Real Madrid – RB Salzburg betting tip, AI prediction & odds 01/22/2025

Champions League, Wednesday, 01/22/2025 at 9:00 p.m.

It doesn’t get much more “David versus Goliath” than this! In our Champions League tips, two teams face each other on Wednesday that are worlds apart. But: even the club that takes on the role of Goliath has encountered unusual problems in the current competition.

So in my Real Madrid Red Bull Salzburg betting tip, I have to or may report difficulties to you. Difficulties that are much, much more pronounced for the guests, however. Nationally and in Europe, the bulls have been swimming for months.

Accordingly, I cannot imagine that it will be close in the Bernabeu. I am therefore betting on a handicap bet and saying: the royals will pull themselves together and win the game by at least three goals, just as they did against BVB.

The Austrians know: when we lose in the Champions League, it’s usually by a big margin. I’ll tell you later about how even against supposedly weak teams, they’ve conceded goal after goal.

So Real can probably let off steam on Wednesday, which usually ends badly for their opponents. In this respect, I definitely believe that this duel is not about who wins, but probably only about the question of how high the Madrilenian victory will be.

The bookmakers’ prediction

You want to bet on a pure home win for the Madrilenians? You can do that, but you have to be satisfied with odds that don’t even reach 1.10! Even the 0-1 handicap is not yet profitable, here the values only rise to 1.27.

On the other hand, a club is traveling that is completely without self-confidence. The odds for a Salzburg win? They range from 25.0 to 35.0, so there doesn’t seem to be much in it!

Should the game end in a draw, Real would definitely be extremely dissatisfied. However, our tax-free bookmakers can’t really imagine the draw anyway, with odds of an average 11.0.

AI-prediction Real Madrid vs Red Bull Salzburg: That’s what ChatGPT tips

The AI may not be able to foresee and predict everything, but the word has got around that Red Bull probably won’t be able to get back on its feet in Madrid. In this respect, it’s quite exciting to see what betting suggestions ChatGPT comes up with.

If you want to place a rather high-risk bet, an outcome bet is a good choice. The 3-0 suggested by the AI is a strong choice, because Salzburg always lose to nil and have already had to cope with 3-0 defeats twice.

Should both teams score, you have arrived in the area of medium risk. Do you think the guests will actually score? I am quite skeptical here. Real has always conceded goals, but RB has hardly got anything offensively. Caution is advised here!

A bet that implies a low risk is “Under 4.5 goals”. My opinion: It’s quite possible that the home side could win 4-0! But since more goals from the home side could happen at any time, you now have to decide how many you think the defending champions can score.

Analysis: Real Madrid vs Red Bull Salzburg

Actually, we know Real Madrid in the Champions League like this: No matter how they are doing in the league, in the Champions League the Spaniards are cold-blooded, rack up victory after victory and always make it to the knockout phase early.

In 2024/25, everything is different in the Champions League, and apparently the new format is causing the record champions a lot of trouble. Three wins and three defeats? It will actually be very difficult to advance directly, even elimination is still a possibility!

In the 3-1 win against Stuttgart, Real were already dreaming of victory, so not everyone was surprised by the subsequent 0-1 defeat against Lille. When BVB was a guest, it looked like a defeat for a long time.

It was only late on that the team pulled itself together, won 5:2 and took a deep breath. It was definitely not a brilliant performance, and they promptly lost 1:3 to Milan and later 0:2 to Liverpool.

Odds analysis

Real Madrid only scored twice before half-time, but ten times after the break. In this respect, the “Over 1.5 goals Real in half 2” bet, which comes from Betano at odds of 1.60, is an obvious choice.

At the same time, I think it is likely that more goals will be scored in the second half in general. Betano also has the right bet for this, garnished with odds of 1.85.

Against Dortmund, Real were trailing 2-0 for a long time but went on to win 5-2. It may be a slightly riskier bet, but why not back a ‘replay’? If RB takes the lead but Madrid win, the odds jump to a high 6.50!

Real Madrid vs. Red Bull Salzburg: Is the title defender faltering?

At least Madrid showed some spirit, winning the immensely important game against Atalanta Bergamo 3-2. And yet, one weakness remains: the reigning champions simply can’t manage to keep a clean sheet.

Even more strikingly, they have conceded at least two goals in their own net in four of the last five games. In the Primera Division, things are generally going quite well, but in five of the last six games, they have also conceded goals here.

The most recent 4-1 defeat to Las Palmas was not a problem, but in the Champions League, compensating for defensive weakness with an outstanding attack has not always worked.

Is RB completely without a chance?

Speaking of attack, it is definitely worth mentioning that Real have now scored in all of their 32 home games in the Champions League. The last time they lost two home games in a row was in 2018/19, and they recently lost 2-1 to Milan.

But is defeat against Red Bull Salzburg really on the cards? The two clubs have never met before. The team from the Spanish capital will have heard about what is currently happening with their upcoming opponents.

The Austrian Bundesliga is on a two-month break this winter, with clubs not returning to the pitch until the beginning of February. This will probably suit the fans just fine, because at least RB can’t lose!

It’s been six games since they won, since mid-August Red Bull has been waiting for a win on the road. It’s hard to remember the last time the team did so poorly in the domestic competition.

And if it’s not working out against opponents from Austria, then it’s hardly going to happen in the Champions League. No sooner said than done, it started really badly. 0-3 against Sparta Prague, 0-4 against Stade Brest and 0-2 against Dinamo Zagreb? In Salzburg, they no longer understood the world.

On the fourth matchday, Salzburg then won 3-1 against Feyenoord Rotterdam, although this opponent cannot be considered weak at all. The joy was short-lived, however, as they then lost 5-0 in Leverkusen.

The home game against Paris ended as expected, with the 0-3 result surprising no one. All of the defeats were without any goals scored, and the results were clear. A total of 24 different players have already been used, with the starting eleven constantly changing.

Continuity cannot arise under these circumstances, and there is a great deal of uncertainty. RB has had to, or rather has been allowed to, compete with the reigning CL champion six times. The result: six defeats and 6:19 goals!

My Real Madrid Red Bull Salzburg betting tip:

Will Real Madrid go for a start-to-finish victory on Wednesday? Admittedly, the Whites have been much stronger in the Champions League; three defeats after six rounds is very, very rare.

However, RB Salzburg is hard to beat when it comes to failure. The five games they lost were all clear-cut affairs, with the Austrians not scoring at all. Besides, word has got around that the bulls aren’t doing very well in the league either.

So, although I’m rooting for the underdog, I can’t really see any way they could pull off an upset. That’s why I’ve decided on a handicap bet and I predict:

Real will win by at least three goals!

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