Champions League, Tuesday, 04.03.2025 at 21:00
As third in the group stage, are you automatically one of the favorites to win the trophy? In our Champions League tips, Arsenal FC have certainly not only convinced me, the Gunners saved themselves the annoying playoffs and are now ready to enter the quarter-finals just as easily.
In my PSV Eindhoven Arsenal betting tip, however, there is of course not only the English top club, but also a team from the Eredivisie that is virtually unpredictable. And watch out, Gunners: this team knows exactly how to win home games!
Liverpool FC have also lost at Philips Stadion and Juventus Turin were eliminated by PSV. That’s why I’ve decided to take the risk of the “double chance 1X” and say: Arsenal have to do it in the second leg, but will return home without a win for the time being.
However, I’m assuming that we’re in for a damn close, exciting match at eye level. The visitors are struggling at the moment, as they are missing key players, especially in attack.
Eindhoven should therefore not be a grateful opponent for the English side, especially away from home, as the historical part of my analysis will show that Arsenal have not only had problems against PSV once!
The bookmaker forecast
PSV Eindhoven have not lost a home game in the current Champions League season, winning four out of five matches. Accordingly, it may even come as a surprise to you that the odds are averaging 3.75 in the event of success on Tuesday.
Well, Arsenal have also played a very strong group stage with just one defeat. The Gunners are favored despite their injured players, and if you want to bet on an away win, you will be offered odds of 2.05.
The respective win odds are close together, so is a draw the logical outcome? With odds of around 3.45, the draw is definitely within the realm of the realistic, four of the ten direct duels fittingly had no winner to offer.
AI prediction PSV Eindhoven vs Arsenal: This is what ChatGPT
How does the AI deal with the fact that Arsenal is slightly favored? It’s quite interesting what ChatGPT has spit out to me about this match, even if I don’t agree with all the tips.
The bet “Half-time/final score X/2”, for example, contradicts my prediction that Arsenal will win after a draw at half-time. I rate PSV as strong enough to be able to collect at least a draw against a somewhat understrength Gunners.
Continue with the “Double chance X2” at “Over 2.5 goals”. Eindhoven is quite strong offensively at home. Ultimately, for example, a 2:2 would fall into this category, as this would also cover my betting recommendation, this suggestion COULD be suitable.
The low-risk bet refers to Arsenal scoring the first goal of the game. The Londoners have already conceded 1-0 twice away from home, while PSV have alternated between leading and trailing at home. My conclusion: Possible, but not a sure-fire winner!
Analysis: PSV Eindhoven vs Arsenal
Six wins, one draw and one defeat, plus only three goals conceded? There’s no question that Arsenal FC showed their best side in the group stage of the Champions League!
The 1-0 defeat to Inter was their only loss, while the second match they failed to win was the 0-0 draw against Atalanta Bergamo. It’s not easy to look for major weaknesses in the preliminary round statistics:
Two 3-0 wins, plus a 2-0 and a 1-0, with all home games ending in victories. Away from home, there were the two “slip-ups” on Italian soil, plus a 2:1 win in Girona after falling behind.
The only clear result away from home was a 5:1 win at Sporting Lisbon. That is, of course, complaining at a high level, as only Inter Milan have defended better in this group stage.
Odds Analysis
1:1, 4:0, 3:2, 3:2, 3:1 n. V. – whenever PSV fans flocked to their Philips Stadion, they could be sure that they would never be bored. That’s why you can consider the classic “Over 2.5 goals” here, with the odds climbing to 2.00 at Betano.
With Malik Tillman, Ismael Saibari and Ryan Flamingo, Eindhoven have three stars who have already scored three goals in the CL. Luuk de Jong, however, is the most experienced among them. That’s why I have my eye on the captain, a goal bet after Oddset registration would give you odds of 3.30.
With regard to a result bet, I can imagine a few tips, because it’s hard to predict how defensively Arsenal will play. A 1:1 would be a 6.60, a 2:2 a 15.0 – take your pick!
PSV Eindhoven vs. Arsenal: Will the injuries decide the winner?
Of course, the Londoners are aware of their strong record, but they are also aware that not everything is going according to plan in terms of personnel. Bukayo Saka will not return until April and Kai Havertz is out for the season.
Gabriel Martinelli will also miss another four weeks and Gabriel Jesus tore his cruciate ligament in January. These are obviously not the best conditions for the end of the season and have already had an impact in the Premier League.
0:1 against West Ham and 0:0 against Nottingham, the attack in particular, which has been badly affected by the absences, struggled here. Perhaps it is a good omen that a Dutch opponent awaits in the current round of 16.
Only one of the last 14 matches against teams from Holland has been lost. What’s more, the team has only spent 65 minutes in arrears during the group stage.
Eindhoven builds on home strength
The last time Arsenal and Eindhoven faced each other was last season, also in the preliminary round of the Champions League. While the Gunners won 4:0 at home, the away result was only 1:1.
1:1, 0:2, 0:1, 1:1? Recent performances at the Philips Stadion have not exactly been crowned with success! The Dutch will certainly know that their arena can be a decisive advantage when it comes to going ahead.
Things looked bleak at the start of the competition after just two points from three games (1:3 against Juve, 1:1 against Sporting and 1:1 against PSG), but of course their opponents were no slouch either.
4:0 against Girona, 3:2 against Donetsk, 0:1 against Brest, 3:2 against Belgrade – games that could not have been more different followed. The team finally finished the group with a 3:2 win against Liverpool.
In the intermediate round, PSV lost 2-1 at Juventus Turin, conceding the second goal just a few minutes before the end. In the second leg, however, the Red & Whites kept their cool and progressed after a 3:1 win in extra time.
At least two goals have now been scored in four out of five home matches, so if you have your eye on the “Over 1.5 goals” bet, you will be rewarded with odds of 2.95 at Betano! As if that wasn’t strong enough, there’s also the Betano bonus
It’s hard to believe that this team has only won one of its last seven matches in the domestic league, but it’s clear that the will to win is somewhat greater in international competition.
Of course, the results also make it clear that Eindhoven have played to nil just once, in the 4-0 win against Girona. The high risk takes its revenge in defensive terms, which is exactly what Arsenal want to exploit on Tuesday.
My PSV Eindhoven Arsenal tip:
Not easy when suddenly almost the entire offense is out! FC Arsenal are not to be envied at the moment, in the Premier League there have been no goals twice recently and only one point, certainly also due to the injuries.
In the Champions League, the Gunners caught my eye with their strong defense, and the results away from home were slightly worse than at home. PSV, on the other hand, have had one scoring feast after another.
The Dutch side are known for their spectacular performances and are really strong in their own stadium. Since Liverpool FC also lost here, I have decided to put the following tip into the race:
Arsenal miss out on victory in Eindhoven!
