Champions League, Wednesday, 05/03/2025 at 9:00 p.m.
What a cracker! Liverpool have been an integral part of the European elite for years, but Paris is also causing a sensation this season with its offensive power.
The team from the French capital has recently dominated in Ligue 1 and regularly celebrates big wins. But now they face a real test with the “Reds”.
Arne Slot and his team know what to expect, and, surprisingly, they are not enjoying the backing of the betting providers without tax this time.
Can Paris really set an example in the first knockout round at the Parc des Princes and put themselves in a strong starting position? My PSG Liverpool prediction will give you the possible answer, even before Wednesday evening!
It’s not a first, but it’s definitely an encounter where there has already been a lot of back and forth.
Liverpool and Paris Saint-Germain have only met twice in the Champions League – in the 2018/19 group stage. Back then, the “Reds” won 3-2 at Anfield, but were beaten 2-1 away from home.
So, are we in for another spectacular encounter? According to my PSG Liverpool tip, the French team could once again manage to capitalize on their home advantage.
The bookmakers’ prediction
According to the Merkur Bets app, we can expect a hard-fought spectacle here – and rightly so! PSG is slightly favored to win at 2.45, but that’s not really a role for favorites.
Liverpool at 2.75? At first glance, that smells of “value” if the English team can ignite their pressing fireworks. But I have my doubts that they will actually succeed in doing so.
One thing is for sure: it certainly won’t be boring in Paris that evening!
AI prediction PSG vs Liverpool: That’s what ChatGPT tips
ChatGPT’s PSG Liverpool AI prediction brings three promising betting options into play – and this time I can see the point in all of them!
For a high but justified risk, the recommendation is: “PSG win with handicap -1”.
Oh yes, great tip! High odds and certainly not hopeless if Paris actually play as well as they did recently against Lille in the league. A clear home win is therefore quite conceivable.
For a medium risk, “PSG win & both teams score” is suggested – also a strong choice! A 2-1 or even 3-1 is definitely in the realm of possibility and comes with an attractive betting rate of around 3.70.
For the safe variant, ChatGPT finally bets on “Over 2.5 goals” – and I also consider that to be plausible. This game definitely has the potential for escalation, and a goal-filled spectacle would therefore definitely not be a surprise!
Analysis: PSG vs Liverpool
Paris Saint-Germain and Liverpool meet in the last 16 of the Champions League – a clash between two top European teams in top form.
PSG, the undisputed leaders in France, qualified with an impressive 10-0 aggregate victory over Brest and have not been beaten in 22 games (19 wins, 3 draws).
Nevertheless, the Parisians have often struggled against English teams, with only two wins in their last eight duels (1 draw, 5 defeats).
However, their recent 4-2 win against Manchester City and their strong home record of only ten defeats in their last 80 European home games (50 wins, 20 draws) is encouraging.
Liverpool, meanwhile, secured the league win with seven wins from eight games and are still in top form, despite being knocked out of the FA Cup by second division side Plymouth in the last round.
What’s more, they are traveling to the City of Love with an impressive Champions League away record: 16 wins in their last 22 games.
In a clash between two offensive teams, the form on the day could decide the game, but if one side can secure the better starting position for the second leg in the Parc des Princes, then in my opinion it’s the French side!
Rating Analysis
“Both score in half time 1” is a promising risk bet at odds of around 3.10. After all, Liverpool have scored before half-time in ten of the last eleven games, which shows that they often get down to business early.
If the opponent plays along, it could prove to be a worthwhile option.
‘Salah to score’ at 2.00 is also worth considering. The Egyptian is a reliable force in the Champions League, with 20 direct goals in 30 knockout matches. He is often on the mark in big games – a solid tip for a fairly lucrative goal bet.
Liverpool don’t like traveling to France!
Liverpool the undisputed number one in Europe? Not if their record in France is anything to go by! The Reds have been waiting for a win against French teams for five away games in European competitions – two draws, three defeats.
The last success? That was a whopping 16 years ago: a 2-1 win at Olympique Marseille in the Champions League in the 2008/09 season.
PSG is in incredible form!
Take a closer look at Paris! They’re not just tearing everything up nationally, but internationally too. Five consecutive Champions League victories, scoring a whopping 21 goals and conceding only three – a real show of strength.
And the 4-1 win over Lille at the weekend? Breathtaking! Even before half-time, Enrique’s team had already scored four goals, which completely took the wind out of the “Doggen’s” sails.
And as the crucial phase approaches, the “Reds” seem to be getting a bit nervous. They have lost their last three Champions League knockout games – okay, all against Real Madrid, but still.
Since 2020/21, they have actually lost five times in the knockout rounds, four of them against the Whites.
If you are considering a goal bet on a player who is not one of the usual suspects, then take a look at the Parisian full-back.
Achraf Hakimi has been the most creative defender in the Champions League this season so far: 12 created chances, 4 assists – and all under intense pressure from opponents. No other player has delivered more assists under pressure than he has.
My PSG Liverpool Tip:
PSG impressed with a strong performance last weekend and go into the first leg against Liverpool with a streak of 22 unbeaten games. Their home strength and recent form make them an easy favorite in my opinion.
Although the English have often impressed in Europe, PSG could get the upper hand in Paris and take an important step towards the quarterfinals.
So a win for Paris in the first leg is entirely realistic!
My tip: Double Chance 1X & Both Meet teams