Napoli – Frankfurt Tip Champions League, Matchday 4 on Tuesday, 04.11.2025 at 6:45 p.m.
Everyone has their own priorities! Just as I am interested in great offers such as the Betano promo code, SSC coach Antonio Conte has always focused his attention on the championship rather than the pursuit of international glory.
Napoli doesn’t concede 6 goals like they did on the last Champions League matchday just like that; the attitude is simply very different from that in Serie A.
And that’s exactly why my Napoli Frankfurt tip is for an extremely entertaining game.
With Hessen, the city at the foot of Vesuvius has exactly the right team to conjure up another half-dozen goals on the scoreboard.
After all, every SGE game in the Champions League ended 5-1 or 1-5 – once for them, twice against them!
I admit – Antonio Conte is always a bit of a question mark for me in the Champions League. But if you look at the raw numbers, there are definitely arguments in favor of a win for his SSC.
Napoli have lost only one of their last 18 home games in the Champions League (11 wins, 6 draws) – that was a 2-3 defeat to Real Madrid in October 2023.
Since the 0-0 draw against Dynamo Kiev in November 2016, the southern Italians have also scored in 21 consecutive home games – and that’s why I’m adding the additional condition BTS to my Napoli Frankfurt tip.
Napoli – Frankfurt prediction & bets
At the top of my list of possible Napoli Frankfurt bets is SGE: Over 1.5 goals at odds of around 3.00.
Eindhoven recently ran riot against Napoli, and I can well imagine that Eintracht Frankfurt will score at least twice at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
First half: Over 1.5 goals at odds of around 2.30 also holds a special appeal for me.
I have a feeling that the first goal will come within 15 minutes – and then there would be plenty of time for another goal before the break.
Incidentally, in the Betano app, you can expect odds of around 2.70 for a goal within the first quarter of an hour – certainly not a hopeless Napoli Frankfurt tip.
What you need to consider when betting on Napoli vs. Frankfurt
- Only Liverpool (4) has scored more goals from set pieces than Napoli (3) after three CL matchdays.
- All three of Eintracht Frankfurt’s CL games ended 5-1; only Dortmund, Frankfurt, and PSG have an average of ☻5 goals per game.
- 10 of Frankfurt’s 11 games (Champions League + Bundesliga) have had over 2.5 goals.
- Rasmus Hojlund and Scott McTominay are the only Napoli goalscorers in this Champions League season, with 2 goals each.
- Frankfurt have lost their last three games against Italian teams in Europe, all without scoring (twice against Napoli, once against Roma).
- Only three teams have conceded more goals than Napoli (9) in this CL season; they have averaged 16.7 shots per game against them.
Napoli – Frankfurt: AI tip & odds analysis
Only Borussia Dortmund’s games (6.3) have a higher average number of goals per game this season than Frankfurt’s, which averages 6.0 goals per game.
Based on this and other data, our Napoli Frankfurt AI prediction recommends betting on over 4.5 goals.
I know it’s a tall order – but it’s certainly not hopeless! Just don’t forget Eintracht’s recent Champions League nights! And the generous odds of around 4.10 are definitely worth considering.
Scott McTominay scoring is another AI suggestion that I also like very much. The Scot saved the club’s honor with his brace against Eindhoven and is equipped with a lot of pressure up front.
The odds of 3.10 are not bad – but I still prefer the 1.90 for the selection “Most goals in the second half” a little more.
This would lead to a significantly lower payout in the event of success, but this bet would have been successful in the SSC’s previous five home games before the goalless draw against Como at the weekend.
The best odds for Napoli vs. Frankfurt
If you bet on Napoli, the sports betting providers offer odds of around 1.60 – clear favorite, probability of occurrence is around 62–63 percent.
From the bookmakers’ perspective, this is a safe bet, but the payout is correspondingly modest.
A draw is at 4.40. The odds reflect a chance of around 23 percent, which is a realistic middle ground if neither team gains the upper hand.
Frankfurt is assigned odds of around 5.00 for an away win, which shows that the bookmakers only give them about a 20 percent chance. The risk is high, but the payout is attractive if the Hessians do indeed surprise everyone.
The Napoli vs. Frankfurt odds thus paint a classic favorite vs. underdog scenario: SSC is strong, the Eagles are the underdogs, and a draw is somewhere between these two extremes.
Sports betting providers make it exciting with their different odds, so it’s worth weighing up the balance between risk and security.
Napoli vs Frankfurt match analysis:
You can expect a really open game in which the goals could just keep coming. Frankfurt has conceded five goals in each of the last two matchdays, so their defense is shaky.
Napoli are not exactly a fortress in this competition either: only three teams have conceded more goals than the Italians so far, and they face an average of 16.7 shots per game – which is a lot.
Eintracht will probably have less possession, but Frankfurt’s transition game remains extremely dangerous.
As soon as they win the ball, they move forward at lightning speed, and players like Mario Götze are extremely dangerous—he has provided three assists for Frankfurt in his last seven Champions League appearances.
If the Italians are not careful at the back, it could quickly backfire.
Napoli will try to maintain control, but Frankfurt will keep coming back with quick attacks and dangerous combinations. So the game promises to be a back-and-forth affair: lots of chances, lots of pace, and both teams will offer each other space to attack.
For you, that means goals are very likely on both sides, with the defensive problems of both teams pointing to a really exciting, high-scoring game.
Napoli form check
After a heavy 6-2 defeat to PSV in the Champions League, Napoli reacted quickly and regained stability in Serie A. Three games without defeat (two wins, one draw) and only one goal conceded show that the defense is solid again.
Saturday’s 0-0 draw with Como was a minor setback, but overall the team is looking more controlled and compact than it did at the beginning of the month.
They are traditionally a force to be reckoned with at home at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona: just one defeat in their last 18 home games in this competition (11 wins, 6 draws) underlines that they rarely drop points there.
However, there are a few setbacks in terms of personnel. Striker Lorenzo Lucca is suspended, while midfield dynamo Billy Gilmour is injured and may be out.
Nevertheless, the squad is in good shape overall, and the return of some regulars has brought more balance.
If Napoli can carry the momentum from their recent Serie A performances into the Champions League, they have every chance of getting back on track quickly and using the home game as a turning point.
Frankfurt form check
Frankfurt travels to Italy with mixed feelings. The 1-1 setback against Heidenheim in the Bundesliga has not exactly provided a boost, and things have not been going well in the Champions League either since the furious 5-1 win against Galatasaray on matchday 1.
Two clear defeats in a row – 1-5 against Atletico Madrid and Liverpool respectively – quickly dampened the euphoria.
Things are particularly difficult away from home: Eintracht have lost their last three away games in the UCL and have not won any of their last three competitive games on the road (two draws, one defeat), despite scoring in all of them.
Frankfurt also have to improvise in terms of personnel: Can Uzun was injured at the weekend and is likely to be out. This means they are missing an option up front that has recently provided pace and moments of surprise.
The rest of the squad is largely fit, but after the latest results, the team is under pressure to perform.
Frankfurt urgently needs a win to regain confidence – because that is the only way to stop their slump in form in Europe.
