La Liga, Saturday, 04.05.2024
With the necessary calm, Real Madrid stroll towards their well-deserved championship at the end of the season. The Whites won two of their last three league games with the minimum of fuss (1-0 each).
On several occasions this season, Carlo Ancelotti has done an outstanding job of dividing up his players’ strengths and giving his stars breaks in order to win the national league and at the same time have a good chance of winning the title in the top flight.
For my Real Madrid Cadiz betting tip, I’m using odds of 2.15 for “Real Madrid to win without conceding a goal” in the Betway app
Six league wins in a row have increased Real Madrid’s lead over the rest of the Spanish Primera Division to eleven points.
For next weekend’s clash against relegation candidates Cadiz, the sports betting providers are hardly concerned about a possible end to this winning streak with odds of up to 1.35.
I can fully understand that. The visitors are stuck in the bottom of the table, five points behind the drop zone and haven’t won in three matchdays (1U, 2N).
Mauricio Pellegrino’s already pitiful offense (23 goals in 33 games) has only scored 35% of its goals this season away from home.
Visiting the league leaders, the visitors are unlikely to win a point. Bookmaker Sunmaker takes a similar view with odds of 8.90 for Cadiz to win
A win for the home side is not affordable with maximum odds of 1.35, but a “Real Madrid win without conceding a goal” with odds of 2.15 is all the more affordable.
No league rival has conceded more goals this season than Real Madrid (17). At home in the Santiago Bernabéu, the Whites have won exactly half of their league games without conceding a goal!
The results of the last eight matchdays underline the value in the betting with five Madrid victories without conceding a goal!
Carlo Ancelotti really doesn’t have to worry about his defense in this clash. Cadiz (13) have scored the fewest goals from open play of any Spanish first division team.
In contrast to some other basement teams, set pieces are also not a helpful tool for the visitors (7 goals from resting balls).
Real Madrid can be found at the other end of the list. Toni Kroos and his team-mates have conceded the fewest goals from set-pieces, as well as just two goals from a resting ball 1
It is almost frightening to compare the average goal ratios of Real Madrid in their own stadium (2.50:0.56) and Cadiz away from home (0.50:1.69).
With these huge differences, your Happybet betting bonus is fantastically placed at odds of 1.90 for “Real Madrid to win with handicap -1”.
Nevertheless, there are weaker defenses than that of “El Submarino Amarillo”. 46 goals conceded is not a number to brag about, but it is better than that of four other teams in La Liga
Whatever direction my thoughts on this game took, they always ended up at one destination: Cadiz are unlikely to score.
The Pellegrino side’s top scorer is Chris Ramos with just five goals this season. Information like this makes it easier to understand why Cadiz have gone 44 percent of their appearances without scoring.
So far, I’ve only rarely come across a team with almost even odds for “Over 0.5 goals” and “Under 0.5 goals” in a match. However, this is the case with Cadiz
Real Madrid are by far the strongest Spanish team this season. The Whites have gone 17 out of 33 matchdays without conceding a goal.
Cadiz are one of the two most harmless teams in La Liga and do not pose a major threat to the league leaders. Only Las Palmas (39) created fewer chances than the visitors (46).
Compared to the number of big chances Real Madrid created (105), the visitors’ supporters may well find the last meal a little uncomfortable
A typical match between a heavy favorite and a much weaker opponent. Cadiz collected the least possession (42.8 percent) after Alaves (42.0 percent).
In attack, the relegation candidates penetrated the penalty area far too rarely and chose to finish 40 percent of their shots away from the penalty area – a mostly unsuccessful option.
Ideally, those who play deep at the back should have a strong plan for counter-attacking. Cadiz, however, are completely lacking this, as the visitors have yet to score a single goal after switching possession
Real Madrid have scored five times as many goals at home (40) as Cadiz (8) away from home. At the same time, the visitors have conceded three times as many goals away from home (27) as the Whites have at the Santiago Bernabéu.
A “Real Madrid win” is the basis for my bet, but needs to be supplemented with an extra bet to get better odds.
My Real Madrid Cadiz betting tip is: Real Madrid win without conceding a goal
