French Open in Paris, round of 16, Sunday, 02.06.2024
No set loss, no tiebreak. Jannik Sinner’s break before the French Open to recover from hip problems has paid off so far. The star from South Tyrol has extended his impressive statistics to 31 wins in 34 matches this year.
On Sunday, he will face the last remaining Frenchman in the field in the round of 16, and it is somewhat surprising that it will be Corentin Moutet at this stage. But he has already managed to send the home crowd into ecstasy on several occasions. Nevertheless, the fairytale is likely to end for him on Sunday. You can find out why the 3-0 win for the Australian Open champion at 1.58 odds from Bet365 is great odds in my Moutet Sinner tip
Sinner was unable to play many clay court tournaments before the French Open compared to the competition. He reached the semi-finals in Monaco before Stefanos Tsitsipas handed him only his second defeat of the year after Carlos Alcaraz in Indian Wells.
The third defeat is de facto irrelevant. In Madrid, he was unable to play his quarter-final match against Felix Auger-Aliassime due to a hip problem. The Italian, who is also an excellent giant slalom racer, has already fought his way into the top 10 in recent years. However, he has now reached an even higher level.
Alongside Carlos Alcaraz and a never-aging Novak Djokovic, he is now one of the best in the world. But is he ready for the French Open title yet? He has 13 titles to his name, twelve of which he won on hard court and only one on clay
In comparison to the hardcourts (outdoor and indoor), his win rate on clay is around ten percent lower. The situation is completely different for Alcaraz, who plays his best tennis on the slow surface.
Even though the man from El Palmar lost the final against Sinner on the Croatian clay of Umag. Moutet, who is three years older, is new territory for Sinner. The duel celebrates its premiere on Sunday evening. Sinner starts as the heavy favorite at 1.03 odds at Bet365.
If Moutet win, 11.0 odds await. This market is therefore completely uninteresting for me. But Bet365 has much more to offer and is also one of the absolute top betting providers for the upcoming European Football Championship
This is a great feature at the French Open in addition to betting tax-free odds that give you five percent more profit. You can also watch all the French Open matches live on stream with topped-up credit.
I find the 1.58 for the favorite’s outright 3:0 victory lucrative. After all, Sinner has already been unbeaten against Christopher Eubanks (6-3, 6-4, 6-4), Richard Gasquet (6-4, 6-2, 6-4) and Pavel Kotov (6-4, 6-4, 6-4). Sinner has won 18 of his last 21 matches without dropping a set.
If the odds are not enough for you, you could add that the tie-break will not take place. Using the betting configurator, the overall odds jump to 1.87, while the 1.33 for no 7:6 in the match is only something for a combination ticket. Not a bad option overall, Sinner has only played one tiebreak in his past 18 matches
Time for a closer look at his opponent. His career high was 51st place in the world rankings, reached at the start of 2023. He has since slipped to 79th place, but moves back up to 56th by reaching the round of 16.
Clay is his favorite surface. He has won seven titles so far, all at Challenger level. Prior to the French Open, he played a somewhat inconspicuous clay court season, with the only eye-catcher being the semi-final in Chile, when he defeated Nicolas Jarry in the final, just like at the French Open.
Sebastian Ofner and Alexander Shevchenko were also defeated, all in four rounds. Also unusual: he completely skipped the hard court season.
He missed the Australian Open due to injury and instead of going to Miami, Indian Wells and the like, he went straight to the clay. Reaching the round of 16 shows that the strategy was the right one. Apart from that, Moutet has repeatedly caused a stir in his career with his unsportsmanlike behavior
My Moutet Sinner tip
Sinner offers an extremely consistent level, he has only dropped two service games in Paris so far. In his last match, he only conceded one opportunity in three breaks he made himself, but fended it off.
Moutet has had far more problems in his service games, conceding eleven, and at 1.75 meters he is not considered a service specialist anyway, but has a very strong defensive game.
He will certainly take Sinner’s serve two or three times, but will hardly be able to rest on his serve himself. I also see an enormous advantage in the mentality of the northern Italian, who never gets flustered, unlike his opponent, who, offended by his own performance, has deliberately stopped returning balls.
My Moutet Sinner tip: 3:0 for Sinner.
