AS Roma – Lazio Rome Tip Serie A, Matchday 37 on Sunday, 17.05.26 at 12:00 p.m.
The famous “Derby della Capitale” is coming up – and you are cordially invited! For my AS Roma Lazio Rome tip, I take a close look at the duel of the archrivals and the great Betano.
For AS, the long-distance duel with Milan is all or nothing in terms of Champions League qualification. At the city rivals, on the other hand, the mood is in the basement after the lost cup final!
The most recent duels between the two capital clubs have always been characterized by tactics and few goals. That’s why I’m betting on the tip Under 2.5 goals. In the Betano app, you get an appealing odds of 1.90, which I think is very playable.
Lazio are extremely defensive away from home and their games are notoriously low-scoring. In 15 of 18 away games this season, fewer than three goals have been scored. So you shouldn’t expect the game of the year on Sunday at the Olimpico!
Roma vs Lazio AI Predictions:
It was supposed to be a traditionally low-scoring encounter – our supercomputer sees it similarly. Since the AS Roma Lazio Roma AI prediction carried out by him believes that the “Giallorossi” will at least score 1.62 expected goals, I have at least taken his player bet to heart!
If the game does not end with a clean sheet, then 1st goal: Donyell Malen at odds of around 3.75 could actually turn out to be possibly the only successful goal scorer bet!
The ex-Dortmund player is in impressive form, as he has become Roma’s top Serie A scorer with 13 goals since his arrival in January. By the way, that’s more than twice as many goals as any of his teammates!
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory AS Roma |
Draw |
Win Lazio Rome |
| 56.3% |
24% |
19.7% |
This game could end 1-0, 2-0 but also 0-0 – and what do all these speculated AI results have in common? The strikers of the “Biancocelesti” will probably not make a decisive appearance.
That’s exactly why Lazio Doesn’t Score a Goal at odds of around 2.07 is another computer-aided tip that caught my attention.
Although I could also argue for a victory for Roma at this point, the odds do not seem particularly attractive to me.
There is a lot to be said for Roma, but seven of the last eight derbies have ended with a maximum of one goal difference – in other words: A point split is likely to be in the air until the end and Lazio does not begrudge the hated rival anything!
What you need to know about AS Roma vs. Lazio betting
- Only Inter and Napoli have picked up more points at home than Roma (39).
- In the last eight derbies, two or fewer goals have always been scored.
- In 15 of Lazio’s 18 away games, less than 2.5 goals were scored.
- Donyell Malen is in top form with 13 goals since January.
