Real Madrid – Manchester City betting tip
“The champions! The best! Les grandes equipes! The Champions!” The Champions League anthem really doesn’t promise too much!
Because with Real Madrid and Manchester City, the best of the best really will meet – and already in the quarter-finals.
In the following few minutes, you can find out which sports betting bonus is most recommended and which exact Real Madrid Manchester City tip is worth submitting to the bookmaker
Every team has its fearful opponent! And just as the Gunners are reluctant to cross Munich’s path, it’s no secret among data analysts that the Citizens are like “Kryptonite” to the Spaniards.
After all, Real Madrid have only won one of their last six matches in the top flight against Manchester City, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per game.
That is also the highest figure against a team the madridistas have faced at least five times.
Find out whether they can break the spell at the Estadio Santiago Bernabeu on Tuesday and turn things around in my Real Madrid Manchester City predictions
The bookmakers’ prediction
Despite the home advantage, the Citizens are slightly favored on the betting markets with odds averaging 2.45 to 2.77 – and that must mean something!
After all, the Madrilenians have not only not lost a competitive match in their own home since May 2023, but have also held their own in every single one of them (4 draws), with just four exceptions.
This initial information alone makes it clear why I’m really not a fan of betting on an away win in the first leg
Analysis: Real Madrid vs Manchester City
The Citizens’ big disadvantage compared to their upcoming opponents is that they cannot take a back seat in the league.
While it is becoming increasingly clear in Spain that the Whites will ascend the La Liga throne at the end of the season, Man City will have to fight to the end in the face of strong competition from Liverpool and London.
However, there is no doubt that the offense is working. After an impressive 4:1 win against Aston Villa, the next league rival, Crystal Palace, was demolished with a four-pack at the weekend (4:2).
At the same time, it’s the many defensive absences of the English side that – together with some data that I’ll show you in a moment – are pushing me more and more towards a high-scoring tip.
Guardiola will probably not be able to count on the two defenders Nathan Ake and Kyle Walker against the Madrilenians until the second leg at the earliest. However, the next defender is now in danger of being ruled out for the first leg.
Josko Gvardiol was substituted at half-time in the aforementioned win over Crystal Palace at the weekend.
“Purely a precautionary measure!” said coach Guardiola, but I wouldn’t be surprised if the Croatian suffered more than just a minor knock
Quota analysis
I could possibly get excited about a soccer bet that Man City qualify! But I wouldn’t want to imply a preliminary decision in the first leg.
Because of the total of 10 Champions League duels between the two clubs, the away team has only won once.
“Double chance 1X” at odds of 1.55 is therefore a relatively safe Real Madrid Manchester City bet from a statistical point of view.
However, I would personally love to add a both-teams-meet or Bellingham-try option to this one
Game with high goal potential!
Real Madrid and Manchester City will meet in the Champions League knockout rounds for the third successive season, having met in the semi-finals of the 2021/22 and 2022/23 seasons.
These encounters have rarely disappointed soccer fans in recent years. As a rule, they have usually produced high scorelines and rarely involved long tactics.
In these four previous encounters, a total of 17 goals were scored, an average of 4.3 per game (seven for Real Madrid, ten for Man City).
Bet on Bellingham rather than Haaland!
You’ll be surprised, but I’m not one of those people who would use a sports betting app to find out how many goals Erling Haaland has scored in this match.
In fact, the match data indicates that a goal from Jude Bellingham is not only more likely to be scored, but is also more likely to win at an average of 2.75 to 2.20.
Jude Bellingham has either scored (4 goals) or provided an assist (4 assists) in all six of his Champions League games for Real Madrid.
The only player to do so in his first seven games for a club in this competition is Sébastien Haller, when he played for Ajax in the 2021/22 season (11 goals, two assists).
This makes the former Borussia Dortmund player my hot favorite for a successful goal bet! On the other hand, I give Erling Haaland a wide berth
Besides his current club Manchester City, Real Madrid is the only team the Norwegian has played against more than once in the top flight without scoring (two games against each team).
But that’s not all: his total of seven shots and five shots on goal against Real Madrid are both his highest figures without scoring against an opponent in this competition
My tip:
The offensive power that the Citizens can still unleash, even towards the end of the season, is devastating!
But at the same time, the absences of Ake and Walker may now be joined by that of Gvardiol, which could also make it much easier for the Spaniards to score.
Meanwhile, I expect a spectacular game on Tuesday and a final score that the Whites can live with in view of the second leg.
Therefore, my Real Madrid Manchester City betting tip is: Double chance 1X & Both teams to score
