West Ham – SC Freiburg betting tip
So a 1-0 is a good start, but at the same time we’re still miles away from half a win! SC Freiburg set out on Thursday not to disappoint the German hopefuls and be allowed to celebrate on the island.
In our Europa League tips, the team from Baden came out on top with a 1-0 win over West Ham, the third time the two teams have met in the competition, but of course players and fans alike know that anything can still happen here.
Of course, Sportclub have what it takes to beat the Hammers a second time, but the great strength of Christian Streich’s team is not usually on the plane, but at home in the Black Forest.
What is very interesting for you: As far as the victory on Thursday is concerned, the English are ahead on average with a 1.72 to 4.60. When it comes to progressing, however, the bookmakers fluctuate and see the visitors with a 1.75 to 2.05 advantage.
In my West Ham Freiburg betting tip, it won’t be boring, there is a lot to analyze. I’m keeping both fingers crossed for the Bundesliga representatives, but I’ll tell you why I think the Hammers are more likely to progress
The bookmakers’ prediction
West Ham are a top team in the Premier League for a reason, so I’m not surprised that they are the favorites for Thursday with average odds of 1.72 among our bookmakers.
As some of you will know from the 1st Bundesliga, Freiburg have a few problems away from home. For this reason, I think the odds of around 4.60 are not too high, but quite reasonable.
A draw would be enough for Sportclub, but how do you play for a draw? In any case, this result is not out of the question, as it also yields around 3.75 in the Oddset app
Analysis: West Ham vs Freiburg
It was 81 minutes into the match when the Europapark stadium exploded. Michael Gregoritsch, the Europa League expert, scored to make it 1-0 against West Ham. The Austrian gave his team a great starting position for the quarter-finals!
After the draw, the team from Baden took a deep breath and thought: West Ham again, challenge accepted! They had already faced the top English club in the successful group stage
The SCF had won twice each against Olympiakos Piraeus and Backa Topala in very offensive games, scoring an impressive 16 goals in the process. However, the Hammers were not beaten, losing 2:1 and 2:0.
Freiburg now had two chances for revenge and were able to take advantage of the first one. But nothing has been achieved yet, as they also lost by two goals on the island in the preliminary round
Quota analysis
My general betting recommendation for you already says that I’m backing the home side. With regard to the 1×2 bets, this would of course mean that there would be a home win, and the odds read quite effectively at 1.72.
Neither team is exactly known for a wild back-and-forth, at least in recent games. As I expect a lot of tactics and fighting, I would recommend the bet of under 2.5 goals, which has odds of 1.91.
So I expect the Hammers to progress, but how? In fact, I would go for a result bet on regular time and have picked a 2-0 (as in the group stage), which leads to odds of 7.80 at Bet3000.
Can Freiburg get into a flow again?
In the intermediate round against Lens, they started with a 0-0 draw away from home, a last-second goal took them into extra time in the second leg and you will of course be familiar with the 3-2 result.
Nevertheless, you can see that five of the past six matches have not featured a BTS. Things are quite different in the national competition if we take a look at the Bundesliga.
A few days ago, they won 2:1 in Bochum, finally ending a run of six consecutive matches without a win. For the first time since the start of the second half of the season, they conceded fewer than two goals
How quickly will West Ham catch up?
Bochum, Wolfsburg, Mainz and Hoffenheim on the first matchday? SCF have won away from home against these four opponents. You don’t have to be an absolute expert to guess that: West Ham are likely to be a completely different kettle of fish.
SC Freiburg have never really reached the quarter-finals of an international competition, so the whole club could be facing a major, historic premiere.
West Ham would like to prevent exactly that, and the reigning Conference League champions are of course also stronger individually. Was the 0:1 in Breisgau “calculated” to set the course at home?
The team has lost twice in the current competition, both times away from home. As a result, there have been three home wins, and only one goal conceded in total against Topola (3-1), Piraeus (1-0) and Freiburg (2-0).
Is West Ham rather cautious when it comes to attacking? That has been the case recently, as evidenced by the five goals scored in the last five matches. Apparently everyone in the team knows exactly how high they have to jump
Of course, as seventh in the Premier League, you don’t have to prove anything to anyone, even though things have been pretty turbulent of late. Similar to Freiburg, London also had major defensive problems.
16 goals conceded in the last six games? You know statistics like that in the Black Forest! The Hammers have been very inconsistent, for example failing to win against relegation candidates Sheffield Wednesday and Burnley.
It seems as if they are concentrating more on international competition instead, as the club had already been allowed to play a semi-final in the Europa League two years ago
My West Ham Freiburg tip:
Fingers crossed for SC Freiburg without a doubt! Almost all German soccer fans are probably hoping that the sports club can survive on the island and that the 1:0 is enough to progress.
In my analysis of both SCF and the Hammers, I’ve noticed that their international performances are much more stable than those in the domestic leagues, where the team from Baden are mainly struggling away from home.
For me personally, however, the greater sovereignty lies with the English side at home, who have not won all their home games in the Europa League for nothing. I’m expecting a very close match (perhaps even going beyond the 90 minutes), but I would still bet on it:
Freiburg miss out on the quarter-finals!
