Mexico Jamaica betting tip
The Copa America betting odds are covered by us betting fans as completely as only the European Championship 2024 is currently covered.
Each group has a clear favorite and in Group B that is undoubtedly la “Tri”. The European Championship betting providers consider Mexico’s first place, including an opening victory over the Caribbean team, to be a very likely scenario.
For my part, however, in my Mexico Jamaica betting tip, I have taken a close look at the fluctuations in form of the Central Americans and have come to a different conclusion regarding the probable outcome of the match
Matchday 1 of the Copa America 2024 promises to be one of the most revealing matches of the entire preliminary round! After that, it will be easier to answer the question of how good or how bad the Mexicans really are.
Mexico go into this opening match as favorites, both because of their current FIFA world ranking of 14 – a full 41 places higher than their opponents – and because of their fantastic record.
After all, Mexico have only lost one of their last 11 joint internationals against JAM since 2013 (6 wins, 4 draws).
But in my Mexico Jamaica betting tip, I’ll also point out that the direct comparison is one thing, but the Central Americans’ recent slip-ups and mishaps this summer are quite another …
The betting operators’ forecast?
Let’s take a look at the Mexico Jamaica betting odds from the various bookmakers!
The majority of the best bookmakers have Mexico as the clear favorite with average odds of 1.60 to win.
A draw, on the other hand, offers the chance to speculate on a rather profitable surprise at 3.75, while Jamaica’s victory with a win multiplier of around 6x will make the hearts of those who are specifically looking for profitable risk bets beat faster!
Analysis: Mexico vs Jamaica
The most important thing to remember before making a Mexico Jamaica betting tip is that Mexico are no longer necessarily one of the strongest countries in the CONCACAF and CONMEBOL zones.
Recent performances have been on the decline, and even victories such as the one against South American whipping boys Bolivia at the beginning of June were won in unconvincing fashion (1-0).
However, the last few games, which can be seen as a dress rehearsal for the start of the Copa America, resulted in some disastrous results.
In particular, the 4-0 humiliation against Uruguay must be mentioned here, although the Mexicans deserve credit for selling themselves much better this time after the subsequent 3-2 defeat against Brazil.
Jamaica are more likely to be passing through at this Copa America, as the team’s primary focus is on preparing for successful qualification for the 2026 World Cup and gaining valuable experience.
Nevertheless, I believe the Caribbean team can spring at least one surprise in this group stage, possibly even in the match against Mexico, which will depend on how they get into the game …
After all, they have won their last three test matches against some of the weaker CONCACAF nations, including a commendable 1-0 win over Copa America participants Panama
Odds analysis
After a season in which he scored 26 goals in 41 games for Feyenoord, Mexican attacker Santiago Giménez remains my favorite candidate for a goal bet, even though he has not scored in his last nine international matches …
On the other hand, I think a double chance X2 bet is also promising, but this is limited to the phase before the change of ends.
The odds for this are an interesting 1.65 and I will explain why you should abandon the sinking yellow-black-green ship after a good 60 minutes of play at the latest in the next section of my Mexico Jamaica prediction
Jamaica: Goals conceded late on
Keep in mind: In the last five games, Jamaica have conceded all their goals after the 80th minute of the game.
This trend suggests that some very specific betting options could be considered for the Mexico v Jamaica match.
For example, a bet that Jamaica will not be behind after the first half (double chance X2 in the 1st half) could now be of increased interest.
Furthermore, my attention is also drawn to so-called minute bets from Bet365, which speculate that a goal could be scored by either side in the time window after the 75th minute of the match.
A few words about the Jamaicans …
I don’t think the situation is that hopeless for the Jamaicans. Many are already writing them off in advance, even some knowledgeable experts whose specialty is the CONCACAF zone don’t think much of the players from the Caribbean.
However, I’ve watched some of their recent performances and inspected the squad and I have to say that I can’t quite understand all this pessimism.
Jamaica’s only real shortcoming is their dip in performance towards the end of the game, but the first 75 minutes of every international match in recent years have been quite respectable
Watch out: Over the last 13 internationals since July 2023, the Jamaicans have only suffered two defeats (8 wins, 3 draws).
Their defense has been particularly impressive, keeping four clean sheets in their last six games.
This stability could form the basis for a possible progression to the knockout phase of Group B, which is hardly expected on the betting markets …
However, both sides have scored in 4 of the last 5 duels, suggesting that JAM will have to rely more on their slightly weaker offense in the opening game to claim their first ever win in the group stage (6 defeats).
But even if they do end up losing: A both-teams-meet bet at odds of around 2.15 really isn’t bad value and could well pay off!
My tip:
Mexico is somewhat overrated among experts in my opinion, while Jamaica, on the other hand, tends to be underrated.
The Central Americans’ June performances were also disappointing, while Jamaica were often able to keep up quite well even against strong opponents despite a persistent loss of concentration in the closing stages.
I therefore expect the Jamaican defense to be solid and well-sorted in their first game in this edition of the Copa América, at least in the first half.
My Mexico Jamaica tip is therefore: Double chance X2 at the break
