Copa America, Group C, Tuesday, 02.07.2024 at 03:00
A big surprise is in the offing in Group C of the Copa America currently taking place overseas!
Because the Americans are on the verge of being eliminated from the preliminary round! Unlike at Euro 2024, it is not possible to reach the knockout phase by finishing in 3rd place.
After an unexpected defeat, only a win will help them progress! However, unlike most European Championship betting providers, I do not believe in my Uruguay USA prediction that they can defeat the absolute top favorites to win the tournament.
On the contrary: I would like to point out to you the enormous value bet potential that underlies the current USA Uruguay odds of various bookmakers!
Gregg Berhalter may soon be able to say goodbye to his job as US coach – which has been the subject of heated debate for some time anyway.
Even before the tournament began, there were signs that the United States team was no longer achieving the desired results under his leadership, even if a lack of discipline from Timothy Weah paved the way for the recent defeat to Panama.
Be that as it may, I strongly suspect in my USA Uruguay betting tip that the next CONMEBOL team will easily overcome a representative of the CONCACAF federation
The prediction of the bookmakers?
Even before the start of the tournament, the South Americans were considered the hottest contenders for first place in Group C.
And although the hosts went down a few days ago, the pendulum within the USA Uruguay odds is still not swinging in favor of the “Celeste”.
Because with superb Uruguay odds of around 2.90 for this match, the betting markets surprisingly see a perfect first round for the South Americans with nine points as unlikely.
That’s music to my ears, as I’m going to use some European Championship free bets here without further ado to take advantage of this odds offer separately at several different bookmakers.
Analysis: USA vs Uruguay
I’ve backed Uruguay in all the games at this Copa America so far without having to be annoyed about this decision afterwards.
The Uruguayans first won 3:1 against Panama, only to make a real example of Bolivia a few days later (5:0).
The Americans didn’t look nearly as convincing against either opponent, having just lost 3-1 to the former and then going down 2-0 to the latter.
The USA just don’t work as well at team level as their upcoming opponents.
Timothy Weah’s punch on a Panamanian player, fortunately caught by VAR, is another sign that Berhalter is no longer in control of his team.
This is no way to win a tournament, least of all a game against the surgical Uruguayans, who are all pulling in the same direction.
Even Luis Suárez is fully committed to the team and has only played eight minutes so far.
Winning the title is the top priority for the “Celeste” this year – and that’s how they’re playing!
Quota analysis
Any sensible analysis that attempts to evaluate the current USA Uruguay odds must begin and end with a reference to the immense value bet potential.
Of course, you have the option of minimizing the risk with a double chance X2 bet on the South Americans and still pocketing nice odds of around 1.55.
However, in view of the hefty payout for this match, it’s worth opening a verified sports betting app without much tactics in order to place a penny or two on the Uruguayans.
After all, for every euro wagered, almost three are returned on average!
CONMEBOL usually too strong for the USA!
Do you know why I believe so strongly in a Uruguay win? The USA have only won one of their last four international matches against CONMEBOL nations.
That was a 2-0 victory over Bolivia, by far the weakest South American representative.
Uruguay, on the other hand, beat the USA for the first and only time in 2002 (2 draws, 2 defeats).
Uruguay will not rotate
Let’s not kid ourselves: These Uruguay odds of around 3.20 for a win over the hosts are dripping with value!
Uruguay scored the most goals of any team against Panama on the first preliminary round matchday of this Copa America (3), which was also the case on matchday 2 against Bolivia (5).
This combined attacking power will also be a major headache for the USA.
The venue will certainly mean something to some of you! The Arrowhead Stadium is where the back-to-back Super Bowl winners Kansas City Chiefs usually play their home games.
Back to my USA Uruguay betting tip: Thanks to Bielsa, the South Americans have an excellent playing system and don’t seem to be willing to rotate much before the quarter-finals.
The pressure is therefore solely on the United States, but that’s precisely why the situation seems so hopeless for them
Gregg Berhalter simply no longer enjoys the confidence of his team, and many fans are longing for a change before they prepare to host the 2026 World Cup on home soil.
The US boys are also relatively young in terms of age, and the nervousness was already palpable in the game against Panama.
Faced with an all-or-nothing game like this, I doubt they can rise above themselves.
Maybe against a less talented side, but not against the favorites to win the tournament
My tip:
The relationship between coach and team is fractured at the hosts, which could affect their performance next Tuesday. The loss of Timothy Weah also considerably weakens their attacking power.
Uruguay, on the other hand, will be aiming for a prestigious victory despite their possible reluctance to show their strength ahead of the knockout phase.
With a solid team performance and the goal of winning the tournament in mind, the South Americans go into this game as clear favorites in my opinion.
My USA Uruguay tip: Double chance X2