Poland Netherlands betting tip & the best odds for the Group D match
The desperation among our Polish friends before the start of the European Championship 2024 is great, which of course has to be reflected immediately in my Poland Netherlands betting tip.
Few are expecting them to progress and their already slim chances of making it through to the knockout phase have plummeted even further due to Lewandowski’s injury.
How long the superstar will be missing and what bookmaker bets on this match could look like will be explained to you step by step in my Poland Holland betting tip.
By the way: This will be the first clash between Poland and the Netherlands at a World Cup or European Championship!
The Netherlands are taking part in the final round of the European Championship for the eleventh time. They won the tournament for the first and so far only time in 1988, when the European Championship was last held entirely in Germany. Back then, the Dutch defeated the Soviet Union 2:0 in the final.
Back then, the Elftal team included a true soccer legend, who is now expected to lead the “Europees kampioen” successfully from the sidelines.
And indeed, I have been so impressed by Ronald Koeman’s work on the Oranje bench and the results he has achieved in recent months that I am prepared to put my almost unreserved trust in his team in my Poland Netherlands prediction.
The Poland – Netherlands bookmakers’ prediction
I can still remember very well having called up the Poland Netherlands odds using a verified sports betting app a few months ago.
At that time, the Netherlands odds across all providers were around 1.70, but this value was revised downwards again in the last few days after the announcement of Lewandowski’s absence.
The Netherlands odds for an opening win on Sunday are now around 1.55, which I would still rate as high enough to try with a simple single bet.
Even though I personally have been working on a slightly more complex soccer bet for Sunday
Poland – Netherlands odds: Where are the highest Holland odds?
The best Poland Netherlands odds are probably offered by the bookmaker Happybet.
Although the odds of 1.55 for an opening three-pointer are not quite as high as those of the competition, the many wide-ranging combination and special bets, which are also part of the licensed bookmaker’s program, are.
Here you will also find unbeatable Poland odds, which offer you a win multiplier of up to 6.25x for a win for the Eastern Europeans.
But without Lewandowski in the line-up, I think the chances of success of such a gamble are almost unrealistic
Analysis: Poland vs Netherlands
I have some Polish friends who initially didn’t want to know anything about the European Championship. Partly because their national team was unable to qualify in the traditional way.
In the qualifying phase, miserable defeats against Moldova (2:3) and Albania (0:2) were the darkest chapters in recent Polish soccer history.
But then came a change of coach and a second chance via the European Championship play-offs, which “Polska” promptly seized.
The two most recent international appearances in June against Ukraine (3:1) and Turkey (2:1) were certainly much more convincing! If only it hadn’t been for the annoying injury to Robert Lewandowski in the last test match before the European Championship …
Holland have talent in abundance and are perfectly capable of finishing top of the Group of Death.
In any case, I’ve enjoyed their recent performances even more than those of group opponents France.
Cross-comparisons are notoriously difficult, but I can’t and won’t withhold the following one from you at this point.
Let’s make a note: France’s last pre-EM match ended with a clean sheet against the same Canada that had embarrassed the Elftal to the bone with a 4-0 win just a few days earlier
More: against the same team that England lost 1-0 to just before the start of the tournament, Oranje triumphed again with an impressive 4-0 win in their own European Championship dress rehearsal (meaning Iceland, of course).
Can you see why I think this team, bursting with talent, can win their opener against the Poles with aplomb?
Odds analysis
I personally like the combination of different betting scenarios. A purely conventional win bet on the Dutch leaves me without numerous promising alternatives.
If Holland scores the first goal of the match – which I assume they will – there are already great odds of 1.60.
For an Oranje success without conceding a goal – which I am also convinced of – there are even much higher odds of around 2.27.
And a goal from Cody Gakpo to make it 1-0 in the meantime, which I also suspect, promises Netherlands odds of around 5.10.
As you can see, there are a number of interesting options that you can use to garnish your Poland Netherlands betting tip.
By the way: If that’s still not enough for you, I’d like to point out that my betting friends have dedicated an entire news article to the best bets for POL vs NED
Poland vs Netherlands odds: Another early finish?
Poland are playing in their fifth consecutive UEFA European Championship, having failed to qualify for any of the previous 12 editions.
However, they have won just 2 of their 14 games at this tournament (excluding penalties), with both wins coming in the 2016 group stage (7 draws, 5 defeats).
Consequently, it has long been known in soccer circles that the Eastern Europeans are everything, but not a team to be reckoned with at the European Championships.
Poland have rarely deciphered Holland so far!
The head-to-head comparison speaks volumes: Poland have never beaten the Dutch in any of their last 12 meetings in all competitions (5 draws, 7 defeats).
And without the injured Robert Lewandowski at the heart of the attack, the statistical chances of success on Sunday are almost nil.
Lewa is Poland’s record goalscorer at the UEFA European Championship and has scored a total of five of their 11 goals in this competition. He has even scored four of Poland’s last five European Championship goals
The Dutch certainly have what it takes to give the Poles a run for their money.
They have already scored eight goals in the month of June in test matches against nations that have already tasted European Championship or World Cup air in the recent past.
Historically speaking, the Netherlands are also a team that has often helped sports betting fans to place successful over-2.5-goal bets
Watch out: Oranje have averaged 1.67 goals per game at European Championships (65 goals in 39 games), the highest rate of any team at the tournament.
And with the current generation of Elftal boasting a prolific goalscorer in Cody Gakpo, who scored a lot of goals at the 2022 World Cup, I have no doubt that the Poles could have their work cut out for them on Sunday!
My Poland Netherlands tip:
Lewandowski will in all likelihood only miss the opening game, but that alone could seal the Poles’ fate. After all, the rest of the Group D program will by no means be any easier.
Holland are a powder keg of talent and drive just waiting for the right spark to go off! The recent performances against Iceland and Canada will certainly give their fans plenty of encouragement!
The Eastern Europeans will be able to defend themselves in places, but the Dutch will be decisive and merciless. I’m confident of an opening win for them, which could take the form of a 2-0 or even 3-0 victory
My tip: Half time/final score 2/2