Bundesliga Austria, Sunday, 28.04.2024
The Mozartstädter’s defensive line is as loose as a six-year-old’s upper row of teeth. And now, with a key member of the defensive line out for the fateful match against Sturm Graz, the serial champions are facing the threat of a super disaster.
In my Salzburg Sturm Graz betting tip, a quick glance at the odds and statistics is enough to quickly come to a betting decision that includes a net on both sides
And on the 28th matchday it happened! In Formula 1, you would say that Graz overtook the series champions on the penultimate corner of the final lap.
However, just as in motorsport, the overtaken team could have the opportunity for an overtaking maneuver of its own at the following chicane – this Sunday at the Red Bull Arena to be precise.
If RB were to win, both teams would share the lead with 38 points and the race would be completely open again. But if the Styrians were to win, I’m determined that we’d be able to congratulate a new Bundesliga champion for the first time since the 2012/13 season …
This is actually one of the best central defenses outside of the European top 5 leagues – and yet the team from Mozartstadt has now failed to keep a clean sheet for three Bundesliga matchdays.
We are talking about the duo of Strahinja Pavlovic and Omar Soulet, who are regularly linked with a move to Roma or other top clubs.
This strong duo usually iron out many a mistake in Salzburg’s transitional play, but as fate would have it, it was Pavlovic of all people who picked up the visitors’ only yellow card in the recent 4-3 defeat against Klagenfurt.
The fateful thing about it? The defensive boss will be suspended for the “mastermaker duel” against Sturm Graz
Pavlovic could be replaced in defense by Samson Baidoo, but he is by no means an equivalent replacement for the Serbian.
And when I think about the enormous challenges the backline faced in their last encounter with the Styrians, I can’t imagine a clean sheet on Saturday under any circumstances.
Sturm Graz won the ÖFB Cup semi-final 4:3 at the Red Bull Arena, exposing all the acute inconsistencies within a back line that looked extremely error-prone even with a strong Pavlovic in central defense
As a result, it should be perfectly clear to you why I’m kissing the 1.78 odds offer for a successful both-teams-meet tip from the same bookmaker where I’ll also be claiming an AdmiralBet free bet.
This offer is simply too good to refuse – especially when you consider that four of the last five head-to-head meetings have resulted in goals for both sides.
If that’s not enough, you can add the additional condition of over 2.5 goals and thus aim for odds of around 2.05 – depending on which exact bookmaker you trust.
Until now, I have almost exclusively informed you about my personal betting decision, but it is also clear that there are quite a few of my betting friends who are speculating on a preliminary decision in the championship race on Sunday.
The Styrians will travel to Salzburg in excellent form. After winning the cup semi-final here, they have won each of their four subsequent Bundesliga games
Furthermore, Graz inflicted the first two defeats of 2024 on Rapid Vienna in back-to-back games – 1:0 and 3:1.
Added to that, of course, is the additional motivation that can be drawn from the remarkable fact that Red Bull Salzburg were defeated at Klagenfurt.
Consequently, it wouldn’t be too far-fetched to opt for a win for the visiting team given the odds imbalance in the markets
Admittedly, Sturm Graz last celebrated two back-to-back wins over the Mozartstädter at the Red Bull Arena in 2014, but at odds of around 4.00 to win, this is an option that you can at least give some thought to.
Because if not now, then when? After all, RBS hasn’t been in the saddle for a long time!
You also have the option of switching to a DC-X2 bet, which additionally protects you against the possibility of a draw and still promises decent odds of around 1.87.
Conclusion: It’s all about the sausage – and I can tell you one thing: anyone who misses out on this game has never loved Austrian soccer! It hasn’t been this exciting this late in the season for at least a decade.
The famous “momentum” is clearly in the visitors’ block among the fans from Styria on Sunday. The “Schwoazn” have been on a winning streak since the ÖFB Cup victory in the Red Bull Arena.
For Mozartstädter, on the other hand, Pavlovic, the famous rock of the team, is suspended with a yellow card, so I see the Both-teams-meet odds on the markets as a thoroughly excellent betting proposition.
