La Liga, Saturday, 14.12.2024 at 21:00
The chase for the top of the La Liga table is hotting up, and Real Madrid are right in the thick of it! With a win, the record champions could even take pole position for the first time this season.
However, Rayo Vallecano, of all teams, are now awaiting an unpleasant opponent who proved on several occasions last season alone that they can certainly give the “royals” a leg up.
Nevertheless, my Rayo Vallecano Real Madrid betting tip has the feeling that, with a bit of luck, they could hit the bull’s eye!
Real Madrid recently won 3:2 against Atalanta Bergamo in the Champions League league phase, but a place among the top eight teams is by no means assured. This means that the Whites must remain vigilant in international competition.
In La Liga, on the other hand, things are looking better than just a few months ago. Thanks to the many slip-ups at FC Barcelona, Real have reduced the gap to the Catalan leaders from nine to just two points.
If all goes well, they could go top of the table for the first time on matchday 17 – an incentive that should provide the team with additional motivation.
The last few games have been impressive: the Madrilenians have won four of their last five matches, and without conceding a goal. Only Athletic Bilbao managed to knock them off their stride with a 2:1 win at the beginning of December.
However, their next opponents, Rayo Vallecano, should be an easier task. After all, the team from the lower regions of the table have lost three of their last four league games and look vulnerable defensively.
Nevertheless, you should take a critical look at the bookmakers’ Rayo Vallecano Real Madrid odds: The average odds of 1.55 for a Madrid win seem a little too optimistic.
Especially when you consider that Real were unable to win either the first leg (0:0) or the second leg (1:1) against Rayo last season – despite winning several trophies!
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Conservative bets are the way to go on Saturday. The result of this match is likely to be in the range of 0:0 to a maximum of 2:1 or 3:0 for Real.
An under 3.5-goal bet – at odds of around 1.40 – could therefore provide a solid initial basis for your combined bet.
Also keep an eye on Kylian Mbappé: The Frenchman has recently picked up speed after a long period of criticism and has scored in three of his last four La Liga games for Real Madrid. He could shine again, especially against a defense like Rayo’s.
However, it’s still too early to say whether the exceptional player will feature, as he was substituted in the first half against Atalanta on Tuesday.
A statistical anomaly on the home side also makes me lean towards the visitors from Madrid, who have now fully settled into the 2024/25 season.
Rayo Vallecano is the team that has collected the fewest La Liga home points (7) in the competition to date after Valladolid (6).
“Home advantage” at the Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas is therefore written in small letters rather than capital letters.
As I said, the pure away win odds don’t exactly knock my socks off with an average of 1.50. But if you want to bet on a Madrid win, then it’s best to bet on a win without conceding a goal.
“Real Madrid to win without conceding a goal” offers much more attractive odds of around 2.55 and seems to be the most realistic option for an away win at the Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas anyway.
After all, the defensive center around Rüdiger and Tchouameni is harmonizing increasingly better – a solid basis for success without conceding a goal.
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One more thing: The club nicknamed “Los Franjirrojos” may be in mid-table, but they haven’t pulled off a surprise of the magnitude that would put me off my Rayo Vallecano Real Madrid tip.
With the exception of the 1-0 win over Real Sociedad on matchday 1, they have not managed to beat another club placed higher than seventh.
Their performances are certainly respectable, but in the end I expect them to succumb to the strong Madrilenians after a long and tough struggle.
Conclusion: Real Madrid have noticeably picked up speed in the meantime – it’s impressive how the Catalans’ lead has shrunk in just a few weeks.
In this condition, I would be reluctant to bet against the Whites. Although the away win odds could be a little more attractive on Saturday, a win to nil bet offers a far more suitable alternative anyway.
Personally, however, I prefer to opt for the addition “Under 3.5 goals” to protect myself against the possibility of a narrow 2:1 win for Ancelotti’s team.
My tip: Win Real Madrid & Under 3.5 goals
