Bundesliga Matchday 15, Saturday, 21.12.2024 at 15:30
VfB Stuttgart are coming to the end of a year that has brought an incredible amount of joy and jubilation. All the more reason for the Swabians to hope that they can emerge victorious from our 1st Bundesliga tips on Saturday and close out 2024 with a three-pointer.
My VfB Stuttgart St. Pauli betting tip naturally looks in detail at a first half of the season (which, strictly speaking, won’t be over until January) that wasn’t always easy. And yet, I’m positive that a win will be possible this weekend
The visitors from the far north are stuck at the bottom of the table, with far too few points scored despite courageous performances. Nevertheless, it would be an absolute coup if they were to win their third visit to a club from Baden-Württemberg on Saturday.
However, our betting providers cannot really imagine that all three points will go to the away team. The VfB Stuttgart St. Pauli odds show us an average of 1.50 to 6.30, as it is a home game between the runners-up and a promoted team.
And yet in recent months it has increasingly been the case that VfB have had bigger problems than expected. In this respect, I have hopefully collected enough facts for you to underline that a win against Pauli is still very likely.
The betting providers’ forecast?
At home, VfB Stuttgart under Sebastian Hoeneß is almost always a safe bet. This alone ensures that our tax-free bookmakers position themselves with average odds of 1.50 per Swabian.
FC St. Pauli have only managed to win three times, but at least twice away from home. Perhaps that’s why the bookies have decided not to set the odds too high and leave it at 6.30.
A draw would of course be a success for the visitors. Should the points actually be shared, you can expect odds of 4.40 on average.
KI prediction VfB Stuttgart vs St. Pauli: ChatGPT
For ChatGPT, the duel between Stuttgart and St. Pauli is more than interesting, because the fronts should actually be clear. All the more reason to keep an eye on the three tips suggested by the AI.
If you want to take a relatively high risk, you can do so with the half-time/final score X/1 bet. A draw at the break, a VfB win at the end? Not impossible, as Stuttgart have only been ahead after the first 45 minutes once since September!
You are in the medium risk range if you say: Stuttgart will score in both halves. Only once this season have Pauli conceded goals in both halves – so I’d be a little more cautious with this bet.
If the game ends below the 3.5-goal mark, the betting suggestion is a low-risk bet. Since Hamburg have only scored eleven times, that could be the case, but VfB have only scored twice. Conclusion: I can’t completely rule out a spectacle!
Analysis: VfB Stuttgart vs St. Pauli
From relegation straight into the Champions League – it was a crazy 2023/24 season for VfB Stuttgart! The championship runners-up were celebrated, but somehow everyone knew that it would hardly be possible to repeat this feat.
No sooner said than done, the Swabians found it harder than expected right from the start. They gave away a few points against much weaker teams, conceded too many goals and also had to contend with a few injuries.
Three wins in a row? That’s never happened! As the two most recent matches were victorious, Stuttgart have the chance to finally win the treble just in time for the end of the year. 3:2 against Union and 3:1 against Heidenheim, in September Gladbach and Dortmund were defeated one after the other.
I’ve already briefly touched on the subject of goals conceded; the runners-up have only kept a clean sheet twice in this first half of the season so far. The Swabians will be happy to end 2024 in front of their fans.
Rating Analysis
Four times goals on both sides, ten times not? I’m not sure we’ll see a two-sided battle on offense on Saturday! If both clubs don’t score, you could secure odds of 2.00.
At the same time, you can also take the risk and say: The hosts will win by zero, because Pauli are too harmless offensively. With odds of 2.95, this bet is particularly profitable at Betano.
If I had to choose a result bet, the 2:0 would grab my attention. Hamburg have already failed to score eight times, three of which were 2-0. At Bet365 you can get odds of 7.50 for this result.
Of course, I would also like to draw your attention to the fact that you can secure a very lucrative bonus at Bet365. If you enter the code “VIPANGEBOT”, you can get up to 100 euros in the form of betting credits.
VfB Stuttgart vs. St. Pauli: A duel at eye level?
Under Sebastian Hoeneß there have only been two defeats at home, 18 goals have been scored in the seven home games so far this season – only BVB have scored more often at home, but they have also played one game more.
VfB could possibly have a few more points in their account if they didn’t have to contend with some bad luck with injuries. The absence of Deniz Undav is particularly painful, but perhaps he will be able to play a few minutes again on Saturday.
Jamie Leweling, who extended his contract a few days ago, is also still struggling. Of course, Stuttgart have not often played against FC St. Pauli in recent years.
However, the Betano new customer bonus is always involved. Click on the graphic, sign up and collect a €20 free bet.
St. Pauli – fewer points than deserved!
2019/20 The last time the two teams crossed paths in the lower house, the Swabians fared slightly better with 1:1 and 2:1. However, history is no longer an indicator for Saturday, regular meetings have been far too long ago.
Hamburg are finally back in the Bundesliga after many years away, but are visibly struggling in the top flight. Eleven points have been collected – and with Bochum and Kiel not even having half as many, there is at least a good cushion to the direct relegation places.
The team has already lost nine times, but at the same time I have to say that the Kiezkickers are not doing so badly. Only the 3-0 loss to Mainz was really clear, and they almost scored against Dortmund, Leverkusen (1-2 in each case) and FC Bayern (0-1).
At the same time, it’s not easy for Pauli to find their feet offensively. They have only scored eleven goals, making them, together with Bochum, the worst offense in the entire league – and they haven’t even scored eight times!
At least two of the three wins have come away from home – in Baden-Württemberg! 3:0 in Freiburg and 2:0 in Hoffenheim, so a win against Stuttgart would be a wonderful sensation at the end of the year!
The last two consecutive away defeats were on the road, and it’s interesting to note that the only time they conceded more than two goals was the 1:3 in Augsburg. The team has conceded 19 goals and scored four times – Stuttgart have two clean sheets and conceded 24 goals!
My VfB Stuttgart St. Pauli tip:
A home game against a promoted team? That’s basically a game you like to take with you at the end of the year! However, VfB Stuttgart will also know that FC St. Pauli are not to be underestimated and often only lose very narrowly.
The Swabians themselves have had their fair share of problems in this shortened first half of the season, but at home they have almost always been very offensive. The fans also want to see goals on Saturday, and there are almost always two – at least!
I assume that the individual quality of the runners-up will prevail in the end. It’s possible, however, that Pauli will also be able to play a lively game as VfB allow too much defensively. So my tip is now:
Stuttgart will win a game that sees at least two goals!