Copa del Rey, round of 16, Thursday, 16/01/2025 at 9:30 pm
Before the cup is, in a sense, after the cup. After a thrilling El Clásico in the Spanish Super Cup final, the Madrilenians have to make sure that they don’t miss the Copa del Rey final either. But first, they have to reach the quarter-finals.
Of course, after such an exhausting performance as against the Catalans, one has to be careful not to overestimate the “Los Blancos”. However, their outstanding form and depth of squad should still help my aggressive Real Madrid Celta Vigo tip to succeed.
The expectation of many of my betting friends that the Whites will have the upper hand against Celta Vigo on Thursday is absolutely justified.
Nevertheless, you should not underestimate the enormous efforts that the “Blancos” made in the recent 5-2 Super Cup final defeat against Barça.
Carlo Ancelotti’s team may have enough depth in their squad to beat the Galicians, but they will have to play at full throttle from the first minute.
In any case, it won’t be for the want of statistics if they are unable to live up to their role as favorites in this Copa del Rey round of 16.
Real Madrid have won an impressive 19 of their last seven LaLiga home games against the Celestes (6 wins, 1 draw), scoring 21 goals and conceding just one.
But be careful: “Los Blancos” lost their last home game against Celta Vigo in this competition, in the 2016/17 season, when they surprisingly lost 1-3 at home.
Celta Vigo did not win their ticket for the last sixteen of the current season at the fair, but the tasks they have mastered so far have not exactly blown me away.
In the previous round, they only just managed to beat Racing Santander 3-2 after the second division team made it much easier for their opponents from the 35th minute of the game.
Central defender Mantilla was sent off with a straight red card at this point – and yet the Galicians were only able to turn the game around in the final minutes!
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On the other hand, the “Celestes” are just returning home from the capital with a whole series of bad news. The absences of key players like Aspas and Ristic have already made themselves felt.
In the wake of the miserable 2-1 defeat to Rayo Vallecano, however, there have now been further setbacks: Marcos Alonso will be missing on Thursday against RMA not only due to a controversial red card after a second yellow card, but also because of an ankle injury.
In addition, Alfon suffered a muscle injury and had to be substituted early. Both absences will weaken the team massively and will certainly also be felt in the cup round of 16.
The “Royals” will undoubtedly want to take their chances to impress in front of their home crowd. But only the injury luck and the personnel bottlenecks of the Galicians could tip the game decisively in their direction.
With a flawless record in recent home games against the northwesterners, Real are also the clear favorites in the betting markets for this cup battle.
Even in the top-rated Merkur Bet app, the Real Madrid Celta Vigo odds show values for a home win that are hardly above 1.40.
The “Royals” will undoubtedly want to take advantage of their chances to impress in front of their home crowd. But it is only the Galicians’ injury problems and personnel bottlenecks that could tip the game decisively in their direction.
With a flawless record in their last home games against the northwesterners, Real are also the clear favorites in the betting markets for this cup battle.
The Real Madrid Celta Vigo odds show values for a home win that are hardly above 1.40, even in the first-class Merkur Bet app.
The following statistic, on the other hand, provides a good argument to dispel any doubts that may arise about the Madrilenians’ role as favorites after the “Barca defeat”.
Because apart from the 4-0 defeat to Barcelona on Matchday 11 of La Liga and the aforementioned 5-2 defeat in the Super Cup final, RMA have won all of their other nine home games against Spanish clubs this season.
Also interesting: In all of these nine matches at the Bernabeau, Real always scored at least two goals.
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Even though the Clásico against Barcelona took a lot of energy and nerves, Real has an enormously deep squad. Players from the second row have already proven that they can step in almost equally well.
In contrast, Celta have numerous personnel problems that will hardly give them a chance against a rotating but still strong Real.
Given the high odds on this proposed tip, it is worth taking the risk, especially since Real will be playing with a lot of anger in their belly after their defeat in the Super Cup final.
My Real Madrid Celta Vigo prediction is: The Whites win both halves.