Olympiakos Piraeus – Fiorentina betting tip
The AEK fans have to be brave these days. First their rivals from Piraeus dethrone them in the domestic Super League, then their fans threaten to tear the brand-new OPAP Arena to shreds.
As fate would have it, the Conference League final will be held just 13 kilometers from Piraeus in the Greek capital.
You should not ignore these very special circumstances in your personal Olympiakos Fiorentina betting tip
Olympiakos will be the first team since Marseille in 2018 to play a European Cup final on home soil. Back then, Marseille lost to Atlético de Madrid in the UEFA Europa League final. Is this perhaps bad luck rather than good luck?
It is remarkable that the last four teams to compete in such a constellation left the pitch as losers. The last club to succeed in a major European final on home soil was Feyenoord some 22 years ago (UEFA Cup).
In my Olympiakos Piraeus Fiorentina prediction, we will explore other interesting data and statistics that you should take a look at before placing a personal bet with a betting provider with a German license
The bookmaker forecast
The bookmakers have understood that the Greek home advantage must be taken into account.
As a result, the Olympiakos Piraeus Fiorentina odds are a little more balanced than I had initially assumed.
I don’t want to talk about a classic coin toss scenario, but it is clear that the Italians are the favorites with odds of around 2.50 to 2.90.
Analysis: Olympiakos Piraeus vs Fiorentina
Olympiakos surprisingly beat Aston Villa in both the first and second legs of the semi-final with scores of 4-2 and 2-0. At the same time, they achieved something that their own fans have been waiting for for a very long time …
Piraeus will take part in a major international final for the first time in 64 years and 259 days.
They made their “final debut” in September 1959 in the European Champions Cup. Incidentally, it was against Milan, another Serie A club, and the game ended in a 2-2 draw.
This is also the longest elapsed time between two European Cup finals for a single club at UEFA level
In Fiorentina, meanwhile, the Greeks will face an internationally experienced opponent who reached the final of this competition last year. The fact that coach Vincenzo Italiano will be playing his last game for the club should also motivate the Italians.
The Viola, meanwhile, are unbeaten in 13 consecutive European Cup matches (7 wins, 6 draws), the longest run in their history.
Olympiakos and Fiorentina will also be facing each other for the first time in a competitive match.
Incidentally, after Fiorentina against West Ham last year and Manchester City against Internazionale in the final of the 2022/23 UEFA Champions League, this is only the third final in the last two seasons of a major European competition in which two teams will meet for the first time.
Odds analysis
I have honestly suggested a very “one-dimensional” Olympiakos Piraeus Fiorentina betting tip.
However, the possibility that both sides will actually score 1-time each is linked to a lucrative offer. Especially when we take a closer look at the bookmakers’ odds.
However, if you want to place a somewhat larger soccer bet with a verified bookmaker, then I advise you to place a bet of the type “Olympiakos to win & Over 2.5 goals”.
This betting combination in this form promises lucrative odds of 5.10, which become even more lucrative if you believe El Kaabi will score one of the Greek goals. Then we are already deep into the double-digit odds range
Olympiakos don’t like Serie A clubs very much
Olympiakos have lost six of their last seven games in European competition against Italian teams. The exception is a 3-1 home win over Milan in the group stage of the 2018/19 UEFA Europa League.
Nevertheless, the Greek team has only won more games against English (12) and French (11) opponents than against Italian (7) teams in major European competitions …
The fact that the Viola haven’t conceded in eight competitive games in a row also makes me confident that my tip could work out and that Olympiakos have more than just a small chance of winning the title
Olympiakos: Things could get heated early on
I’m convinced that, with their own fans behind them, the Greeks won’t hesitate and will pile on the pressure early on.
Whether that will work out is another matter, but an eventful match in which several players who scored important goals in the semi-finals could score is far more likely than a clean sheet in my eyes.
After all, who would have thought that the Greeks would score four goals when they visited Aston Villa? Consequently, I speculate that this time too, surprisingly, there will be more rather than fewer goals scored
The name Ayoub El Kaabi should mean something to you after the semi-final at the latest. The striker almost single-handedly destroyed the Villans and was an X-factor for me in this game. He definitely has outstanding qualities that can turn a game on its head.
El Kaabi is the leading scorer in the major European competitions this season with a total of 13 goals. Of these, he scored 10 goals in the knockout rounds of the UEFA Conference League.
The Moroccan is therefore a hot candidate for a goal bet: the in-form Kaabi could become the first player to score 11 goals in a single knockout round phase since the introduction of group matches in the major European competitions
Lucas Beltrán, on the other hand, is the hope of all Fiorentina fans who wouldn’t even dream of wanting to inaugurate the lucrative Winamax bonus with a goal from a Piraeus player against their team.
Beltrán is the Viola’s top scorer in the Conference League this season with four goals, making him a suitable alternative to Olympiakos’ top scorer.
What’s more, he could become the youngest Argentinian player (23 years, 61 days) to score in a major European final since Lionel Messi (21 years, 337 days) did so for Barcelona in the 2009 Champions League final against Manchester United.
My Olympiakos Fiorentina tip:
If I’m completely honest, from a Viola perspective, I’d be worried about what a heated cauldron the Greeks could turn the OPAP Arena into on Wednesday.
Additionally bolstered by the experience of having taken down a top Premier League team like Aston Villa, I think Olympiakos have a good chance.
It should be an eventful game in which Piraeus will press from the first minute. Fiorentina will therefore be forced into a style of play that doesn’t usually suit them very well.
I’m playing it safe in my Olympiakos Piraeus Fiorentina prediction with a both teams meeting tip, but a combination with an overall win for the Helens could also pay off
My tip: Both teams will score!
