:3 against Arsenal, Brentford and Bournemouth, plus the 0:1 in Newcastle, it’s unfortunately not doing Southampton any good that they regularly hold their own well.
In seven of ten games, the team has fallen behind before half-time or went into the break behind. So you can bet that this will happen on Thursday as well, with the Merkur Bets app offering odds of 1.70.
Is Manchester United slowly but surely moving forward? The draws (one of them in the FA Cup) against Liverpool and Arsenal were not bad, although the team was clearly outclassed by the Gunners.
Now, of course, you might think that in a home game against bottom-of-the-league Southampton, little can go wrong, especially since they have not lost to this opponent in almost nine years.
However, since the visitors often managed to get a draw in these duels and, in this so unsuccessful season, have not been beaten away from home, and have a very weak attack, I have decided on the following tip:
United scores with under 3.5 goals!
